Tuesday, January 1, 2019

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION


Keybot the Quant algorithm provides a phenomenal return for 2018. The Keybot algorithm program gains +16.2% in 2018 and the actual trading, triggered by the algorithm, prints a fantastic +35.3% return in 2018. The S&P 500 benchmark lost -6.3% in 2018; that is a stupendous +42% outperformance by the Keybot algo compared to the S&P 500. Keybot smoked other Wall Street algorithms. Keybot has never printed a losing year.

2018 is in the rearview mirror and 2019 begins. The Keybot the Quant algorithm is re-zeroed to begin the new trading year. The market bears are in control with the algorithm number 4 points below the signal line.

The bulls have been trying to boost utilities and copper the last couple weeks to support the broad stock market and stop the selling. Copper is weak, however, and uncooperative for the bulls.

Thus, the bulls are trying to oscillate UTIL above and below the key 709.55 level as a means to inch the algo number higher to overtake the signal line. UTIL begins the new year at 713. If you see UTIL moving below 709.55 for a few minutes, then back above a short time later, then back below again, then back above, you get the picture, this behavior will tell you that the algo is likely getting ready to flip long. The algo likely needs at least a couple jogs above and below the UTIL 709.55 level, if this occurs, and the SPX moves above 2509 trending higher, Keybot may flip long.

The new year begins from the SPX 2507 level so as a rule of thumb all year long you can simply remember 2500 as the benchmark S&P 500 level. The US Monthly Jobs Report drops on Friday. Happy New Year to all and Good Luck in 2019.

1/6/19; 7:00 PM EST =
1/4/19; 9:00 AM EST =
1/1/19; Begin 2019 Data Set = -36; signal line is -32; go short 2507; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2019 = 0%)(Actual results this trade = 0%; Actual results for 2019 = 0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2019 on the Short Side from SPX 2507. All Data 0%. Begin 2019.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

START 2019 PROGRAM

Begin Printing

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/19; 5:28 AM EST

START 2019 PROGRAM

Copyright Enforced. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014. 2015. 2016. 2017. 2018. 2019. Keybot the Quant. The Keystone Speculator. K E Stone. All Rights Reserved.

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

END OF 2018 RESULTS:

The SPX (S&P 500) Benchmark Loses -6.3% in 2018 (SPX Started at 2674 and Ended at 2507)

The Keybot the Quant Algorithm Actual Trading Returns a Phenomenal +35.3% in 2018

Keybot the Quant has never printed a losing year

Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish (long) position and a bearish (short) position seeking the smoothest path through the trading year

Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2018:  31
Number of Broker Commissions Required During 2018:  62

Benchmark SPX (S&P 500) During 2018:  -6.3% Loss

Keybot the Quant Algorithm (Computer Program Only) During 2018: +16.2%

KEYBOT THE QUANT ACTUAL TRADING RETURN FOR 2018 INCLUDING ALL COMMISSIONS, COSTS AND FEES: +35.3% A PHENOMENAL RETURN


1/1/2018
2674
Go Short
3:00 AM
TWM
17.46
2/14/2018
2679
Cover Short
11:43 AM
TWM
17.85
2/14/2018
2679
Go Long
11:43 AM
SSO
109.08
3/19/2018
2730
Sell Long
10:12 AM
SSO
112.00
3/19/2018
2730
Go Short
10:12 AM
SDS
38.67
4/4/2018
2638
Cover Short
3:09 PM
SDS
40.97
4/4/2018
2638
Go Long
3:09 PM
SSO
105.13
4/6/2018
2625
Sell Long
12:25 PM
SSO
104.06
4/6/2018
2625
Go Short
12:25 PM
SH
30.47
4/10/2018
2645
Cover Short
9:36 AM
SH
30.21
4/10/2018
2645
Go Long
9:36 AM
SPY
264.06
4/20/2018
2662
Sell Long
3:09 PM
SPY
265.78
4/20/2018
2662
Go Short
3:09 PM
DOG
14.95
4/23/2018
2682
Cover Short
11:14 AM
DOG
14.88
4/23/2018
2682
Go Long
11:14 AM
SPY
267.76
4/24/2018
2647
Sell Long
12:45 PM
SPY
264.55
4/24/2018
2647
Go Short
12:45 PM
RWM
41.29
4/26/2018
2654
Cover Short
9:58 AM
RWM
41.41
4/26/2018
2654
Go long
9:58 AM
IWM
154.34
5/1/2018
2630
Sell Long
11:02 AM
IWM
151.90
5/1/2018
2630
Go Short
11:02 AM
MYY
11.39
5/3/2018
2634
Cover Short
1:40 PM
MYY
11.30
5/3/2018
2634
Go Long
1:40 PM
DIA
239.43
5/8/2018
2667
Sell Long
9:36 AM
DIA
242.91
5/8/2018
2667
Go Short
9:36 AM
PSQ
32.97
5/9/2018
2681
Cover Short
9:36 AM
PSQ
32.79
5/9/2018
2681
Go Long
9:36 AM
DIA
244.51
5/29/2018
2702
Sell Long
9:36 AM
DIA
245.40
5/29/2018
2702
Go Short
9:36 AM
SH
29.59
6/1/2018
2734
Cover Short
12:17 PM
SH
29.22
6/1/2018
2734
Go Long
12:17 PM
SPY
273.60
6/18/2018
2758
Sell Long
9:36 AM
SPY
275.09
6/18/2018
2758
Go Short
9:36 AM
SDS
37.23
7/5/2018
2738
Cover Short
3:53 PM
SDS
37.71
7/5/2018
2738
Go Long
3:53 PM
SSO
112.69
8/10/2018
2827
Sell Long
2:31 PM
SSO
120.11
8/10/2018
2827
Go Short
2:31 PM
SDS
35.34
8/23/2018
2868
Cover Short
12:30 AM
SDS
34.33
8/23/2018
2868
Go Long
10:30 AM
SSO
123.63
9/4/2018
2888
Sell Long
9:44 AM
SSO
125.41
9/4/2018
2888
Go Short
9:44 AM
TWM
13.21
9/19/2018
2907
Cover Short
10:42 AM
TWM
13.45
9/19/2018
2907
Go Long
10:42 AM
SSO
127.08
9/26/2018
2908
Sell Long
3:47 PM
SSO
126.90
9/26/2018
2908
Go Short
3:47 PM
SDS
33.24
10/1/2018
2931
Cover Short
9:45 AM
SDS
32.75
10/1/2018
2931
Go Long
9:45 AM
DDM
50.04
10/4/2018
2910
Sell Long
10:11 AM
DDM
50.17
10/4/2018
2910
Go Short
10:11 AM
DXD
28.25
10/9/2018
2892
Cover Short
10:31 AM
DXD
28.61
10/9/2018
2892
Go Long
10:31 AM
DDM
49.56
10/10/2018
2846
Sell Long
10:57 AM
DDM
48.12
10/10/2018
2846
Go Short
10:57 AM
SH
27.93
11/7/2018
2783
Cover Short
9:36 AM
SH
28.53
11/7/2018
2783
Go Long
9:36 AM
SPY
277.82
11/12/2018
2761
Sell Long
9:49 AM
SPY
275.65
11/12/2018
2761
Go Short
9:49 AM
SDS
36.42
11/28/2018
2721
Cover Short
12:09 PM
SDS
37.35
11/28/2018
2721
Go Long
12:09 PM
SSO
110.21
12/4/2018
2767
Sell Long
11:32 AM
SSO
114.08
12/4/2018
2767
Go Short
11:32 AM
SDS
36.03
1/1/2019
2507
Cover Short
5:11 AM
SDS
42.92

Date – SPX – Position – Date Stamp – ETF – Price

Begin Printing Trade Data Entries Exits Reverse Order

FINAL 2018 RESULTS

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/19; 5:21 AM EST

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1/1/19; Algorithm Zeroed for 2019 Data = -36; signal line is -32; go short 2507; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 Final = -6.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +9.4%; Keybot algo for 2018 Final = +16.2%)(Actual results this trade = +16.1%; Actual results for 2018 Final = +35.3%)
12/31/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2018 = -36; signal line is -32
12/31/18; 12:24 PM EST = -36; signal line is -31
12/31/18; 11:29 AM EST = -52; signal line is -29
12/31/18; 10:06 AM EST = -36; signal line is -27
12/31/18; 9:39 AM EST = -52; signal line is -24
12/30/18; 7:00 PM EST = -36; signal line is -20

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.