Friday, January 29, 2016

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

After all the recent threats, the Keybot the Quant flips to the long side. UTIL ran up through the critical 597 level and never looked back. UTIL is at 608 now creating bull fuel. Keybot flips long at SPX 1902 after the opening bell. The market bulls have to move JJC (copper) above 23.90 and/or VIX under 19.20 to firmly prove that up is the direction for stocks going forward. The market bears must send UTIL under 597 to create market negativity. If the three parameters above bump along remaining  in their respective camps, equities will float along sideways with a slight upward bias. As always, stay alert for a whipsaw move back to the short side. For now, the bulls are in charge for the first time this year.

The SPX benchmark index begins the year down -7%. On the first trade of 2016, the algorithm gains +7% and the actual executed trading gains +11.4%. Keybot exits RWM and enters SSO. The algo is back in 2x ETF mode using a double-leveraged play. The 2x ETF's will be used unless a whipsaw move occurs which will cause the model to drop back into the 1x ETF mode for about a 5-week duration. The bulls have the ball; how far will they run down field?

1/31/16; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
1/29/16; 10:00 AM EST = -23; signal line is -37
1/29/16; 9:34 AM EST = +23; signal line is -38; go long 1902; (Benchmark SPX for 2016  = -7.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +7.0%; Keybot algo for 2016 = +7.0%)(Actual results this trade = +11.4%; Actual results for 2016 = +11.4%)
1/28/16; 12:35 PM EST = -23; signal line is -38 but algorithm remains short
1/26/16; 10:00 AM EST = -39; signal line is -38
1/25/16; 9:36 AM EST = -40; signal line is -39
1/24/16; 7:00 PM EST = -24; signal line is -39 but algorithm remains short
1/22/16; 11:57 AM EST = -24; signal line is -39 but algorithm remains short
1/21/16; 3:03 PM EST = -40; signal line is -39
1/21/16; 1:29 PM EST = -56; signal line is -39
1/21/16; 10:26 AM EST = -40; signal line is -38
1/21/16; 9:51 AM EST = -56; signal line is -38
1/20/16; 3:15 PM EST = -40; signal line is -37
1/20/16; 11:54 AM EST = -56; signal line is -37
1/20/16; 10:25 AM EST = -40; signal line is -36
1/20/16; 9:00 AM EST = -24; signal line is -36 but algorithm remains short
1/17/16; 7:00 PM EST = -24; signal line is -36 but algorithm remains short
1/15/16; 2:21 PM EST = -24; signal line is -37 but algorithm remains short
1/15/16; 2:18 PM EST = -40; signal line is -37
1/15/16; 1:35 PM EST = -56; signal line is -37
1/15/16; 1:34 PM EST = -40; signal line is -36
1/15/16; 1:05 PM EST = -24; signal line is -35 but algorithm remains short
1/15/16; 12:55 PM EST = -40; signal line is -36
1/15/16; 10:00 AM EST = -24; signal line is -35 but algorithm remains short
1/12/16; 3:26 PM EST = -24; signal line is -36 but algorithm remains short
1/12/16; 3:24 PM EST = -40; signal line is -35
1/12/16; 3:07 PM EST = -56; signal line is -35
1/12/16; 1:18 PM EST = -40; signal line is -34
1/12/16; 12:30 PM EST = -56; signal line is -33
1/12/16; 12:24 PM EST = -40; signal line is -33
1/12/16; 11:16 AM EST = -24; signal line is -32 but algorithm remains short
1/12/16; 11:01 AM EST = -40; signal line is -31
1/12/16; 9:55 AM EST = -56; signal line is -31
1/12/16; 9:54 AM EST = -40; signal line is -30
1/11/16; 9:36 AM EST = -24; signal line is -29 but algorithm remains short
1/10/16; 7:00 PM EST = -40; signal line is -29
1/8/16; 3:53 PM EST = -40; signal line is -29
1/8/16; 11:49 AM EST = -24; signal line is -29 but algorithm remains short
1/8/16; 11:40 AM EST = -40; signal line is -29
1/8/16; 10:50 AM EST = -24; signal line is -30 but algorithm remains short
1/8/16; 10:42 AM EST = -40; signal line is -30
1/8/16; 10:32 AM EST = -24; signal line is -31 but algorithm remains short
1/8/16; 10:15 AM EST = -40; signal line is -31
1/8/16; 9:38 AM EST = -24; signal line is -31 but algorithm remains short
1/8/16; 9:00 AM EST = -40; signal line is -31
1/7/16; 11:28 AM EST = -40; signal line is -32
1/7/16; 11:17 AM EST = -24; signal line is -32 but algorithm remains short
1/7/16; 11:04 AM EST = -40; signal line is -31
1/7/16; 10:54 AM EST = -24; signal line is -29 but algorithm remains short
1/7/16; 9:36 AM EST = -40; signal line is -28
1/6/16; 3:18 PM EST = -24; signal line is -25 but algorithm remains short
1/6/16; 3:03 PM EST = -40; signal line is -22
1/6/16; 12:14 PM EST = -24; signal line is -19
1/6/16; 12:05 PM EST = -24; signal line is -18
1/6/16; 11:26 AM EST = -8; signal line is -16 but algorithm remains short
1/6/16; 11:15 AM EST = -24; signal line is -13
1/6/16; 10:40 AM EST = -40; signal line is -11
1/6/16; 10:39 AM EST = -24; signal line is -8
1/6/16; 10:27 AM EST = -8; signal line is -6
1/6/16; 10:14 AM EST = -24; signal line is -4
1/6/16; 9:36 AM EST = -40; signal line is -3
1/5/16; 1:47 PM EST = -8; signal line is -1
1/5/16; 10:40 AM EST = -24; signal line is +0
1/5/16; 9:53 AM EST = -40; signal line is +1
1/5/16; 9:36 AM EST = -24; signal line is +3
1/4/16; 11:34 AM EST = -40; signal line is +5
1/4/16; 11:02 AM EST = -56; signal line is +7
1/4/16; 10:39 AM EST = -40; signal line is +10
1/4/16; 10:32 AM EST = -56; signal line is +13
1/4/16; 10:08 AM EST = -40; signal line is +17
1/4/16; 9:59 AM EST = -24; signal line is +19
1/4/16; 9:57 AM EST = -40; signal line is +21
1/4/16; 9:48 AM EST = -56; signal line is +23
1/4/16; 9:36 AM EST = -40; signal line is +25
1/1/16; Begin 2016 Data Set = +6; signal line is +27; go short 2044; (Benchmark SPX for 2016  = 0%)(Keybot algo this trade = 0%; Keybot algo for 2016 = 0%)(Actual results this trade = 0%; Actual results for 2016 = 0%) Keybot the Quant Begins 2016 on the Short Side from SPX 2044. All Data 0%. Begin 2016.

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