Keybot the Quant Algorithm Final 2023 Results; Another Banner Year

Keybot the Quant logs another profitable year this year. Was there ever any doubt? Actually, yes, considering the robot was underwater in September. It was a whipsaw choppy sloppy market all year long chewing up bulls and bears alike. The SPX maintained an upward bias during the year amidst the chop. The big money was made on the short side during September and October and then on the long side during November and December.

Keybot the Quant algorithm is rezeroed for the new year. The robot remains in SH the 1x short ETF that moves opposite to the S&P 500 on an equal or near-equal percentage basis.

The benchmark SPX gains a big +24% in 2023 with America's wealthy cheering the age of crony capitalism and endless money-printing. The Keybot the Quant algorithm program that dictates the flips from long to short and visa versa, gains +13% in 2023. The actual trading generated by the quant, using 1x and 2x ETF's, jumps +23% in 2023 keeping pace with the benchmark S&P 500 index.

Many investment houses pulled the plug on their algorithms half-way through the year since their programs cannot navigate the choppy whipsaw slop. The superiority of Keybot the Quant is obvious this year navigating the treacherous choppy market waters while other robots fail. 2023 was similar to 2017 another year that exhibited choppy whipsaw slop chewing up bulls and bears alike. Trending markets is where you make the dough and this was on full display from September through year-end.

Utilities, commodities and copper are controlling stock market direction as Baby New Year 2024 begins to crawl. UTIL 871.27 is the key bull/bear line in the sand for the week ahead with price starting at 882. This means utes will create stock market bullishness out of the gate tomorrow morning. If UTIL floats higher especially above 9 hundo, the stock market rally has legs. If UTIL begins the day soggy and then slips below 871, the stock market is in trouble and will likely begin sliding down the rabbit hole.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number on Friday morning before the market opens in the States. Happy New Year! Auld Lang Syne.

1/7/24; 7:00 PM EST =
1/5/24; 9:00 AM EST =
1/1/24; Begin 2024 Data = +18; signal line is +24; go short 4770; (Benchmark SPX for 2024 = +0.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.0%; Keybot algo for 2024 = +0.0%)(Actual results this trade = +0.0%; Actual results for 2024 = +0.0%)
 
Keybot the Quant Begins 2024 on the Short Side from SPX 4770
 
All Data 0%. Begin 2024
 
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START 2024 PROGRAM
 
Begin Printing
 
Mark and Set
 
Date Stamp 1/1/24; 4:25 AM EST
 
START 2024 PROGRAM
 
Copyright Enforced. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014. 2015. 2016. 2017. 2018. 2019. 2020. 2021. 2022. 2023. 2024. Keybot the Quant. The Keystone Speculator. K E Stone. All Rights Reserved.
 
End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End
 
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END OF 2023 RESULTS:
 
The SPX (S&P 500) Benchmark Index Gains a Huge 24.2% in 2023
(SPX Started 2023 at 3840 and Ended at 4770 Catapulting 930 Points Higher Reversing the Huge 2022 Collapse of 926 Points)
 
Keybot the Quant Algorithm (Computer Program Only) During 2023: +12.9%
 
KEYBOT THE QUANT ACTUAL TRADING RETURN FOR 2023 INCLUDING ALL COMMISSIONS, COSTS AND FEES: +22.5%
 
Keybot the Quant has never printed a losing year
 
Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish (long) position and a bearish (short) position seeking the smoothest path through the trading year using the S&P 500 (SPX; the US stock market) as the benchmark comparison index
 
Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2023: 40
 

12/31/2022	3840	Go Short	8:37 AM	SH	16.03
1/4/2023	3841	Cover Short	9:47 AM	SH	16.02
1/4/2023	3841	Go Long	9:47 AM	SPY	382.83
1/30/2023	4023	Sell Long	2:52 PM	SPY	401.04
1/30/2023	4023	Go Short	2:52 PM	SDS	41.91
1/31/2023	4059	Cover Short	2:52 PM	SDS	41.16
1/31/2023	4059	Go Long	2:52 PM	SPY	404.65
2/21/2023	4024	Sell Long	10:15 AM	SPY	401.81
2/21/2023	4024	Go Short	10:15 AM	SH	15.35
2/23/2023	4018	Cover Short	9:36 AM	SH	15.39
2/23/2023	4018	Go Long	9:36 AM	SPY	403.49
2/23/2023	3977	Sell Long	11:43 AM	SPY	397.21
2/23/2023	3977	Go Short	11:43 AM	SH	15.55
2/27/2023	4017	Cover Short	10:09 AM	SH	15.40
2/27/2023	4017	Go Long	10:09 AM	DIA	331.81
3/1/2023	3955	Sell Long	10:09 AM	DIA	326.61
3/1/2023	3955	Go Short	10:09 AM	PSQ	13.47
3/2/2023	3978	Cover Short	3:17 PM	PSQ	13.41
3/2/2023	3978	Go Long	3:17 PM	QQQ	293.33
3/7/2023	4024	Sell Long	10:03 AM	QQQ	298.37
3/7/2023	4024	Go Short	10:03 AM	DOG	33.40
3/21/2023	4004	Cover Short	3:40 PM	DOG	34.19
3/21/2023	4004	Go Long	3:40 PM	QQQ	310.37
3/23/2023	3936	Sell Long	2:40 PM	QQQ	308.16
3/23/2023	3936	Go Short	2:40 PM	SDS	43.45
3/27/2023	3984	Cover Short	1:28 PM	SDS	42.46
3/27/2023	3984	Go Long	1:28 PM	SSO	47.24
4/20/2023	4118	Sell Long	3:16 PM	SSO	50.30
4/20/2023	4118	Go Short	3:16 PM	SDS	39.95
5/1/2023	4172	Cover Short	10:00 AM	SDS	39.02
5/1/2023	4172	Go Long	10:00 AM	SSO	51.47
5/2/2023	4152	Sell Long	9:39 AM	SSO	51.04
5/2/2023	4152	Go Short	9:39 AM	SH	14.91
5/5/2023	4104	Cover Short	9:36 AM	SH	15.09
5/5/2023	4104	Go Long	9:36 AM	SPY	409.28
5/12/2023	4104	Sell Long	12:47 PM	SPY	409.68
5/12/2023	4104	Go Short	12:47 PM	SH	15.10
5/17/2023	4137	Cover Short	12:32 PM	SH	14.98
5/17/2023	4137	Go Long	12:32 PM	SPY	413.00
5/24/2023	4128	Sell Long	9:30 AM	SPY	412.18
5/24/2023	4128	Go Short	9:30 AM	DOG	33.85
5/26/2023	4197	Cover Short	10:37 AM	DOG	33.73
5/26/2023	4197	Go Long	10:37 AM	DIA	331.13
6/26/2023	4336	Sell Long	12:11 PM	DIA	337.10
6/26/2023	4336	Go Short	12:11 PM	SDS	36.03
7/7/2023	4425	Cover Short	12:30 PM	SDS	34.70
7/7/2023	4425	Go Long	12:30 PM	SSO	57.51
8/2/2023	4518	Sell Long	10:58 AM	SSO	59.73
8/2/2023	4518	Go Short	10:58 AM	SDS	33.48
8/4/2023	4524	Cover Short	9:33 AM	SDS	59.80
8/4/2023	4524	Go Long	9:33 AM	SSO	59.80
8/8/2023	4479	Sell Long	9:45 AM	SSO	58.69
8/8/2023	4479	Go Short	9:45 AM	SDS	34.10
8/10/2023	4506	Cover Short	9:36 AM	SDS	33.78
8/10/2023	4506	Go Long	9:36 AM	DDM	71.21
8/10/2023	4461	Sell Long	1:57 PM	DDM	70.00
8/10/2023	4461	Go Short	1:57 PM	SH	13.94
8/14/2023	4481	Cover Short	10:51 AM	SH	13.90
8/14/2023	4481	Go Long	10:51 AM	SPY	447.11
8/15/2023	4450	Sell Long	10:10 AM	SPY	444.19
8/15/2023	4450	Go Short	10:10 AM	PSQ	10.71
8/23/2023	4431	Cover Short	12:43 PM	PSQ	10.68
8/23/2023	4431	Go Long	12:43 PM	QQQ	368.82
8/24/2023	4428	Sell Long	10:31 AM	QQQ	366.61
8/24/2023	4428	Go Short	10:31 AM	RWM	23.32
8/29/2023	4446	Cover Short	9:47 AM	RWM	23.24
8/29/2023	4446	Go Long	9:47 AM	IWM	185.77
9/6/2023	4464	Sell Long	10:50 AM	IWM	186.30
9/6/2023	4464	Go Short	10:50 AM	DOG	32.61
9/14/2023	4499	Cover Short	11:10 AM	DOG	32.35
9/14/2023	4499	Go Long	11:10 AM	IWM	185.69
9/15/2023	4466	Sell Long	10:57 AM	IWM	183.72
9/15/2023	4466	Go Short	10:57 AM	SH	14.02
11/1/2023	4209	Cover Short	9:48 AM	SH	14.84
11/1/2023	4209	Go Long	9:48 AM	SSO	51.03
12/20/2023	4705	Sell Long	3:57 PM	SSO	63.37
12/20/2023	4705	Go Short	3:57 PM	SDS	30.66
12/22/2023	4769	Cover Short	9:45 AM	SDS	29.89
12/22/2023	4769	Go Long	9:45 AM	SPY	474.95
12/29/2023	4777	Sell Long	10:46 AM	SPY	475.91
12/29/2023	4777	Go Short	10:46 AM	SH	12.97
12/31/2023	4770	Cover Short	4:25 AM	SH	12.99

 
Date – SPX – Position – Time Stamp – ETF – Price
 
Begin Printing Trade Data Entries Exits Reverse Order
 
FINAL 2023 RESULTS
 
Mark and Set
 
Date Stamp 1/1/24; 4:25 AM EST
 
End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End
 
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12/31/23; Algorithm Zeroed for 2024 Data EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2023 = +18; signal line is +23; go short 4770; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 Final = +24.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.2%; Keybot algo for 2023 Final = +12.9%)(Actual results this trade = +0.2%; Actual results for 2023 Final = +22.5%)
12/29/23; 10:46 AM EST = +18; signal line is +23; go short 4777; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +24.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.2%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +12.7%)(Actual results this trade = +0.2%; Actual results for 2023 = +22.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side yesterday morning at SPX 4777. The robot was champing at the bit all week long to go short and finally commits on Friday as another successful year draws to a close.

The last trade ran for a week with marginal gains in the S&P 500 benchmark, the quant program and the actual trading generated by the quant. The SPX is up a huge +24% this year with the actual trading generated by the quant in step with a +23% gain in 2023.

Keybot the Quant will be rezeroed tomorrow morning for the new year ahead and to provide the final results of 2023. Keybot exited SPY and entered SH remaining in the 1x ETF's since the whipsaw timer remains active. Imagine.

12/31/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2023 =
12/29/23; 10:46 AM EST = +18; signal line is +23; go short 4777; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +24.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.2%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +12.7%)(Actual results this trade = +0.2%; Actual results for 2023 = +22.3%)
12/26/23; 9:36 AM EST = +18; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains long
12/24/23; 7:00 PM EST = +34; signal line is +23
12/22/23; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22
12/22/23; 9:45 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22; go long 4769; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +24.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.4%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +12.5%)(Actual results this trade = -2.5%; Actual results for 2023 = +22.1%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant whipsaws back to the long side at SPX 4769. The choppy whipsaw slop that is the hallmark of 2023 continues into year end. The quant program loses about a percent on the 7-hour trade and the actual trading loses -2.5%. For the year with only 4 trading days remaining, the benchmark S&P 500 index is up a huge +24%. The Keybot the Quant algo program is up +13% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +22% this year. The whipsaw timer is triggered so the robot drops into single 1x ETF's for the next 30 days to lessen risk in the choppy slop. Keybot exited SDS and entered SPY.

UTIL 871.75 is a meaningless number now replaced with 892.13. UTIL is at 873 so utes would fail out of the gate on Tuesday creating negativity. The SPX likely needs to drop through 4737 on Tuesday for the quant to whipsaw back to the short side. If UTIL remains below 892 and copper weakens, stocks will begin falling apart.

Bulls need higher utilities and commodities to continue the rally. It's not Christmas without Jingle Bell Rock.

12/31/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2023 =
12/24/23; 7:00 PM EST =
12/22/23; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22
12/22/23; 9:45 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22; go long 4769; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +24.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.4%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +12.5%)(Actual results this trade = -2.5%; Actual results for 2023 = +22.1%)
12/22/23; 9:37 AM EST = +34; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains short
12/21/23; 11:12 AM EST = +18; signal line is +20
12/21/23; 9:48 AM EST = +34; signal line is +20 but algorithm remains short
12/20/23; 3:57 PM EST = +18; signal line is +20; go short 4705; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +22.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +11.8%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +13.9%)(Actual results this trade = +24.2%; Actual results for 2023 = +24.6%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at the end of the session at SPX 4705. The last trade ran for about 7 weeks with the algo program gaining about +12% and the actual trading gaining a humongous +24%. On the year, with only 6 trading days remaining, the S&P 500 benchmark index, the US stock market, is up a big +23%. Wowza. The Keybot the Quant program is up +14% on the year and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +25% beating the benchmark. Comically, it looked like the robot may log its first negative year ever only 2 months ago. Keybot exited SSO and entered SDS remaining in the 2x leveraged ETF's.

If UTIL remains below 871, stocks will continue lower. If copper drops, stocks will be toast. Bulls need UTIL above 871 and they will be able to right the ship. Utes will tell you who wins.

It's Christmastime and the band is back together for holiday fun. Now back to Darlene's song; that girl is a gift from heaven.

12/24/23; 7:00 PM EST =
12/22/23; 10:00 AM EST =
12/20/23; 3:57 PM EST = +18; signal line is +20; go short 4705; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +22.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +11.8%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +13.9%)(Actual results this trade = +24.2%; Actual results for 2023 = +24.6%)
12/20/23; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +19
12/19/23; 9:00 AM EST = +32; signal line is +17
12/17/23; 7:00 PM EST = +32; signal line is +16
12/13/23; 12:59 PM EST = +32; signal line is +14
12/13/23; 3:41 PM EST = +48; signal line is +13
12/13/23; 10:51 AM EST = +32; signal line is +11
12/13/23; 9:36 AM EST = +32; signal line is +10
12/12/23; 10:02 AM EST = +32; signal line is +10
12/12/23; 9:36 AM EST = +16; signal line is +9
12/11/23; 9:36 AM EST = +32; signal line is +9
12/10/23; 7:00 PM EST = +16; signal line is +7
12/8/23; 10:00 AM EST = +16; signal line is +7
12/8/23; 9:00 AM EST = +16; signal line is +7
12/7/23; 11:30 AM EST = +16; signal line is +6
12/7/23; 11:11 AM EST = +0; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains long
12/7/23; 10:45 AM EST = +16; signal line is +6
12/7/23; 10:18 AM EST = +0; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains long
12/7/23; 9:36 AM EST = +16; signal line is +5
12/6/23; 11:37 AM EST = +0; signal line is +4 but algorithm remains long
12/3/23; 7:00 PM EST = +16; signal line is +3
11/30/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +16; signal line is -2
11/28/23; 10:00 AM EST = +16; signal line is +0
11/26/23; 7:00 PM EST = +16; signal line is -2
11/22/23; 10:00 AM EST = +16; signal line is -4
11/19/23; 7:00 PM EST = +16; signal line is -7
11/17/23; 9:00 AM EST = +16; signal line is -10
11/14/23; 9:36 AM EST = +16; signal line is -14
11/13/23; 10:45 AM EST = +2; signal line is -17
11/12/23; 7:00 PM EST = -14; signal line is -21
11/10/23; 10:00 AM EST = -14; signal line is -23
11/9/23; 11:51 AM EST = -14; signal line is -24
11/9/23; 9:45 AM EST = +2; signal line is -26
11/8/23; 10:54 AM EST = -14; signal line is -28
11/7/23; 9:36 AM EST = +2; signal line is -29
11/6/23; 2:42 PM EST = +16; signal line is -33
11/6/23; 1:18 PM EST = +0; signal line is -37
11/6/23; 9:36 AM EST = +16; signal line is -39
11/5/23; 7:00 PM EST = +2; signal line is -43
11/3/23; 3:30 PM EST = +2; signal line is -45
11/3/23; 2:33 PM EST = +16; signal line is -48
11/3/23; 1:12 PM EST = +2; signal line is -51
11/3/23; 9:45 AM EST = +16; signal line is -54
11/3/23; 9:00 AM EST = +0; signal line is -57
11/2/23; 3:13 PM EST = +0; signal line is -60
11/2/23; 11:32 AM EST = -14; signal line is -62
11/2/23; 11:11 AM EST = -28; signal line is -64
11/2/23; 10:42 AM EST = -14; signal line is -66
11/2/23; 10:39 AM EST = -28; signal line is -68
11/2/23; 10:37 AM EST = -44; signal line is -69
11/2/23; 9:56 AM EST = -30; signal line is -70
11/1/23; 3:46 PM EST = -44; signal line is -70
11/1/23; 3:24 PM EST = -60; signal line is -70
11/1/23; 3:01 PM EST = -76; signal line is -70 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 2:46 PM EST = -90; signal line is -69 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 2:36 PM EST = -76; signal line is -68 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 1:38 PM EST = -90; signal line is -67 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 12:26 PM EST = -76; signal line is -66 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 12:17 PM EST = -60; signal line is -65
11/1/23; 10:27 AM EST = -46; signal line is -65
11/1/23; 9:48 AM EST = -60; signal line is -65; go long 4209; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +9.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +5.8%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +2.1%)(Actual results this trade = +5.9%; Actual results for 2023 = +0.4%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the bull side this morning at SPX 4209.

On the last trade, that ran for 6 weeks, the quant gains almost +6%. Ditto the actual trading generated by the robot. For the year thus far, with only 2 months remaining, the benchmark S&P 500 is up almost +10% giving back a lot over the last 3 months. The quant program is up a couple percent this year so far and the actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant is a smidgeon positive on the year. Perhaps Keybot may not finish in the red this year after all? (The robot has never had a negative year since it went on line in 2008.) Keybot exits SH and enters SSO back into the 2x ETF's since the whipsaw timer has expired. 

11/5/23; 7:00 PM EST =
11/3/23; 9:00 AM EST =
11/1/23; 3:46 PM EST = -44; signal line is -70
11/1/23; 3:24 PM EST = -60; signal line is -70
11/1/23; 3:01 PM EST = -76; signal line is -70 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 2:46 PM EST = -90; signal line is -69 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 2:36 PM EST = -76; signal line is -68 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 1:38 PM EST = -90; signal line is -67 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 12:26 PM EST = -76; signal line is -66 but algorithm remains long
11/1/23; 12:17 PM EST = -60; signal line is -65
11/1/23; 10:27 AM EST = -46; signal line is -65
11/1/23; 9:48 AM EST = -60; signal line is -65; go long 4209; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +9.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +5.8%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +2.1%)(Actual results this trade = +5.9%; Actual results for 2023 = +0.4%)
11/1/23; 9:36 AM EST = -60; signal line is -65 but algorithm remains short
10/31/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM = -90; signal line is -65
10/31/23; 1:16 PM EST = -90; signal line is -64
10/31/23; 10:00 AM EST = -76; signal line is -62
10/31/23; 9:36 AM EST = -76; signal line is -61
10/30/23; 3:59 PM EST = -60; signal line is -60 but algorithm remains short
10/30/23; 1:36 PM EST = -76; signal line is -60
10/30/23; 1:27 PM EST = -90; signal line is -59
10/30/23; 12:48 PM EST = -76; signal line is -58
10/30/23; 11:54 AM EST = -60; signal line is -56
10/30/23; 10:30 AM EST = -76; signal line is -57
10/30/23; 9:36 AM EST = -60; signal line is -57
10/29/23; 7:00 PM EST = -76; signal line is -57
10/27/23; 10:00 AM EST = -76; signal line is -57
10/25/23; 12:07 PM EST = -76; signal line is -57
10/22/23; 7:00 PM EST = -62; signal line is -56
10/18/23; 9:36 AM EST = -62; signal line is -56
10/18/23; 9:00 AM EST = -46; signal line is -56 but algorithm remains short
10/17/23; 3:31 PM EST = -46; signal line is -56 but algorithm remains short
10/17/23; 2:56 PM EST = -62; signal line is -57
10/17/23; 2:46 PM EST = -46; signal line is -56 but algorithm remains short
10/17/23; 1:58 PM EST = -62; signal line is -57
10/17/23; 11:20 AM EST = -46; signal line is -56 but algorithm remains short
10/17/23; 9:36 AM EST = -62; signal line is -57
10/16/23; 3:10 PM EST = -46; signal line is -56 but algorithm remains short
10/16/23; 2:43 PM EST = -62; signal line is -56
10/16/23; 1:46 PM EST = -46; signal line is -55 but algorithm remains short
10/16/23; 1:25 PM EST = -62; signal line is -54
10/16/23; 12:28 PM EST = -46; signal line is -53 but algorithm remains short
10/16/23; 12:04 PM EST = -62; signal line is -52
10/16/23; 11:15 AM EST = -46; signal line is -51 but algorithm remains short
10/16/23; 11:05 AM EST = -30; signal line is -47 but algorithm remains short
10/16/23; 10:15 AM EST = -46; signal line is -46 but algorithm remains short
10/15/23; 7:00 PM EST = -62; signal line is -44
10/13/23; 10:57 AM EST = -62; signal line is -42
10/13/23; 10:00 AM EST = -46; signal line is -39
10/10/23; 10:17 AM EST = -46; signal line is -36
10/9/23; 9:36 AM EST = -62; signal line is -34
10/8/23; 7:00 PM EST = -76; signal line is -31
10/6/23; 9:00 AM EST = -76; signal line is -27
10/5/23; 9:36 AM EST = -76; signal line is -24
10/1/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 = -49; signal line is -8
9/29/23; 10:00 AM EST = -49; signal line is -5
9/24/23; 7:00 PM EST = -49; signal line is -2
9/22/23; 3:39 PM EST = -49; signal line is +1
9/22/23; 3:14 PM EST = -35; signal line is +4
9/22/23; 1:29 PM EST = -49; signal line is +6
9/22/23; 10:05 AM EST = -35; signal line is +9
9/22/23; 9:58 AM EST = -49; signal line is +12
9/22/23; 9:36 AM EST = -35; signal line is +15
9/21/23; 3:55 PM EST = -49; signal line is +18
9/21/23; 10:49 AM EST = -35; signal line is +20
9/21/23; 9:53 AM EST = -19; signal line is +22
9/21/23; 9:42 AM EST = -35; signal line is +24
9/20/23; 3:59 PM EST = -19; signal line is +27
9/19/23; 9:00 AM EST = -5; signal line is +28
9/18/23; 12:20 PM EST = -5; signal line is +29
9/18/23; 9:36 AM EST = +11; signal line is +29
9/17/23; 7:00 PM EST = +27; signal line is +30
9/15/23; 11:21 AM EST = +27; signal line is +29
9/15/23; 11:04 AM EST = +11; signal line is +29
9/15/23; 10:57 AM EST = +27; signal line is +29; go short 4466; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +16.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.7%; Keybot algo for 2023 = -3.7%)(Actual results this trade = -1.1%; Actual results for 2023 = -5.5%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The algo remains quiet the last 2 weeks. Commodities fail creating the leg lower in stocks. Friday is a big recovery rally for equities but it did not move the needle on the quant. The bears are cruising with the algo number 49 points below the signal line.

Bears need SPX below 4210 to create Armageddon but price recovers on Friday to 4309. The S&P 500 fell to 4216 last week teasing carnage, but the bulls pumped tech and semiconductor stocks to save the day.

Bulls need either SOX above 3504 and/or GTX above 3560 to stop the stock market selling and stabilize conditions. The chips/tech stocks will likely tell you a lot about the market in the days ahead. Bulls got nothing unless they can push SOX back above 3504 (this tells you that the relief rally has legs).

The US stock market remains in a crash profile going forward. Bears need SPX below 4210 which will create market carnage and a likely crash.

Bulls need SOX 3504 and/or GTX 3560 to prove that they can stage a comeback rally, a New York Comeback as Lucinda and the Boss sing.

10/8/23; 7:00 PM EST =
10/6/23; 9:00 AM EST = -76; signal line is -27
10/5/23; 9:36 AM EST = -76; signal line is -24
10/1/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 = -49; signal line is -8

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains bearish after a sleepy last week. There may be lots of drama going on but the underlying stock market parameters held completely steady in the bear camp with the algo number 41 points below the signal line. The quant did not print any numbers last week except for the pre-scheduled number on Friday morning.

For the level of negativity in the market as per the quant, it is surprising that stocks have not dropped further. Bulls are clinging on to commodities as their lifeline; it is a sector that has not broken down yet.

The bears will create blood and carnage on Wall Street if the SPX drops below 4177. The S&P 500 begins at 4288 only about a hundo points away. The US stock market will likely crash if the 4177 fails. This is not a joke.

If the bulls want to stop the bears, they need stronger chips and NYA index. Bulls need SOX above 3515 and/or NYA above 15629 to stop the stock market selling. Either one would do. The stock market would then need further positives to stage a legitimate rally, but it would at least stop the bleeding. If both parameters turn bullish a strong relief rally will be underway.

Bulls can stabilize the stock market and start a relief rally with SOX 3515, NYA 15629, and a VIX below 15.

Bears will likely send the US stock market into a crash if SPX 4177 fails. October is the month for crashes. The stock market is exhibiting a crash profile for the last few weeks due to the failure and weakness in the utilities. There may be lots of fun on tap to end the year. The Girls Just Want to Have Fun.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning before the opening bell. Q3 is in the bag and the first day of trading for Q4 begins tomorrow.

10/8/23; 7:00 PM EST =
10/6/23; 9:00 AM EST =
10/1/23; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 = -49; signal line is -8
9/29/23; 10:00 AM EST = -49; signal line is -5
9/24/23; 7:00 PM EST = -49; signal line is -2