STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips short this morning at SPX 3849 after volatility spikes higher. Retail stocks add extra downside fuel but by the end of the day volatility drops so stocks pop. The bears are in control of stock market direction but the algo number is only 4 measly points below the signal line. Bears will have to do better than that.

Bears need VIX above 24.17 or they got buptkis. Bears will also create carnage if UTIL loses 821.50 and/or SOX below 2985.

Bulls need stronger retail stocks and the selling will be over. Bulls need RTH above 159.77 to signal the all-clear for equities.

The battle is volatility versus retail stocks. If VIX pops above 24.17, the downside selling begins in force. If SOX loses 2985, the bottom falls out. If RTH moves above 159.77, bulls are fine and stocks will recover.

On the last trade, the algo program gains +2% and the actual trading gains +4%. On the year, which is only 7 weeks old, the S&P 500 benchmark index, the US stock market, is up +3%. The quant program is up +5% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +10%. Quick, Harry, pull the plug for Keybot out of the wall. That's +10% so let's go to the beach for the next 10 months. Keybot exits SSO and enters SDS remaining n the 2x leveraged ETF's.

Powell testifies before the House tomorrow; he flapped dovish wings today as expected and saved the stock market off the lows. The RTH is basically Scamazon stock so watch VIX from 3 AM EST on and see where AMZN is at pre-market and these two will tell you the story for hump day. AMZN is down marginally in late trading this evening.

2/28/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
2/26/21; 10:00 AM EST =
2/23/21; 1:18 PM EST = +48; signal line is +52
2/23/21; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +52
2/23/21; 9:36 AM EST = +34; signal line is +52
2/23/21; 9:30 AM EST = +50; signal line is +51; go short 3849; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +2.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.9%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +4.9%)(Actual results this trade = +3.9%; Actual results for 2021 = +9.5%)
2/23/21; 4:03 AM EST = +50; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
2/22/21; 8:39 AM EST = +64; signal line is +50
2/22/21; 7:35 AM EST = +50; signal line is +48
2/22/21; 3:58 AM EST = +64; signal line is +47
2/22/21; 3:06 AM EST = +50; signal line is +45
2/21/21; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +43
2/18/21; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +42
2/14/21; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +41
2/12/21; 1:07 PM EST = +64; signal line is +40
2/12/21; 12:59 PM EST = +80; signal line is +38
2/12/21; 12:45 PM EST = +64; signal line is +36
2/12/21; 10:00 AM EST = +80; signal line is +34
2/8/21; 9:36 AM EST = +80; signal line is +33
2/7/21; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +31
2/5/21; 9:00 AM EST = +64; signal line is +30
2/3/21; 10:47 AM EST = +52; signal line is +29
2/3/21; 10:32 AM EST = +38; signal line is +29
2/3/21; 9:36 AM EST = +52; signal line is +29
2/3/21; 3:06 AM EST = +36; signal line is +29
2/2/21; 1:04 PM EST = +22; signal line is +29 but algorithm remains long
2/2/21; 11:43 AM EST = +38; signal line is +30
2/2/21; 11:36 AM EST = +22; signal line is +31 but algorithm remains long
2/2/21; 11:17 AM EST = +38; signal line is +32
2/2/21; 9:36 AM EST = +22; signal line is +32 but algorithm remains long
2/1/21; 2:18 PM EST = +38; signal line is +34; go long 3779; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +0.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.9%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +3.0%)(Actual results this trade = +1.3%; Actual results for 2021 = +5.6%)