Tuesday, September 5, 2017

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side after the opening bell at SPX 2469. The wild market action continues. Banks fail and volatility spikes higher right out of the gate to begin the holiday-shortened week.

Retail stocks, banks and volatility dictate stock market direction currently. Market bears will send stocks lower unless the bulls can send either RTH above 79.92, now at 79.75, or XLF above 24.67, now at 24.44, or VIX below 10.92, now at 11.76. Any one of the three turning bullish will stop the market selling. The direction and strength of the stock market can be determined by simply watching these three parameters.

On the last trade that only lasted three trading days, the algo program gains +0.7%. The actual trading gains +0.2% and was screwed by the gap-down move at the open that took away about +0.7% in profits in the couple minutes before the algo flipped short. Keybot exits DIA and enters DOG. The benchmark S&P 500 is up over +10% this year.

9/10/17; 7:00 PM EST =
9/5/17; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +65; go short 2469; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +10.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.7%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +2.2%)(Actual results this trade = +0.2%; Actual results for 2017 = +1.2%)
9/3/17; 7:00 PM EST = +84; signal line is +65
9/1/17; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +64
9/1/17; 9:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +63
8/31/17; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +84; signal line is +63
8/31/17; 2:36 PM EST = +84; signal line is +62
8/31/17; 1:03 PM EST = +68; signal line is +60
8/31/17; 10:01 AM EST = +84; signal line is +58
8/31/17; 9:36 AM EST = +70; signal line is +57
8/30/17; 3:42 PM EST = +56; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains long
8/30/17; 2:40 PM EST = +70; signal line is +56
8/30/17; 1:48 PM EST = +56; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains long
8/30/17; 1:04 PM EST = +70; signal line is +56
8/30/17; 10:49 AM EST = +56; signal line is +56; go long 2452; (Benchmark SPX for 2017 = +9.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.7%; Keybot algo for 2017 = +1.5%)(Actual results this trade = -1.4%; Actual results for 2017 = +1.0%)

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