STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT; KEYBOT THE QUANT ACTUAL TRADING GAINS +45% IN 2022 AS US STOCK MARKET LOSES -19%

Keybot the Quant flips back to the short side yesterday, the last day of trading in 2022, at SPX 3803, and is now champing at the bit to go long again. If you blink it will probably change again. It is a whipsaw move after the quant flipped long on Thursday.

To begin 2023, the algo number is 9 points above the signal line so Keybot wants to flip long but cannot since the internal parameters will not fully latch as yet. If the SPX moves higher as trading begins on Tuesday, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long.

The SPX, the S&P 500, which is the United States stock market, folds like a cheap suit in 2022 losing -20.2% until the last hour of trading the index recovers +0.8% intraday to finish the year down -19.4%. Some jackasses like to use the silly -20% metric as the demarcation line for a bear market. Nonetheless, the market makers were not going to let 2022 close out that way so they pushed the jello around the plate on these days of thin trading to print the -19% number instead.

The Keybot the Quant algorithm program gains +30% in 2022 outperforming the benchmark SPX by 50 percentage points. The actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant gains a huge +45% in 2022 outperforming the US stock market by a humungous 65 percentage points. Keybot leaves the Wall Street hedge funds in the dust simply using 1's and 0's.

The flip to the short side yesterday after going long Thursday is a whipsaw so the quant is in the single 1x ETF mode until February to reduce risk in the chop-suey environment.

UTIL lost the 975 level a major bearish indication so watch this as soon as the opening bell rings on Tuesday. If UTIL remains below 975, the trap-door for stocks remains open and conditions will remain negative. If UTIL rises above 975, then 978.52, stocks will run strongly higher and this move to the upside likely has legs. Which outcome will occur?

If UTIL tags 975 heading higher, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long immediately. 

Bears need XLF below 34.08 and NYA below 15111 to create stock market negativity and increased selling pressure.

If the SPX floats higher at the opening bell, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long but a gap-up move is not desired since that may delay the move to the long side by about 90 minutes. If UTIL moves above 975.30, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long immediately. If UTIL then moves above 978.52, stocks are going to rock and roll higher.

Bears simply need to keep the S&P futures negative on Tuesday morning, keep utes negative and then cut banks and the NYA index off at the knees. This would create blood and carnage on Wall Street.

Keybot the Quant is in SH the 1x ETF that moves higher if the SPX moves lower. The robot will remain in the 1x ETF's until February when the whipsaw timer expires. Keybot senses choppy slop price action ahead so it drops down into the single ETF trading vehicles to reduce risk.

Keybot the Quant prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning. Keybot is on a roll for many years. Will the big effortless money-making party continue? It should since the robot was designed in a way that others cannot repeat its methods. Keybot does not play well with others. Let the 2023 festivities begin.

1/8/23; 7:00 PM EST =
1/6/23; 9:00 AM EST =
1/1/23; Begin 2023 Data = -16; signal line is -25; go short 3840; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +0.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.0%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +0.0%)(Actual results this trade = +0.0%; Actual results for 2023 = +0.0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2023 on the Short Side from SPX 3840

All Data 0%. Begin 2023

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

START 2023 PROGRAM

Begin Printing

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 12/31/22; 8:37 AM EST

START 2023 PROGRAM

Copyright Enforced. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014. 2015. 2016. 2017. 2018. 2019. 2020. 2021. 2022. 2023. Keybot the Quant. The Keystone Speculator. K E Stone. All Rights Reserved.

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

END OF 2022 RESULTS:

The SPX (S&P 500) Benchmark Index Loses -19.4% in 2022

(SPX Started at 4766 and Ended at 3840 Collapsing 926 Points Preventing a -20.2% Loss for the Year During the Final Hour of Trading in 2022)

Keybot the Quant Algorithm (Computer Program Only) During 2022: +29.8%

KEYBOT THE QUANT ACTUAL TRADING RETURN FOR 2022 INCLUDING ALL COMMISSIONS, COSTS AND FEES: +44.5%

Keybot the Quant has never printed a losing year

Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish (long) position and a bearish (short) position seeking the smoothest path through the trading year using the S&P 500 (SPX; the US stock market) as the benchmark comparison index

Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2022: 37

 

1/1/2022	4766	Go Long	6:11 AM	SPY	474.96
1/10/2022	4630	Sell Long	9:36 AM	SPY	467.42
1/10/2022	4630	Go Short	9:36 AM	SH	13.83
1/11/2022	4679	Cover Short	11:28 AM	SH	13.86
1/11/2022	4679	Go Long	11:28 AM	DIA	360.15
1/13/2022	4660	Sell Long	3:50 PM	DIA	360.96
1/13/2022	4660	Go Short	3:50 PM	DOG	31.86
2/1/2022	4533	Cover Short	3:22 PM	DOG	32.50
2/1/2022	4533	Go Long	3:22 PM	QQQ	363.93
2/10/2022	4542	Sell Long	9:36 AM	QQQ	361.35
2/10/2022	4542	Go Short	9:36 AM	SDS	38.32
2/15/2022	4461	Cover Short	9:43 AM	SDS	39.61
2/15/2022	4461	Go Long	9:43 AM	SSO	63.86
2/17/2022	4420	Sell Long	9:55 AM	SSO	62.69
2/17/2022	4420	Go Short	9:55 AM	SDS	40.30
2/25/2022	4332	Cover Short	10:45 AM	SDS	41.80
2/25/2022	4332	Go Long	10:45 AM	QLD	64.81
3/14/2022	4185	Sell Long	12:56 PM	QLD	56.08
3/14/2022	4185	Go Short	12:56 PM	SDS	44.29
3/16/2022	4314	Cover Short	9:36 AM	SDS	41.63
3/16/2022	4314	Go Long	9:36 AM	SPY	430.81
3/31/2022	4540	Sell Long	3:59 PM	SPY	458.76
3/31/2022	4540	Go Short	3:59 PM	SH	13.87
4/19/2022	4420	Cover Short	9:54 AM	SH	14.43
4/19/2022	4420	Go Long	9:54 AM	SSO	62.31
4/21/2022	4453	Sell Long	12:13 PM	SSO	63.25
4/21/2022	4453	Go Short	12:13 PM	SDS	38.60
5/27/2022	4127	Cover Short	11:43 AM	SDS	43.41
5/27/2022	4127	Go Long	11:43 AM	SSO	53.77
6/1/2022	4103	Sell Long	10:39 AM	SSO	53.13
6/1/2022	4103	Go Short	10:39 AM	SDS	43.85
6/2/2022	4102	Cover Short	10:17 AM	SDS	43.90
6/2/2022	4102	Go Long	10:17 AM	SPY	409.73
6/9/2022	4078	Sell Long	2:41 PM	SPY	407.56
6/9/2022	4078	Go Short	2:41 PM	SH	15.41
7/1/2022	3822	Cover Short	3:33 PM	SH	16.34
7/1/2022	3822	Go Long	3:33 PM	DIA	310.70
7/5/2022	3760	Sell Long	9:36 AM	DIA	305.82
7/5/2022	3760	Go Short	9:36 AM	SH	16.60
7/6/2022	3856	Cover Short	3:12 PM	SH	16.19
7/6/2022	3856	Go Long	3:12 PM	QQQ	289.96
7/12/2022	3831	Sell Long	3:02PM	QQQ	287.05
7/12/2022	3831	Go Short	3:02PM	DOG	35.87
7/15/2022	3855	Cover Short	10:33 AM	DOG	35.69
7/15/2022	3855	Go Long	10:33 AM	SPY	384.07
7/26/2022	3926	Sell Long	11:28 AM	SPY	391.65
7/26/2022	3926	Go Short	11:28 AM	RWM	24.53
7/27/2022	3959	Cover Short	9:36 AM	RWM	24.37
7/27/2022	3959	Go Long	9:36 AM	SPY	391.47
8/26/2022	4064	Sell Long	3:56 PM	SPY	404.89
8/26/2022	4064	Go Short	3:56 PM	SDS	43.00
9/7/2022	3944	Cover Short	11:25 AM	SDS	45.60
9/7/2022	3944	Go Long	11:25 AM	SSO	48.38
9/13/2022	3987	Sell Long	10:56 AM	SSO	49.34
9/13/2022	3987	Go Short	10:56 AM	SDS	44.43
10/13/2022	3620	Cover Short	11:20 AM	SDS	53.50
10/13/2022	3620	Go Long	11:20 AM	SSO	40.36
10/20/2022	3661	Sell Long	2:12 PM	SSO	41.18
10/20/2022	3661	Go Short	2:12 PM	SDS	51.68
10/21/2022	3742	Cover Short	2:09 PM	SDS	49.42
10/21/2022	3742	Go Long	2:09 PM	SPY	373.25
11/1/2022	3854	Sell Long	10:47 AM	SPY	382.85
11/1/2022	3854	Go Short	10:47 AM	SH	16.08
11/7/2022	3809	Cover Short	3:16 PM	SH	16.20
11/7/2022	3809	Go Long	3:16 PM	SPY	380.09
11/9/2022	794	Sell Long	10:39 AM	SPY	378.68
11/9/2022	3794	Go Short	10:39 AM	SH	16.26
11/10/2022	3876	Cover Short	9:36 AM	SH	15.91
11/10/2022	3876	Go Long	9:36 AM	QQQ	275.46
12/15/2022	3934	Sell Long	9:36 AM	QQQ	281.00
12/15/2022	3934	Go Short	9:36 AM	SDS	43.90
12/29/2022	3838	Cover Short	10:12 AM	SDS	46.01
12/29/2022	3838	Go Long	10:12 AM	SSO	44.41
12/30/2022	3803	Sell Long	1:26 PM	SSO	43.62
12/30/2022	3803	Go Short	1:26 PM	SH	16.17
12/31/2022	3840	Cover Short	8:37 AM	SH	16.03

 

Date – SPX – Position – Time Stamp – ETF – Price

Begin Printing Trade Data Entries Exits Reverse Order

FINAL 2022 RESULTS

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 12/31/22; 8:37 AM EST

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12/31/22; Algorithm Zeroed for 2023 Data EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2022 = -16; signal line is -25; go short 3840; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 Final = -19.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.0%; Keybot algo for 2022 Final = +29.8%)(Actual results this trade = -0.9%; Actual results for 2022 Final = +44.5%)
12/30/22; 3:36 PM EST = -16; signal line is -26 but algorithm remains short
12/30/22; 3:17 PM EST = -32; signal line is -27
12/30/22; 1:26 PM EST = -46; signal line is -27; go short 3803; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -20.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +30.8%)(Actual results this trade = -1.8%; Actual results for 2022 = +45.4%)
12/30/22; 1:25 PM EST = -32; signal line is -26 but algorithm remains long
12/30/22; 9:50 AM EST = -16; signal line is -27
12/29/22; 10:12 AM EST = +0; signal line is -27; go long 3838; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -19.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.4%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +31.7%)(Actual results this trade = +4.8%; Actual results for 2022 = +47.2%)