STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as King Donnie dials-back the tariff rhetoric sending stocks higher. The bulls are in control but the algo number is only 17 points above the signal line.

It is all about the banks. They are the main driver of the stock market currently. XLF finishes last week at 48.02 only one penny above the 48.01 bull/bear line in the sand identified by the robot before it happened. Thus, the XLF 48.01 demarcation line is the whole show tomorrow morning.

If bulls send XLF higher after the opening bell, the upside party continues for stocks. If the bears can push XLF below 48.01, consider the imminent turn notation to be in the title line. If the XLF fails at 48.01, and the SPX prints below 5456 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. The banks slipping away would be an easy ask but the SPX would need to retrace about 70 points to the downside to get the negativity ball rolling downhill again.

The bulls saved utilities last week preventing a major stock market failure, at least for now. UTIL begins the week at 1021 with the bull/bear line in the sand at 1013. Bad things will happen in the short-term, and going forward in the intermediate and long-term, for the stock market if utilities slip away and go sub 1013 and then sub 1000.

Commodities remain key and bulls need GTX above 3680 to prove that they got the juice to take stocks higher.

Keybot prints 3 pre-scheduled numbers this week one on Tuesday morning, another on Wednesday evening that closes out the month (EOM), and another on Friday morning before the opening bell. Watch the banks tomorrow morning. XLF will tell you the answer in the pre-market.

5/4/25; 7:00 PM EST =
5/2/25; 9:00 AM EST =
4/30/25; 7:00 PM EST =
4/29/25; 10:00 AM EST =
4/27/25; 7:00 PM EST = -31; signal line is -48
4/25/25; 2:41 PM EST = -31; signal line is -50
4/25/25; 1:51 PM EST = -47; signal line is -52
4/25/25; 1:12 PM EST = -31; signal line is -54
4/25/25; 10:00 AM EST = -47; signal line is -56
4/25/25; 9:57 AM EST = -47; signal line is -56
4/24/25; 12:31 PM EST = -31; signal line is -56
4/23/25; 11:51 AM EST = -47; signal line is -57
4/23/25; 10:07 AM EST = -31; signal line is -55
4/23/25; 9:49 AM EST = -15; signal line is -54
4/23/25; 9:36 AM EST = -31; signal line is -54
4/22/25; 10:41 AM EST = -47; signal line is -54; go long 5254 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = -10.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +4.3%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +5.2%)(Actual results this trade = +3.1%; Actual results for 2025 = +9.5%)