STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips short after the opening bell at SPX 3934 after the wheels fell off the bank and retail sectors. Shortly thereafter, the NYA index loses 15191 and stocks begin puking profusely. The SPX is collapsing over 100 points.

Bulls need NYA above 15191 and/or XLF above 34.40 to right the ship and stop the selling. If either one of these occur, the downside is not going to be a big deal.

Bears need SOX below 2642 and UTIL below 975 to create more stock market carnage. The path forward will become bloody and ugly if either, or both, of these fail.

Thus, bulls need a stronger NYA index and banks, and retail stocks, while bears need weaker semiconductors and utilities. One of those parameters will flinch and tell you what is going on.

Stay on guard for a whipsaw because the markets are erratic and unstable.

On the last trade, that lasted over a month, the quant program and actual trading each gain about +2%. Humorously, that was a lot of time, and drama, for a lousy 2% but its better than losing money. For the year, with only a couple weeks remaining, the benchmark S&P 500, which is the United States stock market, the SPX, is down -18%. The Keybot the Quant program is up +29% on the year thus far and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +42%. Keybot exits QQQ and enters SDS back into the 2x leveraged ETF's after the whipsaw timer expired.

12/18/22; 7:00 PM EST =
12/15/22; 11:18 AM EST = -5; signal line is +28
12/15/22; 9:36 AM EST = +9; signal line is +29; go short 3934; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -17.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.5%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +29.3%)(Actual results this trade = +2.4%; Actual results for 2022 = +42.4%)
12/13/22; 8:35 AM EST = +41; signal line is +30
12/12/22; 3:26 PM EST = +27; signal line is +30 but algorithm remains long
12/12/22; 2:26 PM EST = +41; signal line is +30
12/12/22; 1:57 PM EST = +11; signal line is +30 but algorithm remains long
12/12/22; 9:53 AM EST = +25; signal line is +31 but algorithm remains long
12/12/22; 9:44 AM EST = +9; signal line is +31 but algorithm remains long
12/12/22; 9:36 AM EST = +25; signal line is +32 but algorithm remains long
12/11/22; 7:00 PM EST = +9; signal line is +32 but algorithm remains long
12/9/22; 3:29 PM EST = +9; signal line is +32 but algorithm remains long
12/9/22; 3:01 PM EST = +25; signal line is +33 but algorithm remains long
12/9/22; 2:38 PM EST = +41; signal line is +32
12/9/22; 2:10 PM EST = +25; signal line is +32 but algorithm remains long
12/9/22; 10:00 AM EST = +41; signal line is +32
12/8/22; 3:18 PM EST = +41; signal line is +31
12/8/22; 3:11 PM EST = +25; signal line is +30 but algorithm remains long
12/8/22; 12:06 PM EST = +41; signal line is +29
12/8/22; 11:21 AM EST = +25; signal line is +28 but algorithm remains long
12/8/22; 10:29 AM EST = +41; signal line is +27
12/7/22; 2:51 PM EST = +25; signal line is +26 but algorithm remains long
12/7/22; 2:39 PM EST = +41; signal line is +26
12/7/22; 2:01 PM EST = +25; signal line is +25 but algorithm remains long
12/6/22; 2:45 PM EST = +41; signal line is +25
12/6/22; 2:35 PM EST = +25; signal line is +24
12/6/22; 2:21 PM EST = +41; signal line is +24
12/5/22; 9:36 AM EST = +25; signal line is +24
12/4/22; 7:00 PM EST = +25; signal line is +24
12/4/22; 7:00 PM EST = +41; signal line is +24
12/2/22; 3:59 PM EST = +41; signal line is +24
12/2/22; 3:39 PM EST = +25; signal line is +24
12/2/22; 1:36 PM EST = +41; signal line is +24
12/2/22; 9:36 AM EST = +25; signal line is +24
12/2/22; 9:00 AM EST = +41; signal line is +24
11/30/22; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +41; signal line is +23
11/30/22; 3:14 PM EST = +41; signal line is +22
11/29/22; 10:00 AM EST = +25; signal line is +22
11/29/22; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is +22
11/28/22; 3:00 PM EST = +10; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains long
11/28/22; 11:56 AM EST = +26; signal line is +24
11/28/22; 10:56 AM EST = +10; signal line is +24 but algorithm remains long
11/27/22; 7:00 PM EST = +26; signal line is +25
11/23/22; 10:00 AM EST = +26; signal line is +25
11/22/22; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is +25
11/21/22; 12:35 PM EST = +10; signal line is +24 but algorithm remains long
11/21/22; 10:20 AM EST = -4; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains long
11/21/22; 9:53 AM EST = +10; signal line is +22 but algorithm remains long
11/21/22; 9:42 AM EST = -4; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains long
11/21/22; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains long
11/20/22; 7:00 PM EST = +26; signal line is +20
11/18/22; 3:06 PM EST = +26; signal line is +18
11/18/22; 12:13 PM EST = +12; signal line is +16 but algorithm remains long
11/18/22; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is +16
11/17/22; 9:36 AM EST = +12; signal line is +16 but algorithm remains long
11/17/22; 9:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +16
11/16/22; 2:25 PM EST = +40; signal line is +14
11/16/22; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is +13
11/15/22; 2:18 PM EST = +40; signal line is +12
11/15/22; 1:30 PM EST = +26; signal line is +11
11/15/22; 11:28 AM EST = +40; signal line is +9
11/15/22; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is +7
11/14/22; 3:59 PM EST = +12; signal line is +5
11/14/22; 2:11 PM EST = +26; signal line is +4
11/14/22; 1:12 PM EST = +40; signal line is +2
11/14/22; 12:57 PM EST = +26; signal line is -1
11/13/22; 7:00 PM EST = +40; signal line is -2
11/11/22; 1:08 PM EST = +40; signal line is -5
11/11/22; 11:15 AM EST = +26; signal line is -7
11/11/22; 10:17 AM EST = +40; signal line is -8
11/11/22; 10:00 AM EST = +26; signal line is -11
11/11/22; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is -13
11/10/22; 9:36 AM EST = +12; signal line is -15; go long 3876; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -18.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -2.2%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +27.8%)(Actual results this trade = -2.2%; Actual results for 2022 = +40.0%)