Wednesday, September 5, 2018

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side on Tuesday at SPX 2888. The VIX prints above 13.19 the current bull-bear line in the sand for the stock market. Bulls need VIX below 13.19 (now at 13.74 as this is typed) to stop the stock market selling.

Bears need weaker commodities, banks and NYA Index to continue the path lower for equities. Bears need GTX under 2714 (now at 2748).

On the last trade, the algo program gains +0.7% and the actual trading +1.4%. The actual trading is up nearly +13% this year versus the benchmark SPX up +8%. Keybot exited SSO and entered TWM remaining in the 2x ETF's.

9/9/18; 7:00 PM EST =
9/7/18; 9:00 AM EST =
9/5/18; 3:06 AM EST = +70; signal line is +75
9/4/18; 3:59 PM EST = +84; signal line is +75 but algorithm remains short
9/4/18; 9:44 AM EST = +70; signal line is +74; go short 2888; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +8.0%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +0.7%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +5.4%)(Actual results this trade = +1.4%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +12.9%)
9/4/18; 7:16 AM EST = +70; signal line is +74 but algorithm remains long
9/4/18; 6:05 AM EST = +84; signal line is +74
9/4/18; 5:03 AM EST = +70; signal line is +73 but algorithm remains long
9/2/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +84; signal line is +72
8/31/18; 3:40 PM EST = +84; signal line is +71
8/31/18; 3:29 PM EST = +70; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long
8/31/18; 3:21 PM EST = +84; signal line is +69
8/31/18; 11:53 AM EST = +70; signal line is +68
8/31/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +66
8/31/18; 9:47 AM EST = +84; signal line is +65
8/31/18; 7:28 AM EST = +70; signal line is +63
8/31/18; 4:37 AM EST = +84; signal line is +63
8/30/18; 3:01 PM EST = +70; signal line is +62
8/30/18; 2:39 PM EST = +84; signal line is +61
8/30/18; 2:28 PM EST = +70; signal line is +60
8/28/18; 10:00 AM EST = +84; signal line is +59
8/26/18; 7:00 PM EST = +84; signal line is +58
8/24/18; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +58
8/23/18; 10:30 AM EST = +70; signal line is +57; go long 2868; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +7.3%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -1.5%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +4.7%)(Actual results this trade = -2.9%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +11.5%)

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