STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the stock market rides a roller coaster of drama. The bears are in charge with the algo number 13 points below the signal line. Bears will create downside carnage if retail stocks, chips and/or banks turn bearish at these levels; RTH 112.40, SOX 1525 and/or XLF 27.50, respectively. The degree of downside in these three sectors dictates the amount of selling that will occur in the stock market.

On the flip side, bulls need to keep retail stocks, chips and banks bullish, while boosting copper and commodities and sending volatility lower. Bulls need CPER above 16.45, GTX above 2428.53 and/or VIX below 15.90 to stop the market selling. Any 1 of the 3 turning bullish will place the imminent turn to the long side in play and then if the SPX moves above 2987, Keybot will likely flip long.

The SPX begins the week, and last day of the month, at 2962. The SPX started the month at 2926. The bulls can easily gain back control if they want.

The month of September ends tomorrow so EOM and EOQ3 occurs and Keybot will print a pre-scheduled number to cast these values into concrete. The quant also prints a pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning. The beat goes on.

10/6/19; 7:00 PM EST =

10/4/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/30/19; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 =

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +55

9/27/19; 12:48 PM EST = +42; signal line is +56

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short after the Friday drama. The algo was champing at the bit to go long at Friday's opening bell but commodities failed out of the gate. Then volatility popped so stocks dropped. The SPX tagged 2987 for a test and died. Of course it did. The quant told you that 2987 was key before the session started. Keybot prints 8 numbers on Friday.

News that President Trump may delist or otherwise prevent or limit Americans from owning Chinese securities sent stocks down the rabbit hole. This is more Trump bravado which will be walked back in the coming days but nonetheless, the opening of futures Sunday evening, and Asia trading, may be interesting.

Bulls have their backs against the wall. The algo number is 14 points below the signal line. Bulls need copper and commodities to rally and/or volatility to drop to create market upside. Bears need to pound the chips, banks and/or retail stocks lower to create market carnage.

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/27/19; 12:48 PM EST = +42; signal line is +56

9/27/19; 11:43 AM EST = +56; signal line is +57

9/27/19; 10:46 AM EST = +70; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains short

9/27/19; 10:14 AM EST = +56; signal line is +58
9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +59

9/27/19; 9:58 AM EST = +40; signal line is +60

9/27/19; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +61

9/27/19; 4:11 AM EST = +68; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short but is champing at the bit to go long. This posture did not take long to occur; only 10 minutes after the last post. The bulls succeed in pushing the VIX sub 15.88 now at 15.81. Volatility drops so stocks pop.

S&P futures are up +4. The SPX needs about 10 points higher at the opening bell to flip the quant long. If the SPX moves above 2987 in the Friday session, it is likely that Keybot will flip long, hence the imminent turn notation is in the title line.

Very simply, the bears need the VIX back above 15.88 and GTX below 2428.50, or they got nothing. If the VIX remains sub 15.88, the bulls will be throwing confetti and celebrating higher stock prices into the weekend. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number about one-half hour after the opening bell.

9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/27/19; 4:11 AM EST = +68; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains short

9/26/19; 3:45 PM EST = +54; signal line is +61

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bearish as the bulls and bears continue the battle. The algo was active yesterday printing 8 numbers. The bears are in control with the algo number 7 points below the signal line. The stock market remains a coin-flip. The bulls were trying to flip the quant long yesterday afternoon but failed.

Volatility and commodities tell the stock market direction story ahead. Bears need GTX below 2428.50 to take equities lower. Bulls need VIX below 15.88 to send stocks higher. The VIX is currently trading at 15.90, only 2 pennies on the bear side, about 5-1/2 hours before the opening bell for the regular US trading session. Whoopsies, daisies. There's VIX 15.88. You will have to see if the bulls can push the VIX below 15.88 to create a happy day into the weekend.

If VIX goes sub 15.88, and the SPX moves above 2987, Keybot will likely flip long. Watch VIX 15.88 since it tells you if the bulls or bears will win today. If VIX goes sub 15.88, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play. If VIX stays above 15.88, stock market bears will be happy.

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/26/19; 3:45 PM EST = +54; signal line is +61
9/26/19; 3:38 PM EST = +68; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains short

9/26/19; 2:18 PM EST = +54; signal line is +62

9/26/19; 9:55 AM EST = +40; signal line is +62

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as volatility and commodities dance to and fro and bulls and bears exchange blows. The bears are in charge with the algo number 22 points below the signal line.

Volatility and commodities are causing market angst currently. Bulls need the VIX back below 15.88 and/or GTX above 2428.50. Either parameter turning bullish will stop the stock market selling. If both remains bearish, the stock market will continue dropping.

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/26/19; 9:55 AM EST = +40; signal line is +62

9/26/19; 9:15 AM EST = +54; signal line is +63

9/26/19; 4:47 AM EST = +68; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains short

9/26/19; 4:07 AM EST = +54; signal line is +64

9/26/19; 3:39 AM EST = +68; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains short

9/25/19; 3:59 PM EST = +54; signal line is +65

9/25/19; 3:46 PM EST = +68; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains short

9/25/19; 1:48 PM EST = +54; signal line is +66

9/25/19; 1:12 PM EST = +40; signal line is +66

9/25/19; 10:58 AM EST = +54; signal line is +68

9/25/19; 9:36 AM EST = +40; signal line is +69

9/24/19; 12:28 PM EST = +54; signal line is +70

9/24/19; 10:00 AM EST = +68; signal line is +71

9/23/19; 9:43 AM EST = +68; signal line is +71

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short with SPX price sticky at the 2992 palindrome. The algo prints two numbers in the Monday session. As copper goes, so goes the markets so "The song remains the same" as Led Zeppelin would sing.

Bulls will send the stock market into euphoric highs if they can bring copper on board. Bears will send stocks down the rabbit hole with higher volatility and/or lower commodities. Bulls need CPER above 16.47 while bears need VIX above 15.89 and/or GTX below 2434, respectively. If copper turns bullish, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play.

The stock market remains a toss-up with the algo number only 3 points below the signal line and the SPX sitting at 2992 where it entered short last Wednesday. Bulls and bears are deadlocked but one of them will buckle. One of those three parameters will flinch and that tells you the stock market direction ahead. Copper futures are flat as this message is typed about 2 hours before the opening bell for the US trading session.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number shortly after the opening bell this morning.

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/24/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/23/19; 9:43 AM EST = +68; signal line is +71

9/23/19; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +70

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the new week of trading is set to begin. Bulls need higher copper and bears need lower commodities and higher volatility. Bulls need CPER above 16.49 which would be a +1.5% rise. The 2.63 number is a key bull-bear line in the sand for copper. Bulls win going forward if they can turn copper bullish.

Bears need GTX below 2428 and/or VIX above 15.92. Either parameter turning bearish guarantees more stock market downside. If copper remains bearish, and commodities and volatility bullish, the quant will likely chop sideways with a slight downward bias.

Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers in the week ahead one on Tuesday and one on Friday. The recent trend continues. As copper goes, so goes the market.

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/24/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70

9/18/19; 1:29 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70; go short 2992; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +19.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.4%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +11.3%)(Actual results this trade = +2.8%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +24.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short but the stock market remains a toss-up. The algo has not printed a number since it flipped short on hump day. Equities rallied on Friday but you saw copper sinking like a stone so you knew that stocks would roll over, and they did. In fact, copper peaked and tanked exactly as the last message was posted. The bulls were trying to jam copper higher in the thinner overnight trading and almost succeeded but there was no sustainable juice there so the red metal collapsed. As copper goes, so goes the market. This will continue early next week.

The SPX ends the week at the 2992 palindrome where Keybot flipped short on Wednesday. Flip a coin.

Copper remains bearish while commodities and volatility remain bullish. Note that the VIX came up to tease the important 15.85-15.95 range again, two days in a row, but the bears did not have the strength to push volatility any higher. One of those three parameters will flinch and tell you the stock market direction ahead.

Bulls and bears call a truce on Friday and agree to rest up this weekend and then battle again next week. As always, watch for a President Trump or Xi tweet, or message from their henchmen, between 5 PM EST and 6 PM EST Sunday evening timed to when the futures markets open and Asia trading is set to come on line for the week.

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/19; 1:29 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70; go short 2992; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +19.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.4%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +11.3%)(Actual results this trade = +2.8%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +24.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. The Thursday session was quiet. Stocks rallied yesterday but copper was weak so you knew equities would roll back over to the downside which they did. The day was flat price action overall. Friday is the same thing; as copper goes, so goes the market.

Bulls need CPER above 16.50 to send the stock market to new record highs. This represents about a +1% gain in copper futures which are currently up +0.8% about 5-1/2 hours before the US opening bell. There is a big battle going on with copper now since it will light the way ahead. You can watch the 2.63 level on copper as the bull-bear line in the sand. Copper futures are at 2.6295. Copper will tell the market story today.

Bears need VIX above 15.86 and/or GTX below 2427 to gather downside steam. Bulls need CPER above 16.50 to send stocks higher. If copper turns bullish, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play. Then, if the SPX runs above 3022, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long. If copper turns bullish, which it is hinting that it will this morning, it will be important that the bulls move the SPX above 3022. If the bulls cannot move the SPX above 3022, stocks will likely become soggy again and copper may return to the bear camp again. Doctor Copper determines stock market direction today. S&P futures are up +5 with the VIX at 13.83.

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/19; 1:29 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70; go short 2992; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +19.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.4%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +11.3%)(Actual results this trade = +2.8%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +24.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips bearish yesterday afternoon at the SPX 2992 palindrome on the palindrome date 91819. The algo turned short just before the big Fed decision and Powell presser. The algo number is only 2 points below the signal line so the bull-bear battle would be expected to continue.

As is the case in recent days, as copper goes, so goes the market. Copper is in the bear camp but only by pennies. Bulls need to move CPER above 16.50 (now at 16.36) or they got nothing. Bears need to keep copper weak. Bulls need a +0.9% move higher in copper futures. Copper is currently trading down -0.1% about 3-1/2 hours before the opening bell for the regular US Thursday trading session so the bears are smiling.

Bears need VIX above 15.86 to create market mayhem. Note that the VIX spiked to 15.80 yesterday teasing the quant's key level (Keybot is an intelligent robot that tells you these levels before they occur) but then slipped away now trading at 14.27. The failure of volatility to turn bearish created the late-day rally in the US stock market yesterday. S&P futures are down -7 currently. Bears will also benefit from weaker commodities by sending GTX below 2427.

Thus, bulls need higher copper to prove they are in control of the stock market while bears need copper to remain weaker while sending volatility higher and commodities lower.

On the last trade, which ran 2-1/2 weeks, the quant program gains +2.4% and the actual trading logs a +2.8% gain. The actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant this year is up +24.2% with the benchmark S&P 500 index is up nearly +20% after the first 8+ months of the year. The central banker easy money this year creates the market joy. Keybot exits DIA and enters SDS now back into the 2x ETF's since a timer expired after the last whipsaw move a month ago. It will be interesting today to see if the model wants to whipsaw back to the bull side, or not. It all depends on Dr Copper. The beat goes on.

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/19; 1:29 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70; go short 2992; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +19.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.4%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +11.3%)(Actual results this trade = +2.8%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +24.2%)

9/18/19; 9:00 AM EST = +68; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long

9/17/19; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long

9/16/19; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +70
9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +68
9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +65

9/12/19; 11:46 AM EST = +70; signal line is +64
9/11/19; 11:46 AM EST = +54; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long

9/11/19; 9:53 AM EST = +68; signal line is +60

9/10/19; 11:52 AM EST = +84; signal line is +58

9/10/19; 11:21 AM EST = +70; signal line is +56

9/10/19; 10:58 AM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long

9/10/19; 10:31 AM EST = +68; signal line is +53

9/10/19; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +51

9/10/19; 6:31 AM EST = +84; signal line is +50

9/10/19; 3:35 AM EST = +70; signal line is +48
9/9/19; 2:44 PM EST = +84; signal line is +45
9/9/19; 2:29 PM EST = +70; signal line is +43

9/9/19; 1:52 PM EST = +84; signal line is +40

9/9/19; 1:37 PM EST = +70; signal line is +37

9/9/19; 12:58 PM EST = +84; signal line is +35

9/9/19; 12:33 PM EST = +70; signal line is +32

9/9/19; 11:07 AM EST = +84; signal line is +30

9/8/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +28

9/8/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +28

9/6/19; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +26

9/6/19; 9:00 AM EST = +56; signal line is +23

9/5/19; 12:27 PM EST = +56; signal line is +22

9/5/19; 12:18 PM EST = +70; signal line is +21
9/5/19; 12:09 PM EST = +56; signal line is +18
9/5/19; 11:30 AM EST = +70; signal line is +17

9/5/19; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +15

9/3/19; 3:21 PM EST = +24; signal line is +13

9/3/19; 12:36 PM EST = +8; signal line is +11 but algorithm remains long

9/3/19; 12:20 PM EST = +24; signal line is +10

9/3/19; 12:01 PM EST = +8; signal line is +9 but algorithm remains long

9/3/19; 11:54 AM EST = +24; signal line is +8

9/3/19; 11:16 AM EST = +8; signal line is +8 but algorithm remains long

9/3/19; 10:54 AM EST = +24; signal line is +9
9/3/19; 10:10 AM EST = +8; signal line is +9 but algorithm remains long
9/1/19; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +24; signal line is +9

8/30/19; 10:00 AM EST = +24; signal line is +8
8/29/19; 9:36 AM EST = +28; signal line is +7; go long 2920; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +16.8%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -1.6%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +8.9%)(Actual results this trade = -0.9%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +21.4%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but the algorithm is champing at the bit to go short. The algo number is 2 points below the signal line (bearish) but the internal parameters will not yet fully latch to permit the move. Commodities jump higher this week along with the pop in oil foiling the bears hopes for weakness in the stock market.

The bears will benefit from a slow steady move lower in the stock market. If the SPX drops below 2994, starting the day at 3006 (12 points above), Keybot will likely flip short. S&P futures are down -4 about 7 hours before the opening bell for the Wednesday trading session in the States. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number before the opening bell.

The FOMC Rate Decision and Chairman Powell Press Conference is on tap for Wednesday afternoon so all bets are off until King Jerome brings the tablets down from on high and tells global traders how to trade. The central bankers are the market.

A gap-down move at the opening bell will not be good for bears. Bears simply need to march stocks lower slowly, keeping copper in the bear camp, and send the SPX sub 2994 to flip the model short.

The stock market bulls need to keep the SPX above 2994 on hump day and they will be fine. As copper goes, so goes the market. Bulls need CPER above 16.50 (now at 16.44) so it continues to be a game of pennies. Bulls need about a +0.4% pop in copper to bring it back into the bull camp and create stock market upside. Copper futures are currently up +0.2%.

Thus, the imminent turn to the short side is in play. Bears need SPX below 2994 to flip the model short while bears need CPER above 16.50 to restart the stock market upside. King Powell may have to tell his story this afternoon before stocks commit one way or the other.

The Housing Starts data are uber important this morning. The Keybot the Quant algorithm has called the start of a housing recession in July and this morning will determine if this projection and forecast remains in play.

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/17/19; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long

9/16/19; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +70
9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +68

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the new week of trading is set to begin. The bulls are in control but the algo number is only 2 measly points above the signal line. The bulls and bears are battling.

As copper goes, so goes the market. Bears need CPER below 16.45 (now at 16.92). Bears also need higher volatility and must push the VIX above 15.84 to prove they have the beans to crush stocks. If either parameter turns bearish, consider the imminent turn in play and if the SPX slips below the 3003 palindrome, on the Monday palindrome day, 91619, Keybot will likely flip short. The SPX begins at 3007.

Bulls need to keep copper and volatility in the bull camp (higher copper and lower volatility) while at the same time pushing commodities higher. Bulls need GTX above 2423 (now at 2394) and new record highs in the stock market are guaranteed.

If copper and volatility remain bullish, and commodities bearish, stocks will chop sideways with a slight upward bias. The big Fed Rate Decision and Chairman Powell Press Conference is on tap for Wednesday and stocks typically rally 80% of the time going into the Fed meeting. Global traders may be willing to wait until hump day for Powell to bring the tablets down from on high and tell traders how to trade.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Wednesday.

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +68

9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +65

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. The stock market bulls are singing joyous songs into the weekend after copper rallied on Thursday. Stocks ran higher since the fix was in on Wall Street concerning the copper bounce.

Note that the quant printed numbers at the exact same time, 11:46 AM EST, two days in a row. Of course it did. The 11:40 AM EST time is the start of the third 65-minute period of the US trading day. The robots are making changes to positions at the start of this segment. Maybe keep an eye on the 11:40 AM EST to 11:46 AM EST time period going forward for the heck of it. The bulls are in control but the algo number is only 5 points above the signal line. The caution flag remains out.

Copper remains key. As copper goes, so goes the stock market. Interestingly, commodities, GTX, remain in the bear camp. Copper, commodities and volatility are controlling stock market direction currently. Copper and volatility are creating positivity in stocks but commodities are creating negativity.

A major computer changeout and upgrade is on tap this weekend. It should go off without a hitch. Famous last words.

9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +65
9/12/19; 11:46 AM EST = +70; signal line is +64
9/11/19; 11:46 AM EST = +54; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but is champing at the bit to go short with the algo number 7 points below the signal line. Hence, the imminent turn notation is in the title line. Both copper and commodities leap into the bear camp to create market negativity but the jack-booted central bankers are always fast to step on the throat of volatility to save the day. The VIX collapses to a 14-handle printing down at 14.55. Volatility drops so stocks pop.

President Trump wants to soften his stance on Iran which took more premium out of oil prices and helped to send commodities lower, however, the news is viewed more positively with other sectors. Global traders are waiting for the ECB decision and King Draghi press conference in the morning. It is not surprising to see equities float higher in front of Super Mario who is expected to flap his dovish wings. The central bankers are the market.

If the SPX drops below 2975, Keybot will likely flip short. The SPX will begin the day at 3001 right as the Draghi presser ends.

Bulls need CPER back above 16.39 and/or GTX above 2425 which will continue the upside rally. Bears need VIX above 15.84 which will crush stocks. If copper and commodities remain bearish, and volatility bullish, stocks will chop along sideways with a downward bias. Same dealio on tap for Thursday. As copper goes, so goes the markets.

Humorously, analysts and pundits tout a bull market into year end while copper and commodities, the building blocks of the global economy, break down. Draghi has more power than any other man on Earth tomorrow morning. How did the financial world ever deteriorate to such a place? Watch for SPX 2975.

9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/11/19; 11:46 AM EST = +54; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long

9/11/19; 9:53 AM EST = +68; signal line is +60

9/10/19; 11:52 AM EST = +84; signal line is +58

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long with the bulls in control. The algo number is 26 points above the signal line. Note that the bears were pressing hard before munch time but they folded like a cheap suit.

Bears need CPER below 16.39, and/or GTX below 2426.60 and/or VIX above 15.86. Copper and volatility created the price action in the quant today so that will likely continue tomorrow. If 1 of the 3 turn bearish, consider the caution flag out. If 2 of the 3 turn bearish, consider the imminent turn to the short side in play and if the SPX then falls below 2957, Keybot will likely flip short. Copper futures trade overnight and the VIX begins trading at 3 AM EST. As copper goes, so goes the markets.

Markets may be quiet tomorrow (hump day) since the world awaits King Draghi to bring the tablets down from on high and tell global traders how to trade Thursday morning. The central bankers are the market.

9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/10/19; 11:52 AM EST = +84; signal line is +58

9/10/19; 11:21 AM EST = +70; signal line is +56

9/10/19; 10:58 AM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long

9/10/19; 10:31 AM EST = +68; signal line is +53

9/10/19; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +51

9/10/19; 6:31 AM EST = +84; signal line is +50

9/10/19; 3:35 AM EST = +70; signal line is +48
9/9/19; 2:44 PM EST = +84; signal line is +45

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long with the algo number 39 points above the signal line. The quant was active today printing 7 numbers. The bulls are cruising. The bears were unsuccessful at pushing copper lower; it hung around the flat line all day and remains in the bull camp. At the same time, the bulls jam commodities higher to create stock market joy. Volatility danced around the bull-bear line in the sand and ended in the bull camp helping maintain buoyancy in the US stock market.

The bulls are in control. Bears need CPER below 16.39, GTX below 2426.40 and/or VIX above 15.87. The funny thing is that any or all three of these parameters could turn bearish without too much effort at all. If 1 of the 3 turn bearish, the stock market rally will stop. Bears likely need all 3 parameters, copper, commodities and volatility, respectively, back in their camp if they want to growl loudly. If all 3 parameters remain bullish, the stock market will rally higher and the SPX will be on its way back above 3K.

9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/9/19; 2:44 PM EST = +84; signal line is +45

9/9/19; 2:29 PM EST = +70; signal line is +43

9/9/19; 1:52 PM EST = +84; signal line is +40

9/9/19; 1:37 PM EST = +70; signal line is +37

9/9/19; 12:58 PM EST = +84; signal line is +35

9/9/19; 12:33 PM EST = +70; signal line is +32

9/9/19; 11:07 AM EST = +84; signal line is +30

9/8/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +28

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. The bulls are in control with the algo number 42 points above the signal line. The VIX drops below the critical 15.74 bull-bear line in the sand, and even printed a 14-handle, so the bulls are throwing confetti in celebration. Volatility drops so stocks pop. The bulls win going forward as long as the VIX is below 15.74. The bears will begin to fight back if they can send the VIX above 15.74.

The stock market direction battle, aside from the volatility parameter above, is impacted by a copper versus commodities war. Bulls need GTX above 2428 to prove that up is the direction ahead for equities. Bears need CPER below 16.39 to stop the upside stock market rally. Since CPER begins the week at 16.43, only 4 pennies in the bull camp, as copper goes so goes the markets.

Copper futures will be trading overnight and provide the heads-up on US market direction for Monday. Ditto the VIX that begins trading at 3 AM EST.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning; Friday the 13th. Will that be an unlucky day for equities? Tuesday, 9/10/19, 91019, is a palindrome and sometimes interesting things happen on these numbers. Of course, Wednesday is 9-11 when radical Islamist's murdered 3K Americans 18 years ago. The beat goes on. 

9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/8/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +28

9/6/19; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +26

9/6/19; 9:00 AM EST = +56; signal line is +23

9/5/19; 12:27 PM EST = +56; signal line is +22

9/5/19; 12:18 PM EST = +70; signal line is +21
9/5/19; 12:09 PM EST = +56; signal line is +18

9/5/19; 11:30 AM EST = +70; signal line is +17
9/5/19; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +15

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long as the bulls are singing songs and carryin' on. Banks and copper jump into the bull camp catapulting equities higher. The PBOC (China's central bank) announces plans to cut the triple R's and implement other stimulus measures. The US and China agree to trade talks in October after the 70-year commie celebration on October 1.

Traders and investors are joyous that the central banks keep pumping stocks higher. Banks are happy with the steeper yield curve as yields pop. The bullishness in copper has bulls performing jigs of joy.

Bears need XLF below 27.18 and/or CPER below 16.39 to stop the stock market upside. Bulls need GTX above 2429 and VIX below 15.74 to catapult the SPX above 3K. The bulls must push VIX below 15.74 otherwise the upside in equities will fail. The VIX is currently printing at 15.82 with a LOD at 15.77. Watch it closely. The bulls are in the driver's seat with the algo number 41 points above the signal line. The caution flag is taken down as the bull's are partying like its 1999, as Prince would sing.

9/6/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/5/19; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +15

9/3/19; 3:21 PM EST = +24; signal line is +13

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long and did not print any numbers in the Wednesday session. Stocks continue floating higher. Bears need weaker chips and NYA index. Bulls need stronger banks, copper and commodities, and lower volatility. One of these parameters will flinch and identify the stock market direction ahead. Copper was left for dead but it comes back to life this week. The bulls need XLF and/or CPER to pop +0.8% to +1.0% today to launch the stock market higher. Copper futures are up +0.6% currently.

9/6/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/3/19; 3:21 PM EST = +24; signal line is +13

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. The algo is very active to begin the week printing 8 numbers on Tuesday the first day of trading for September and after the Labor Day holiday in the States. The bulls remain in control with the algo number 11 points above the signal line. The S&P 500 print its low at the 10 AM EST hour yesterday and stocks never came back down to take this low so you knew the bears did not have a lot of gusto.

S&P futures are up +27 as this is typed about 5 hours before the opening bell for the regular US Wednesday trading session. This move, if it holds through the open, will wipe out all of yesterday's negativity with room to spare. Hong Kong's corrupt communist puppet leader Lam withdraws the extradition bill, that launched the ongoing 13 weeks of protests, sending global stocks higher this morning.

Bears need weaker semiconductors and NYA index. Bulls need stronger banks, copper and commodities. These parameters tell you who wins going forward.

Bears need SOX below 1477 and/or NYA below 12555. Bulls need XLF above 27.14, CPER above 16.41 and/or GTX above 2418. Any change in these parameters will push the broad stock market in that same direction. If status quo remains, and none of the parameters switch sides, stocks will chop sideways with an upward bias. The beat goes on.

9/8/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/6/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/3/19; 3:21 PM EST = +24; signal line is +13

9/3/19; 12:36 PM EST = +8; signal line is +11 but algorithm remains long

9/3/19; 12:20 PM EST = +24; signal line is +10

9/3/19; 12:01 PM EST = +8; signal line is +9 but algorithm remains long

9/3/19; 11:54 AM EST = +24; signal line is +8

9/3/19; 11:16 AM EST = +8; signal line is +8 but algorithm remains long

9/3/19; 10:54 AM EST = +24; signal line is +9
9/3/19; 10:10 AM EST = +8; signal line is +9 but algorithm remains long
9/1/19; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +24; signal line is +9

Remember to Help the Needy

Always remember, it is better to help the needy than the greedy. With the end of summer at hand, and the cooler Fall, and colder winter weather on the way in the northern hemisphere, donate your old winter clothes to the local thrift shop. You know, that coat that no longer fits properly, that you said you would stop wearing at the end of last winter, or the coat that is no longer in style; it's time to donate it to the thrift store and let someone poor buy it for a couple bucks (maintaining their self-esteem and self-worth) and put it to good use. Kids need to be kept warm at the bus stops.

Clean out your closets and donate winter coats, tostle caps, hats, ear muffs, scarves, gloves and mittens to the local thrift shop. It is time to change out the summer clothes on the store floor and place the winter garb. Do not donate these wanted goods to the large well-known thrift store chain or chains. Instead, seek the local thrift shops since these stores are ran by volunteers that more directly help the poor in your community. The blue-haired gal's and silver-haired gentlemen there will be glad to accept your donations and see that the stuff is put to good use for the disadvantaged folks in your community.

Also, it is time go through the pantry and kitchen cabinets. There are canned goods you know you will never eat. Place them, and for that matter, the rest of your canned goods, in a bag and take them to the local food bank or thrift store. You can go out and restock with the stuff you like and the poor will be grateful for all of the canned goods. Going to bed hungry is something you will never understand unless you have lived-it or are living it now. Poor, disadvantaged and lower middle class children, with empty stomachs, do not learn as well as upper middle class and wealthy kids with full bellies.

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is long when US trading resumes on Tuesday morning. US markets are closed on Monday for the Labor Day holiday. The bulls are in control with the algo number 15 points above the signal line.

Bulls need stronger banks, XLF above 27.17, and/or stronger commodities, GTX above 2431, to prove that stocks want to rally strongly higher.

Bears need weaker semi's, SOX below 1476, and/or NYA below 12551, to regain control of the stock market.

The choppy sideways slop continues chewing up bulls and bears alike. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number on Friday. The trading month of August ended on Friday, EOM, so September trading begins on Tuesday morning with the SPX at 2926.

9/8/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/6/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/1/19; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +24; signal line is +9

8/30/19; 10:00 AM EST = +24; signal line is +8