Tuesday, January 1, 2013

FINAL 2012 RESULTS -- 2013 BEGINS -- STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is long to start the new year of trading after a wild last day finish. Yesterday was the largest up day in the markets for a last day of the year in history. The fiscal cliff resolution lit a fire under the markets with semi's, copper, financials and retail are leaping into the bull camp creating the upside acceleration.  The algo is zeroed to begin 2013.

The 2012 results show the SPX Benchmark index rising from 1258 to 1426, a gain of 13.4%.  Keybot's algorithm program gained 22.3%, beating the Benchmark, and the actual trading return (which accounts for mechanical deficiencies, commissions and other costs and fees) gained 20.0%. 2012 was another successful year for Keybot the Quant in a very tricky trading environment.

For Wednesday trading, the market bears need to see RTH 43.55 to reestablish the downside. Barring this, the markets will continue sideways to sideways up. For the SPX starting the new year at 1426, the bulls only need to touch 1427 after the opening bell and this will create an upside acceleration.  The bears are simply trying to stop the upside momo by pushing RTH under 43.55. The House reconvenes today, New Year's Day, at noon time to vote on the fiscal cliff resolution.

1/6/13; 7:00 PM EST =
1/4/13; 9:00 AM EST =
1/1/13; Begin 2013 Data Set = +17; signal line is -4; go long 1426; (Benchmark SPX for 2013  = 0%)(Keybot this trade = 0%; Keybot for 2013 = 0%)(Actual this trade = 0%; Actual for 2013 = 0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2013 on the Long Side from SPX 1426. All Data 0%. Begin 2013.

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START 2013 PROGRAM

Begin Printing

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/13; 8:11 AM EST

START 2013 PROGRAM

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END OF 2012 RESULTS:

SPX Benchmark Final 2012:  13.4% Return (SPX Started at 1258 and Ended at 1426)

Keybot the Quant Actual Trading 20.0% Return Beating the SPX Benchmark

Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish position and a bearish position only.

Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2011:  33
Number of Broker Commissions Required During 2012:  66

Benchmark SPX During 2012:  +13.4% Return

Keybot the Quant Algorithm (the Quant Program Only) During 2012: +22.3% Return

Keybot the Quant Actual Trading (Actual Trading with the Quant Using ETF’s) During 2012:  +20.0% Return

Begin Printing

FINAL 2012

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/13; 5:27 AM EST

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1/1/13; Algorithm Zeroed for 2013 Data = +17; signal line is -4; go long 1426; (Benchmark SPX for 2012 Final = +13.4%)(Keybot this trade = +0.4%; Keybot for 2012 Final = +22.3%)(Actual this trade = +0.4%; Actual for 2012 Final = +20.0%)
12/31/12; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ4 EOH2 EOY2012 = +17; signal line is -4
12/31/12; 2:51 PM EST = +17; signal line is -5; go long 1419; (Benchmark SPX for 2012 = +12.8%)(Keybot this trade = +1.1%; Keybot for 2012 = +21.9%)(Actual this trade = +1.5%; Actual for 2012 = +19.6%)
12/31/12; 2:49 PM EST = +17; signal line is -5 but algorithm says stay short
12/31/12; 10:14 AM EST = +1; signal line is -5 but algorithm says stay short
12/31/12; 9:55 AM EST = -15; signal line is -5

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