STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side this morning before munchtime at SPX 5254. Utilities run higher with an upside move so obscene it would make Caligula blush.  Utes and copper are holding-up the US stock market; everything else is in the crapper. The joyous rally today and happy futures this evening (S&P futures +100) are due to King Donnie backpedaling on the Powell besmirchment nonsense. The orange head says he will not fire Powell. Of course not, the idiot realized that he was only negotiating with himself while destroying the markets.

So the party is back on and now it is time to meet a hep girl at Big Town, as Roy sings. A classic. The bulls are running the show again with the algo number only 7 measly points above the signal line but that was enough to take control.

Utes, copper, banks and commodities are all that matter currently. Utes and copper are in the bull camp creating happy time. Banks and commodities are in the bear camp so if the bulls want to create upside strength, instead of petering out right away, they need these two parameters to flip bullish.

Bulls need XLF above 48.00 and/or GTX above 3680 to create strong upside in US stocks. If both turn bullish, stocks will be catapulting to the moon.

If status quo, with XLF and GTX remaining bearish and utes and copper bullish, stocks will stagger along sideways with a slight upward bias.

If UTIL loses the 1000 level, or if CPER loses 29.13, the Party Is Over, as Willie sings, and it is time to restart the beatings in the shed out behind the garage.

On the last trade that ran for about 3 weeks, the quant program gains about +4% and the actual trading gains about +3%. For the year, now well into Q2, the SPX benchmark is puking -11%. The quant program is up about +5% and the actual trading is up double-digits on the year +10%. The actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant is outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark index by a huge 21 percentage-points. Put that in your pipe and smoke it. Everyone else is cryin' and moanin' about losing their shirts; they should have stuck with the robot. Keybot the Quant exited SH and entered SPY remaining in the single 1x ETF's for another 11 days until the whipsaw timer expires. After 11 more days, the quant will use the 2x leveraged ETF's again when it changes direction, as long as whipsaw choppy slop is not occurring.

Utilities and copper can immediately tell you if the stock market is falling flat on its face if they fail. Banks and commodities tell you if there is further glory ahead for the bulls, or if it is a faux rally.

4/27/25; 7:00 PM EST =
4/25/25; 10:00 AM EST =
4/22/25; 10:41 AM EST = -47; signal line is -54; go long 5254 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = -10.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +4.3%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +5.2%)(Actual results this trade = +3.1%; Actual results for 2025 = +9.5%)
4/22/25; 9:36 AM EST = -47; signal line is -53 but algorithm remains short
4/21/25; 11:52 AM EST = -63; signal line is -52
4/20/25; 7:00 PM EST = -47; signal line is -51 but algorithm remains short
4/18/25; 11:15 AM EST = -47; signal line is -50 but algorithm remains short
4/18/25; 9:36 AM EST = -63; signal line is -48
4/17/25; 11:21 AM EST = -47; signal line is -47 but algorithm remains short
4/17/25; 9:36 AM EST = -63; signal line is -46
4/17/25; 9:00 AM EST = -47; signal line is -44
4/16/25; 10:49 AM EST = -47; signal line is -43
4/16/25; 10:33 AM EST = -63; signal line is -41
4/16/25; 10:26 AM EST = -47; signal line is -40
4/15/25; 9:36 AM EST = -63; signal line is -39
4/14/25; 1:32 PM EST = -47; signal line is -38
4/13/25; 7:00 PM EST = -63; signal line is -37
4/11/25; 1:46 PM EST = -63; signal line is -36
4/11/25; 12:22 PM EST = -79; signal line is -34
4/11/25; 10:00 AM EST = -95; signal line is -32
4/6/25; 7:00 PM EST = -95; signal line is -28
4/4/25; 12:45 PM EST = -95; signal line is -24
4/4/25; 12:21 PM EST = -79; signal line is -21
4/4/25; 9:36 AM EST = -63; signal line is -18
4/4/25; 9:00 AM EST = -47; signal line is -16
4/3/25; 9:36 AM EST = -47; signal line is -15; go short 5488 (Benchmark SPX for 2025 = -6.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -3.0%; Keybot algo for 2025 = +0.9%)(Actual results this trade = -5.1%; Actual results for 2025 = +6.4%)