STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at SPX 4542 after the opening bell this morning. Retail stocks and semiconductors fail along with rising volatility but the situation remains very erratic and unstable.

The bears need SOX below 3622, now teasing at 3632 and dropping, and stocks will take a big leg lower. 

The bulls need lower volatility and the VIX to drop below 20.58 now at 21.57 one big figure higher. Bears win with lower chips while bears win with lower vol. The stock market will also move in the same direction as retail stocks.

On the last trade that ran for 9 days, the quant program is dead flat and the actual trading loses a little less than a percent. On the year thus far, the S&P500 benchmark index is down about -5%, the Keybot the Quant computer program is down about -2% and the actual trading is down about -1%. Nothing is off to a positive year thus far. Keybot exits QQQ and enters SDS now back into 2x leveraged ETF's since the whipsaw timer expires.

Stay on guard for a whipsaw. If the bulls get their lower volatility that will set things up to flip to the bull side again. If chips fail, it is likely forecasting that stocks are going to start dropping bigtime. The imminent turn notation is in the title line since the bears are only in control by 1 single algo point which is buptkis.

Oh me, oh my. As this message is finished, the chips are failing, or are they? SOX is at the line in the sand at 3622. This is big, for all the marbles. Price bounces on the first test of 3622; it will come back down and test again and give you the answer for the path forward.

2/13/22; 7:00 PM EST =
2/11/22; 10:00 AM EST =
2/10/22; 10:56 AM EST = +58; signal line is +59
2/10/22; 10:44 AM EST = +72; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains short
2/10/22; 10:20 AM EST = +58; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
2/10/22; 10:08 AM EST = +72; signal line is +55 but algorithm remains short
2/10/22; 10:07 AM EST = +58; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short
2/10/22; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +53; go short 4542; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -4.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.0%; Keybot algo for 2022 = -1.7%)(Actual results this trade = -0.7%; Actual results for 2022 = -1.2%)
2/10/22; 8:36 AM EST = +74; signal line is +53
2/10/22; 6:55 AM EST = +88; signal line is +52
2/10/22; 6:43 AM EST = +74; signal line is +49
2/10/22; 6:19 AM EST = +88; signal line is +47
2/10/22; 3:06 AM EST = +74; signal line is +45
2/9/22; 3:22 PM EST = +88; signal line is +43
2/9/22; 3:14 PM EST = +72; signal line is +40
2/9/22; 1:22 PM EST = +88; signal line is +37
2/9/22; 10:36 AM EST = +72; signal line is +34
2/9/22; 10:25 AM EST = +58; signal line is +31
2/9/22; 9:36 AM EST = +72; signal line is +29
2/9/22; 9:30 AM EST = +56; signal line is +26
2/9/22; 8:25 AM EST = +42; signal line is +25
2/9/22; 8:03 AM EST = +56; signal line is +23
2/7/22; 12:49 PM EST = +42; signal line is +21
2/7/22; 11:49 AM EST = +28; signal line is +20
2/7/22; 10:27 AM EST = +42; signal line is +19
2/7/22; 10:18 AM EST = +28; signal line is +18
2/7/22; 9:56 AM EST = +42; signal line is +17
2/6/22; 7:00 PM EST = +28; signal line is +16
2/4/22; 3:59 PM EST = +28; signal line is +15
2/4/22; 1:10 PM EST = +42; signal line is +14
2/4/22; 9:00 AM EST = +28; signal line is +13
2/3/22; 3:40 PM EST = +28; signal line is +11
2/3/22; 3:20 PM EST = +42; signal line is +10
2/3/22; 3:08 PM EST = +28; signal line is +8
2/1/22; 3:22 PM EST = +42; signal line is +7; go long 4533; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -4.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.7%; Keybot algo for 2022 = -1.7%)(Actual results this trade = +2.0%; Actual results for 2022 = -0.5%)