Monday, March 14, 2022

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the quant flips to the short side at SPX 4185 at munch time. Copper finally fails but it would have been more helpful if it would have failed days ago. This morning, with S&P futures up over 30 points, you saw that copper was down -2.2% so you knew the bears would growl.

Watch the CPER 27.66 bull/bear line in the sand. Bulls win above and bears below.

On the last trade that lingered for a little over 2 weeks, the quant program loses -3.4% and the actual trading loses a whopping -13.5%. The 2x technology ETF was taken to the shed out back and whipped good. Sometimes you win with the indexes, sometimes you lose. For the year thus far, the benchmark S&P 500 index, the United States stock market, is down more than -12%, in correction mode, and in a bear market by several technical metrics. The Keybot the Quant program is down a couple percent on the year thus far and the actual trading triggered by the quant is down -9% on the year giving up the gains due to the tech shellacking. Keybot exits QLD and enters SDS. The robot should be able to make up for the lost ground.

The stock market is erratic and unstable so do not be surprised if a whipsaw occurs. Copper is in control of stock market direction currently. If CPER pops back above 27.66, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be back in play. Copper provided all the hope in the stock market over the last 2 weeks keeping stocks buoyant but the hope in the red metal, and the market, was lost today. Dr Copper is the star of the show.

3/20/22; 7:00 PM EST =
3/17/22; 9:00 AM EST =
3/14/22; 12:56 PM EST = -18; signal line is -12; go short 4185; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -12.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -3.4%; Keybot algo for 2022 = -2.2%)(Actual results this trade = -13.5%; Actual results for 2022 = -8.9%)
3/14/22; 9:36 AM EST = -18; signal line is -12 but algorithm remains long
3/13/22; 7:00 PM EST = -2; signal line is -12
3/11/22; 10:00 AM EST = -2; signal line is -13
3/6/22; 7:00 PM EST = -2; signal line is -13
3/4/22; 9:00 AM EST = -2; signal line is -13
2/28/22; 7:00 PM EST EOM = -2; signal line is -15
2/28/22; 1:28 PM EST = -2; signal line is -15
2/28/22; 12:28 PM EST = -18; signal line is -15 but algorithm remains long
2/27/22; 7:00 PM EST = -2; signal line is -14
2/25/22; 10:45 AM EST = -2; signal line is -14; go long 4332; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -9.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.0%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +1.2%)(Actual results this trade = +3.7%; Actual results for 2022 = +4.6%)

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