Friday, January 1, 2016

KEYBOT THE QUANT FINAL 2015 RESULTS

The final results for 2015 are cast in concrete. The Benchmark SPX (S&P 500) lost -0.7% in 2015 starting the year at 2059 and ending at 2044. The Keybot the Quant algorithm program, this is the nuts and bolts computer program, gained +11.1% during 2015 clearly outperforming the benchmark. The actual trading return is +19.2% a banner year for the algorithm. The Keybot the Quant algo has printed positive returns for every year since it went live in 2008.

2016 begins at SPX 2044. Keybot is in the RWM ETF for the actual trading which is a 1x short ETF. The quant remains in a single ETF mode due to the choppy sideways volatility and will remain in single ETF's for another three weeks unless markets continue the sideways choppy pattern.

2/7/16; 7:00 PM EST =
2/5/16; 9:00 AM EST =
1/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
1/29/16; 10:00 AM EST =
1/26/16; 10:00 AM EST =
1/24/16; 7:00 PM EST =
1/20/16; 9:00 AM EST =
1/17/16; 7:00 PM EST =
1/15/16; 10:00 AM EST =
1/10/16; 7:00 PM EST =
1/8/16; 9:00 AM EST =
1/1/16; Begin 2016 Data Set = +6; signal line is +27; go short 2044; (Benchmark SPX for 2016  = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2016 = 0%)(Actual results this trade = 0%; Actual results for 2016 = 0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2016 on the Short Side from SPX 2044. All Data 0%. Begin 2016.

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START 2016 PROGRAM

Begin Printing

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/16; 4:17 PM EST

START 2016 PROGRAM

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

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END OF 2015 RESULTS:

SPX Benchmark Final 2015:  -0.7% Loss (SPX Started at 2059 and Ended at 2044)

Keybot the Quant Actual Trading +19.2% Return Big Beat Over the SPX Benchmark

Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish position (long) and a bearish (short) position.

Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2015:  46
Number of Broker Commissions Required During 2015:  92

Benchmark SPX During 2015:  -0.7% Loss

Keybot the Quant Algorithm (Computer Program Only) During 2015: +11.1% Return

Keybot the Quant Actual Trading Return for 2015 Including All Commissions, Costs and Fees:  +19.2% Return

12/31/2014
2059
Sell Long
4:00 PM
SSO
128.31
12/31/2014
2059
Go Long
4:00 PM
SSO
128.31
1/5/2015
2046
Sell Long
9:36 AM
SSO
126.64
1/5/2015
2046
Go Short
9:36 AM
QID
40.01
1/8/2015
2059
Cover short
11:05 AM
QID
39.32
1/8/2015
2059
Go long
11:05 AM
UWM
88.85
1/12/2015
2038
Sell Long
9:36 AM
UWM
87.11
1/12/2015
2038
Go Short
9:36 AM
DXD
21.98
1/22/2015
2054
Cover short
2:32 PM
DXD
21.81
1/22/2015
2054
Go long
2:32 PM
DDM
133.58
1/26/2015
2047
Sell Long
9:31 AM
DDM
132.16
1/26/2015
2047
Go Short
9:31 AM
SH
21.83
2/5/2015
2055
Cover short
9:49 AM
SH
21.72
2/5/2015
2055
Go long
9:49 AM
SPY
205.58
3/3/2015
2104
Sell Long
11:33 AM
SPY
210.71
3/3/2015
2104
Go Short
11:33 AM
SDS
20.77
3/16/2015
2066
Cover short
9:36 AM
SDS
21.43
3/16/2015
2066
Go long
9:36 AM
SSO
129.47
3/17/2015
2077
Sell Long
9:36 AM
SSO
130.17
3/17/2015
2077
Go Short
9:36 AM
SH
21.44
3/18/2015
2090
Cover short
2:13 PM
SH
21.28
3/18/2015
2090
Go long
2:13 PM
SPY
209.27
3/25/2015
2082
Sell Long
11:34 AM
SPY
207.79
3/25/2015
2082
Go Short
11:34 AM
DOG
22.93
3/30/2015
2082
Cover short
9:46 AM
DOG
22.83
3/30/2015
2082
Go long
9:46 AM
DIA
179.39
4/1/2015
2064
Sell Long
9:30 AM
DIA
177.37
4/1/2015
2064
Go Short
9:30 AM
PSQ
57.57
4/6/2015
2074
Cover short
10:21 AM
PSQ
57.61
4/6/2015
2074
Go long
10:21 AM
SPY
207.46
4/17/2015
2086
Sell Long
9:47 AM
SPY
208.42
4/17/2015
2086
Go Short
9:47 AM
SH
21.25
4/20/2015
2096
Cover short
9:38 AM
SH
21.14
4/20/2015
2096
Go long
9:38 AM
SPY
209.42
4/27/2015
2109
Sell Long
3:20 PM
SPY
210.81
4/27/2015
2109
Go Short
3:20 PM
RWM
14.65
5/1/2015
2106
Cover short
2:11 PM
RWM
14.94
5/1/2015
2106
Go long
2:11 PM
SPY
210.46
5/5/2015
2109
Sell Long
9:54 AM
SPY
210.82
5/5/2015
2109
Go Short
9:54 AM
RWM
14.94
5/8/2015
2103
Cover short
9:31 AM
RWM
14.82
5/8/2015
2103
Go long
9:31 AM
SPY
210.96
5/12/2015
2096
Sell Long
9:30 AM
SPY
209.43
5/12/2015
2096
Go Short
9:30 AM
PSQ
56.33
5/15/2015
2110
Cover short
9:36 AM
PSQ
55.75
5/15/2015
2110
Go long
9:36 AM
DIA
181.62
5/26/2015
2121
Sell Long
9:31 AM
DIA
181.78
5/26/2015
2121
Go Short
9:31 AM
SDS
20.10
6/10/2015
2094
Cover short
9:47 AM
SDS
20.54
6/10/2015
2094
Go long
9:47 AM
SSO
66.57
6/25/2015
2106
Sell Long
2:18 PM
SSO
67.29
6/25/2015
2106
Go Short
2:18 PM
SDS
20.23
7/10/2015
2075
Cover short
9:36 AM
SDS
20.75
7/10/2015
2075
Go long
9:36 AM
SSO
65.35
8/6/2015
2093
Sell Long
9:54 AM
SSO
66.52
8/6/2015
2093
Go Short
9:54 AM
SDS
20.31
8/7/2015
2077
Cover short
3:53 AM
SDS
20.59
8/7/2015
2077
Go long
3:53 AM
SSO
65.56
8/12/2015
2064
Sell Long
9:36 AM
SSO
64.76
8/12/2015
2064
Go Short
9:36 AM
SDS
20.80
8/12/2015
2087
Cover short
3:30 PM
SDS
20.37
8/12/2015
2087
Go long
3:30 PM
SPY
208.89
8/20/2015
2076
Sell Long
9:30 AM
SPY
208.00
8/20/2015
2076
Go Short
9:30 AM
SH
21.06
9/16/2015
1995
Cover short
3:23 PM
SH
21.71
9/16/2015
1995
Go long
3:23 PM
IWM
116.81
9/18/2015
1964
Sell Long
9:53 AM
IWM
116.17
9/18/2015
1964
Go Short
9:53 AM
SDS
22.32
10/2/2015
1929
Cover short
12:54 PM
SDS
23.01
10/2/2015
1929
Go long
12:54 PM
SSO
56.23
10/14/2015
2005
Sell Long
12:54 PM
SSO
60.78
10/14/2015
2005
Go Short
12:54 PM
SDS
21.21
10/15/2015
2011
Cover short
1:18 PM
SDS
21.12
10/15/2015
2011
Go long
1:18 PM
SSO
61.04
11/5/2015
2094
Sell Long
10:33 AM
SSO
66.27
11/5/2015
2094
Go Short
10:33 AM
DXD
19.68
11/18/2015
2063
Cover short
11:19 AM
DXD
20.04
11/18/2015
2063
Go long
11:19 AM
SSO
64.41
12/3/2015
2045
Sell Long
2:45 PM
SSO
63.35
12/3/2015
2045
Go Short
2:45 PM
SDS
20.10
12/4/2015
2069
Cover short
9:48 AM
SDS
19.65
12/4/2015
2069
Go long
9:48 AM
SPY
207.46
12/9/2015
2050
Sell Long
12:25 PM
SPY
205.51
12/9/2015
2050
Go Short
12:25 PM
SH
20.89
12/16/2015
2051
Cover short
10:35 AM
SH
20.86
12/16/2015
2051
Go long
10:35 AM
DIA
176.09
12/16/2015
2047
Sell Long
11:24 AM
DIA
175.47
12/16/2015
2047
Go Short
11:24 AM
DOG
22.48
12/16/2015
2059
Cover short
2:10 PM
DOG
22.36
12/16/2015
2059
Go long
2:10 PM
IWM
113.79
12/18/2015
2037
Sell Long
9:30 AM
IWM
112.61
12/18/2015
2037
Go Short
9:30 AM
RWM
62.46
12/22/2015
2031
Cover short
12:35 PM
RWM
62.56
12/22/2015
2031
Go long
21:35 PM
IVV
204.91
12/31/2015
2046
Sell Long
3:59 PM
IVV
205.23
12/31/2015
2046
Go Short
3:59 PM
RWM
61.99
1/1/2016
2044
Cover short
3:00 PM
RWM
62.11
1/1/2016
2044
Go Short
3:00 PM
RWM
62.11

Date – SPX – Position – Date Stamp – ETF – Price

Begin Printing Trade Data Entries Exits Reverse Order

FINAL 2015

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/16; 3:43 PM EST

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

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1/1/16; Algorithm Zeroed for 2016 Data = +6; signal line is +27; go short 2044; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 Final = -0.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.1%; Keybot algo for 2015 Final = +11.2%)(Actual results this trade = +0.2%; Actual results for 2015 Final = +19.2%)
1/1/16; 3:00 PM EST EOM; EOQ4; EOY 2015 = +6; signal line is +27
12/31/15; 3:59 PM EST = +6; signal line is +26; go short 2046; (Benchmark SPX for 2015 = -0.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.7%; Keybot algo for 2015 = +11.0%)(Actual results this trade = +0.2%; Actual results for 2015 = +19.0%)
12/31/15; 2:37 PM EST = +22; signal line is +26 but algorithm remains long

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