Tuesday, September 29, 2020

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long with the algo number 50 points above the signal line. The bulls took advantage of the weaker dollar yesterday pumping commodities higher which sent stocks higher. The pre-scheduled number for Tuesday prints and provides further lift in the stock market.

The upside rally will stop with weaker copper and higher volatility. Bears need CPER below 18.34, which may fail at any time, copper futures are on the border line now, and VIX above 27.17 (now at 26.08).

Bulls need stronger commodities, utilities and banks; GTX above 1723, UTIL above 826 and XLF above 24.24, respectively. Any one of these three parameters will immediately prove that the bulls got game. Every hour that goes by and the bulls do not pull one of these into their camp, however, means equities will likely become soggy and develop a downward bias.

The first of three US presidential debates occur this evening (East Coast time) so markets may idle sideways until the results are known.

9/30/20; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 =
9/29/20; 10:00 AM EST = +27; signal line is -23
9/29/20; 9:36 AM EST = +20; signal line is -26
9/28/20; 11:43 AM EST = +34; signal line is -28
9/27/20; 7:00 PM EST = +20; signal line is -30

Sunday, September 27, 2020

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is on the long side with the bulls in charge and the algo number 50 points above the signal line. Despite this huge spread, the caution flag remains out due to the crazy and wild swings in the stock market over the last week.

Bulls need stronger utilities, banks and commodities and lower volatility. UTIL begins at the 808 palindrome and the bulls will be celebrating if price tags the 828 palindrome. Bulls need GTX above 1723 which is only 6 bucks away. Bulls enjoy the VIX at 26.38 below the key bull-bear line in the sand at 27.46 which creates lift in the stock market.

Bears need weaker utilities, chips, retail stocks, copper and higher volatility. Bears need UTIL below 771 this week to create market weakness. Bears need CPER below 18.33 and it begins the week only 9 pennies above so watch copper futures overnight. Bears need VIX above 27.46 or they got nothing.

Keybot prints four pre-scheduled numbers during the week ahead. September ends on Wednesday which is EOM and EOQ3 and October trading begins on Thursday.

10/4/20; 7:00 PM EST =
10/2/20; 10:00 AM EST =
10/2/20; 9:00 AM EST =
9/30/20; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 =
9/29/20; 10:00 AM EST =
9/27/20; 7:00 PM EST = +20; signal line is -30
9/25/20; 1:39 PM EST = +20; signal line is -31

Saturday, September 26, 2020

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long after the historic triple whipsaw on Thursday. The algo prints another 8 numbers on Friday capping off a wild week of printing 50 numbers. The bulls are in control of the stock market direction with the algo number 51 points above the signal line. Despite this huge spread, the caution flag remains out. Watching the internal market parameters bouncing around like ping-pong balls and seeing the wild whipsaw flips in price action, and with the VIX only in the upper 20's and barely into the 30's (not yet extensively volatile), reinforces the notion that anything can happen going forward.

The utilities rally which is a big plus for the bulls. UTIL is at the 808 palindrome. Bulls need to tag the 828 palindrome next week to create more upside juice in the stock market. Bears need UTIL below 771 next week to create market mayhem. Banks, commodities and utes are in the bear camp so bulls need to see improvements in these sectors to send stocks higher. The beat goes on.

9/27/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/25/20; 1:39 PM EST = +20; signal line is -31
9/25/20; 1:36 PM EST = +4; signal line is -31
9/25/20; 11:17 AM EST = -10; signal line is -31
9/25/20; 11:07 AM EST = -26; signal line is -30
9/25/20; 10:45 AM EST = -10; signal line is -29
9/25/20; 10:41 AM EST = -26; signal line is -28
9/25/20; 9:39 AM EST = -42; signal line is -28 but algorithm remains long
9/25/20; 9:36 AM EST = -26; signal line is -26 but algorithm remains long
9/24/20; 3:52 PM EST = -10; signal line is -24; go long 3248; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +0.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.5%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +20.9%)(Actual trading results this trade = -0.3%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +38.5%)

Friday, September 25, 2020

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is long from SPX 3248 after one of the wildest days in the quant's history. A double whipsaw has occurred rarely with the algorithm but yesterday is a triple whipsaw that has never occurred. The model flipped long at munch time, then short in the afternoon then back to long before the session ended. Comically, S&P futures are down -26 about 2-1/2 hours before the opening bell for the Friday session.

The imminent turn notation is in the title line because it is a wild mystery as to what will happen. Stock market parameters are bouncing around in all directions creating unprecedented price action. Copper is teetering on the bull-bear line in the sand and is down -0.6% in the futures so that will be a failure at the open creating negativity.

Bulls need stronger copper, retail stocks, commodities and lower volatility. Bears need weaker copper, utilities and chips. There ae a lot of moving parts currently. Watch the NYA 12306 bull-bear line in the sand. NYA is at 12366. The stock market is in big trouble if NYA 12306 fails. If stocks sell off, which appears to be on the agenda for the open, watch NYA 12306. If it fails, it's light's out. If the NYA holds the 12306 support, stocks will probably recover and rally.

The algo has logged five losing trades in a row for the actual trading which has never happened in Keybot's history. The losses are all nominal except for that first one. The quant has cycled through SPY, SH, DIA, DOG and currently in IWM (long, short, long, short, long, respectively). For the year, the S&P 500 which is the US stock market, is flat. The quant program is up about -21% this year and the actual trading generated by the quant is up about +39% in 2020 thus far. Keybot remains in the single 1x ETF's due to the whipsaw behavior in the price action. These choppy sawtooth markets chew up bulls and bears alike.

Keybot the Quant may whipsaw back to the short side today. The stock market is a coin-flip. Climb aboard the Crazy Train.

9/27/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/24/20; 3:52 PM EST = -10; signal line is -24; go long 3248; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +0.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.5%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +20.9%)(Actual trading results this trade = -0.3%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +38.5%)
9/24/20; 3:45 PM EST = -26; signal line is -23
9/24/20; 3:44 PM EST = -42; signal line is -21
9/24/20; 3:28 PM EST = -58; signal line is -19
9/24/20; 3:26 PM EST = -42; signal line is -17; go short 3233; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +0.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +21.4%)(Actual trading results this trade = -0.6%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +38.8%)
9/24/20; 2:54 PM EST = -10; signal line is -16
9/24/20; 1:06 PM EST = +6; signal line is -18
9/24/20; 12:13 PM EST = -10; signal line is -19; go long 3258; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +0.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.1%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +22.2%)(Actual trading results this trade = -0.2%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +39.4%)
9/24/20; 11:51 AM EST = -26; signal line is -20
9/24/20; 11:29 AM EST = -42; signal line is -20
9/24/20; 10:51 AM EST = -56; signal line is -20
9/24/20; 10:37 AM EST = -72; signal line is -19
9/24/20; 10:36 AM EST = -56; signal line is -18
9/24/20; 10:06 AM EST = -42; signal line is -17
9/24/20; 9:46 AM EST = -56; signal line is -14
9/24/20; 9:40 AM EST = -72; signal line is -11
9/23/20; 3:10 PM EST = -58; signal line is -7
9/23/20; 3:08 PM EST = -42; signal line is -5
9/23/20; 2:49 PM EST = -26; signal line is -3; go short 3254; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +0.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +22.3%)(Actual trading results this trade = -0.7%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +39.6%)

Wednesday, September 23, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips bearish at SPX 3254 this afternoon. The whipsaw carnival continues. The bears are in charge with the algo number 51 points below the signal line. The stock market deteriorated in the afternoon as many parameters fell like dominoes one after another. Volatility pops so stocks drop, utilities failed ushering in negativity, then retail stocks collapsed, then the chips were down, literally and figuratively as the dirty SOX became soiled, and then the piece de resistance, as some would say the piece of resistance, copper failed. That carnage provides a -79 point down day on the S&P 500; a -2.4% bloodbath.

The utility failure is serious business. UTIL loses the 793 level and the algorithms started executing sell programs. UTIL ends the day at 785. Bulls must push UTIL back above 793 immediately, otherwise, the stock market will remain soggy. For next week, the 793 number is meaningless and replaced with 770.61. Thus, watch UTIL at 4 PM EST on Friday because that will give you a heads-up about next week. If UTIL finishes the week above 771, the bulls are hanging in there for next week. If UTIL ends this week below 771, there will be Hell to pay come Monday.

There are a lot of moving parts currently so it is difficult to sum things up into something simple for yinz to watch but keep an eye on NYA 12306-12307. It is for all the marbles. NYA price is at 12359; if 12306 fails, turn out the lights the party is over. Stocks will plummet into Hades. Bulls will hang in there going forward as long as they keep NYA above 12306.

On the last trade, that only lasted about 5 hours, another whipsaw, the algo program and actual trading both lose about a percent. For the year, the SPX is up not even one percent. The quant program is up about +22% on the year and the actual trading generated by Keybot is up about +40% in 2020 thus far. Keybot exits SPY and enters SH remaining in 1x ETF's to lessen risk in choppy whipsaw markets.

9/27/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/23/20; 3:10 PM EST = -58; signal line is -7
9/23/20; 3:08 PM EST = -42; signal line is -5
9/23/20; 2:49 PM EST = -26; signal line is -3; go short 3254; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +0.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +22.3%)(Actual trading results this trade = -0.7%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +39.6%)
9/23/20; 2:21 PM EST = -10; signal line is -1 but algorithm remains long
9/23/20; 1:58 PM EST = +6; signal line is 0
9/22/20; 1:18 PM EST = +20; signal line is +1
9/22/20; 12:52 PM EST = +6; signal line is +1
9/22/20; 12:07 PM EST = +20; signal line is +2
9/22/20; 11:24 AM EST = +6; signal line is +2
9/22/20; 11:01 AM EST = -10; signal line is +3 but algorithm remains long
9/22/20; 10:46 AM EST = +6; signal line is +4
9/22/20; 10:22 AM EST = +34; signal line is +5
9/22/20; 10:21 AM EST = +20; signal line is +5
9/22/20; 9:52 AM EST = +6; signal line is +5
9/22/20; 9:36 AM EST = +20; signal line is +6
9/21/20; 3:59 PM EST = +6; signal line is +6; go long 3282; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +1.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +23.2%)(Actual trading results this trade = -1.2%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +40.3%)

Tuesday, September 22, 2020

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The price insanity continues with the algo printing 10 numbers today. The quant is bouncing around like a pinball with the bulls in charge of stock market direction. The algo number is 19 points above the signal line. 

Bulls need strong commodities and need to push GTX above 1723 to send equities higher.

Bears need higher volatility and weaker utilities and chips; VIX above 27.48, UTIL below 793 and SOX below 2141, respectively. The quant likely needs to see 2 of these 3 turn bearish to flip short. UTIL tested 793 and bounced so there may be more drama there tomorrow. Stocks will be in trouble if UTIL 793 fails. Bears need VIX above 27.48 or they got nothing.

The imminent turn notation remains in the title line since the market can turn on a dime. VIX begins trading at 3 AM EST.

9/27/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/22/20; 1:18 PM EST = +20; signal line is +1
9/22/20; 12:52 PM EST = +6; signal line is +1
9/22/20; 12:07 PM EST = +20; signal line is +2
9/22/20; 11:24 AM EST = +6; signal line is +2
9/22/20; 11:01 AM EST = -10; signal line is +3 but algorithm remains long
9/22/20; 10:46 AM EST = +6; signal line is +4
9/22/20; 10:22 AM EST = +34; signal line is +5
9/22/20; 10:21 AM EST = +20; signal line is +5
9/22/20; 9:52 AM EST = +6; signal line is +5
9/22/20; 9:36 AM EST = +20; signal line is +6
9/21/20; 3:59 PM EST = +6; signal line is +6; go long 3282; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +1.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +23.2%)(Actual trading results this trade = -1.2%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +40.3%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is long after a wild whipsaw day in the stock market. S&P futures were down big, -65 points or so, early Monday morning and the sogginess fed through the day. You knew some crazy stuff was afoot and it arrived in spades yesterday. Pandemonium. Keybot flipped short after the opening bell and that whipsawed back to the long side at the closing bell bookending the day. The stock market is a coin-toss with the algo number and signal line both sitting at +6.


There are many market parameters sitting at their bull-bear lines in the sand so the imminent turn notation remains in the title line and do not be surprised at another whipsaw back to the short side again. S&P futures are down -12 points with the VIX at 28.47 about 5-1/2 hours before the opening bell for the Tuesday session on Wall Street.

Bulls need lower volatility and stronger commodities and banks. Bulls need VIX below 27.48 or they got nothing.

Bears need weaker utilities, chips and retail stocks. Bears need UTIL below 793 and SOX below 2140.80 to create stock market negativity.

On the 5-day trade, the quant program loses -5.1% and the actual trading loses -9.5%. It is interesting because if the price action was one-minute either way on 9/16/20, Keybot would not have flipped long. Every now and then the robot is snared in a bull or bear trap. Keybot exited SSO and entered SDS. On yesterday's trade that lasted all of 6 hours or so, a whipsaw, the quant program loses a percent and the actual trading loses a percent. Keybot exits SDS and enters SPY dropping into the single 1x ETF's due to the whipsaw. The quant will trade the 1x ETF's for at least the next 30 days to lessen risk in these volatile markets. For the year, the benchmark S&P 500 is up +1.6%, basically flat. The Keybot the Quant algorithm program is up +23.2% on the year and the actual trading generated by Keybot is up +40.3% in 2020 giving back about -10% over the last week.

9/27/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/21/20; 3:59 PM EST = +6; signal line is +6; go long 3282; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +1.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +23.2%)(Actual trading results this trade = -1.2%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +40.3%)
9/21/20; 3:28 PM EST = -26; signal line is +7
9/21/20; 1:59 PM EST = -42; signal line is +8
9/21/20; 1:17 PM EST = -26; signal line is +11
9/21/20; 1:03 PM EST = -42; signal line is +13
9/21/20; 12:07 PM EST = -26; signal line is +15
9/21/20; 11:23 AM EST = -42; signal line is +18
9/21/20; 10:47 AM EST = -26; signal line is +20
9/21/20; 10:18 AM EST = -42; signal line is +22
9/21/20; 9:36 AM EST = -28; signal line is +23; go short 3255; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +0.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -5.1%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +24.1%)(Actual trading results this trade = -9.5%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +41.5%)
9/21/20; 3:06 AM EST = +20; signal line is +25 but algorithm remains long
9/20/20; 7:00 PM EST = +34; signal line is +24
9/18/20; 1:53 PM EST = +34; signal line is +23
9/18/20; 1:50 PM EST = +20; signal line is +22 but algorithm remains long
9/18/20; 1:42 PM EST = +4; signal line is +22 but algorithm remains long
9/18/20; 1:32 PM EST = +18; signal line is +22 but algorithm remains long
9/18/20; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22
9/17/20; 3:15 PM EST = +34; signal line is +21
9/17/20; 3:07 PM EST = +20; signal line is +20 but algorithm remains long
9/17/20; 2:49 PM EST = +34; signal line is +20
9/17/20; 2:35 PM EST = +20; signal line is +19
9/17/20; 1:36 PM EST = +34; signal line is +19
9/17/20; 1:21 PM EST = +20; signal line is +19
9/17/20; 1:01 PM EST = +34; signal line is +20
9/17/20; 12:16 PM EST = +20; signal line is +19
9/17/20; 9:57 AM EST = +34; signal line is +17
9/17/20; 9:00 AM EST = +20; signal line is +16
9/17/20; 4:55 AM EST = +20; signal line is +17
9/17/20; 4:29 AM EST = +34; signal line is +18
9/17/20; 3:06 AM EST = +20; signal line is +18
9/16/20; 2:40 PM EST = +34; signal line is +19; go long 3429; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +6.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.3%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +29.2%)(Actual trading results this trade = +8.2%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +51.0%)

Sunday, September 20, 2020

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the new week of trading is set to begin. The bulls are in charge of the stock market direction despite last week's sogginess through the new moon. The algo number is 10 points above the signal line.

Bulls need UTIL above 793 during the week ahead to gain stock market strength. Price begins the week at 798 making for happy bulls. Utilities are the key for the bulls that need to see UTIL climb back above 8 hundo and remain elevated. This tells you that any near-term selloff will probably not be too bad and stocks will likely remain buoyant into year-end. Bulls would then need UTIL above 829 which will send the stock market back to record highs.

Bears need UTIL below 793 as soon as possible preferably out of the gate on Monday to create stock market negativity. Bears need higher volatility, VIX above 27.54, which will usher in strong downward selling pressure. VIX begins the week at 25.83. Bears likely need both UTIL and VIX to flip to the bear camp to flip Keybot to the short sideKeybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers this week.

9/27/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/20/20; 7:00 PM EST = +34; signal line is +24
9/18/20; 1:53 PM EST = +34; signal line is +23

Saturday, September 19, 2020

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as a bull trap is sprung on Wednesday and a bear trap on Friday. On 9/16/20, stocks were jammed higher with the party in full swing during the afternoon. Bulls jump aboard the stock market that is heading higher. Thwack. The bulls heads are delivered on a platter as the SPX drops from 3430 to 3332 on Thursday. On 9/18/20, the bears are emboldened salivating that the selloff has finally arrived and begin going short like madmen. Thwack. The bears heads are delivered on a platter after the SPX bottoms at 3292 on Friday and ends the day at 3319 (nonetheless, the SPX does finish down -1.1% on Friday).

The quant prints five numbers on Friday including the pre-scheduled number. Keybot was champing at the bit to go short but the internal parameters would not fully latch to permit the move. Then, late day, stocks recover and the robot is back in the bull camp with the algo number 11 points above the signal line. In a rare oddity, which also occurred a couple weeks or so ago, the S&P 500 is down big say -30 to -50 points but the VIX is also down. That simply does not happen to that extreme extent and now twice in recent days. Something is happening here.

UTIL ends at 798. Bulls are happy since UTIL must be above 793 for the week ahead. This provides bulls an advantage come Monday morning. The bears need to push UTIL below 793 as soon as possible and lower over the next couple weeks to prove that a longer term stock market selloff is ahead.

9/20/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/18/20; 1:53 PM EST = +34; signal line is +23
9/18/20; 1:50 PM EST = +20; signal line is +22 but algorithm remains long
9/18/20; 1:42 PM EST = +4; signal line is +22 but algorithm remains long
9/18/20; 1:32 PM EST = +18; signal line is +22 but algorithm remains long
9/18/20; 10:00 AM EST = +34; signal line is +22
9/17/20; 3:15 PM EST = +34; signal line is +21

Thursday, September 17, 2020

STOCK MARKET BULLISH - LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the markets remain Crazy.  The quant rattles off 13 numbers today including the pre-scheduled number and remains long with the algo number 13 points above the signal line. The imminent turn remains in play for a whipsaw back to the short side. Volatility was, well, volatile, today. The VIX jumps on the Crazy Train. All aboard.

Keybot is tracking VIX 27.56 as a key bull/bear line in the sand. If VIX moves above 27.56 (now at 26.46), and if the SPX falls below 3329, Keybot will likely flip short, hence the imminent turn notation in the title line. The stock market is a coin-toss.

Bears need higher volatility and weaker utilities. Bears need UTIL under 793 for all of next week. Bulls will receive strength if they push UTIL above 827 tomorrow or above 793 any day next week.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow one-half hour after the opening bell on Wall Street.

9/20/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/18/20; 10:00 AM EST =
9/17/20; 3:15 PM EST = +34; signal line is +21
9/17/20; 3:07 PM EST = +20; signal line is +20 but algorithm remains long
9/17/20; 2:49 PM EST = +34; signal line is +20
9/17/20; 2:35 PM EST = +20; signal line is +19
9/17/20; 1:36 PM EST = +34; signal line is +19
9/17/20; 1:21 PM EST = +20; signal line is +19
9/17/20; 1:01 PM EST = +34; signal line is +20
9/17/20; 12:16 PM EST = +20; signal line is +19
9/17/20; 9:57 AM EST = +34; signal line is +17
9/17/20; 9:00 AM EST = +20; signal line is +16
9/17/20; 4:55 AM EST = +20; signal line is +17
9/17/20; 4:29 AM EST = +34; signal line is +18
9/17/20; 3:06 AM EST = +20; signal line is +18
9/16/20; 2:40 PM EST = +34; signal line is +19; go long 3429; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +6.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.3%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +29.2%)(Actual trading results this trade = +8.2%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +51.0%)

Wednesday, September 16, 2020

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the  long side this afternoon at SPX 3429. Fed Chairman Powell promises easy money forever. The algo wanted to flip long at the start of trading and commodities turn bullish providing more upside fuel. It was not until the afternoon, however, when all the internal parameters latched that the move ot the long side occurs. Humorously, the SPX then promptly fell on its sword collapsing into the closing bell.

Commodities, volatility and utilities are running the show. Bulls need UTIL above 827 to guarantee upside happiness for stocks. UTIL is at 815. For next week, the 827 does not matter but 793 does. Thus, the bears have to push utes lower over the next couple days below UTIL 793 to prove that they can send stocks lower next week.

Bears need VIX above 27.54 which will tell you loud and clear that the downside is occurring in equities. Bears also need weaker commodities; GTX below 1720.

On the last trade that ran for 2 weeks, the quant program gains a couple percent and the actual trading gains about +8%. For the year, the S&P 500 benchmark index, the US stock market, SPX, is up +6.1%. The Keybot the Quant program is up +29% and the actual trading, generated by Keybot, is up a huge +51%. Let's see if the robot gives anything back during the final 3-1/2 months. Keybot exits QID and enters SSO.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning before the opening bell. As always, watch for a potential whipsaw. 

9/18/20; 10:00 AM EST =
9/17/20; 9:00 AM EST =
9/16/20; 2:40 PM EST = +34; signal line is +19; go long 3429; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +6.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.3%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +29.2%)(Actual trading results this trade = +8.2%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +51.0%)
9/16/20; 10:07 AM EST = +34; signal line is +19 but algorithm remains short
9/15/20; 12:00 PM EST = +20; signal line is +20 but algorithm remains short
9/15/20; 10:09 AM EST = +36; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains short
9/13/20; 7:00 PM EST = +20; signal line is +21
9/11/20; 3:25 PM EST = +20; signal line is +23
9/11/20; 3:06 PM EST = +4; signal line is +24
9/11/20; 2:38 PM EST = +20; signal line is +26
9/11/20; 2:20 PM EST = +4; signal line is +27
9/11/20; 1:09 PM EST = -10; signal line is +29
9/11/20; 10:26 AM EST = +20; signal line is +31
9/11/20; 10:02 AM EST = +6; signal line is +33
9/11/20; 9:51 AM EST = +20; signal line is +35
9/10/20; 1:45 PM EST = +6; signal line is +36
9/10/20; 1:25 PM EST = +20; signal line is +38
9/10/20; 10:51 AM EST = +6; signal line is +40
9/10/20; 10:43 AM EST = +20; signal line is +42
9/10/20; 10:30 AM EST = +6; signal line is +43
9/10/20; 9:36 AM EST = +20; signal line is +44
9/10/20; 9:07 AM EST = +36; signal line is +46
9/9/20; 9:38 AM EST = +22; signal line is +46
9/9/20; 9:36 AM EST = +6; signal line is +46
9/8/20; 2:42 PM EST = -10; signal line is +47
9/8/20; 9:36 AM EST = +6; signal line is +49
9/6/20; 7:00 PM EST = +36; signal line is +51
9/4/20; 9:00 AM EST = +36; signal line is +51
9/3/20; 11:11 AM EST = +36; signal line is +52
9/3/20; 10:50 AM EST = +50; signal line is +52; go short 3511; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +8.666%)(Keybot algo this trade = +5.7%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +26.9%)(Actual trading results this trade = +15.9%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +42.8%)

Tuesday, September 15, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short, but is champing at the bit to go long, as stocks float higher into the Fed decision and press conference tomorrow. The algo number and signal line are both at +20. The model prints two numbers today.

If the SPX moves above 3419, Keybot will likely flip long. Bulls need the S&P 500 to move steadily higher and not gap-up which may delay the potential move to the long side.

UTIL 826.52 and 829.62 are key lines in the sand and the utilities came up to test these levels, and failed.Bulls need UTIL above 827 and 830 which will create strong upside and keep equities buoyant into year-end. Bulls also need GTX above 1718 to receive more fuel. Bulls are poised to take over tomorrow since the quant is already in position to go long without utes or commodities.

Bears need weaker banks and higher volatility. Bears need XLF below 24.55 and VIX above 27.53 which will create immediate selling pressure on the stock market. The Powell show is coming to town tomorrow.

9/20/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/18/20; 10:00 AM EST =
9/17/20; 9:00 AM EST =
9/15/20; 12:00 PM EST = +20; signal line is +20 but algorithm remains short
9/15/20; 10:09 AM EST = +36; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains short

9/13/20; 7:00 PM EST = +20; signal line is +21

Monday, September 14, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short. Right on cue overnight, the semi's and banks are pumped higher on happy deal and partnership talk. The quant idled along today and did not print any numbers. The SPX leaps +1.3% higher but the algo yawns. It's just another one of the Strange Days. 

Stocks gapped-up at the opening bell but Keybot did not bite. It does not mean that the robot is right it only means that it wants to see a little more bull verification. The Federal Reserve 2-day meeting begins tomorrow with Chairman Powell pontificating on Wednesday afternoon. Stocks are typically up about 80% of the time for the day or two going into a Fed meeting.

Bulls need UTIL above 827 and GTX above 1718, stronger utilities and commodities, respectively. The bulls made a bit of headway on both today but cannot yet cross the finish line. Upside fuel will be provided for stocks if the bulls can pump these two parameters higher. If either parameter joins the bull camp, and SPX moves above 3403, Keybot will likely flip long. Also watch the SOX to see if it jogs across the 2135 level as previously explained.

Bears need SOX below 2135, XLF below 24.55 and VIX above 27.60, weaker chips and banks and higher volatility, respectively. SOX was up on the NVDA deal but only a couple percent. Semi's used to soar to the moon on happy news for the sector. Banks will be impacted by the Fed talk. If one of the 3 parameters fail, stocks will take a noticeable dip lower to a new level. If two fail, stocks are in for an extremely ugly day. If all three fail, big trouble ahead, no one will know where the bottom is, panic will begin to fill the air.

Watch utes. If UTIL moves higher, the bulls mean business; they are not only trying to create short-term fuel for the stock market but also guarantee a happy finish into year end. If UTIL drops below 793, the stock market is in big trouble. If UTIL falls below 750 anytime over next 3 weeks, there is a high probability that the stock market will crash.

Tuesday may be a holding pattern day as global traders await Pope Powell to bring the Holy tablets down from on high on hump day and tell everyone how to trade.

9/17/20; 9:00 AM EST =
9/13/20; 7:00 PM EST = +20; signal line is +21

Sunday, September 13, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The algo was active on Friday printing 8 numbers. The chips and volatility are the two most important parameters impacting stock market direction currently so that is what you want to watch on Monday. The bears are in control but the algo number is only 1 point below the signal line, hence the imminent turn to the bull side is in play.

Bulls need stronger utilities and must push UTIL above 827 this week beginning at 8 hundo. This is a tall order but doable. Next week, the UTIL 827 no longer matters and instead 793 will be the key line in the sand. Therefore, bulls need UTIL to move higher and at a minimum remain above 793 by week end. Utes are a gauge for how bad the stock market selloff will be. As equities move lower, if UTIL remains above 793 over the next three weeks, the bears do not have much gusto and the selling event will end and a nice strong relief rally will follow. If, however, utes keep dropping, and UTIL goes sub 793 and in a week or two travels sub 750-760, the stock market will begin trailing significantly lower into year end and a crash will be on the table.

Bulls need stronger commodities and to push GTX above 1720. The bulls have a tough road ahead to pump those utes and commodities higher, therefore, the hoofed ones will probably focus on jogging the semiconductors.

Bears need SOX under 2133 (now at 2136) and the stock market will take a significant leg lower. This story will be told at the opening bell. Watch the chips in the pre-market. If 2133 fails, stocks are toast. If 2133 fails, but a few minutes later or a half hour or hour later, price comes back above, and then after a little bit, falls back below 2133 (jogging), that tells you the bulls are gathering strength to start a relief rally.

If the SOX is jogged once or twice across the 2133 line in the sand, and then begins moving higher and higher above 2133, and if the SPX then moves above 3367, Keybot will likely flip long.

Bears need weaker banks and to push XLF below 24.52 (now at 24.71) which will create market carnage. Bears need higher volatility and must push VIX above 28.11 (now at 26.87 creating bullishness) to guarantee selling pressure ahead.

Thus, bulls need stronger utes, commodities, chips and banks and lower volatility. Maintaining SOX above 2133 will keep the bulls at bat (stocks will move sideways with a slightly higher bias).

Bears need weaker utes, commodities, semi's and banks and higher volatility. SOX losing the 2133 level would be the bears ticket to glory on Monday (stocks will drop like rocks). These are historic times. If you are new to trading, markets or economics, you are witnessing rare stuff occurring. If chips and banks both fail out of the gate tomorrow, a Black Monday may be on tap.

Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers this week one on Thursday morning and the other on Friday morning. Watch the chips closely on Monday. Listen for any news concerning semiconductors out of Asia and Europe overnight. Also the banks.

9/20/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/18/20; 10:00 AM EST =
9/17/20; 9:00 AM EST =
9/13/20; 7:00 PM EST = +20; signal line is +21
9/11/20; 3:25 PM EST = +20; signal line is +23
9/11/20; 3:06 PM EST = +4; signal line is +24
9/11/20; 2:38 PM EST = +20; signal line is +26
9/11/20; 2:20 PM EST = +4; signal line is +27
9/11/20; 1:09 PM EST = -10; signal line is +29
9/11/20; 10:26 AM EST = +20; signal line is +31
9/11/20; 10:02 AM EST = +6; signal line is +33
9/11/20; 9:51 AM EST = +20; signal line is +35
9/10/20; 1:45 PM EST = +6; signal line is +36

Friday, September 11, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the stock market roller coaster ride continues. The SPX drops almost -100 points intraday. Keybot prints 7 numbers in the Thursday session. Bears remain in control of the market direction with the algo number 30 points below the signal line.

Utilities failed out of the gate on Thursday. UTIL was at the 818 palindrome at 3:30 PM EST Wednesday afternoon and tumbles to 796. This is serious business. Utes tell you if a pull back in the markets is garden-variety selling, or, if it is something more deadly that will linger for weeks and months ahead. Currently, the 0's and 1's say the stock market is likely in serious trouble. Bulls need UTIL above 827 next week so watch to see if they can rally the sector. For the week of 9/21/20, UTIL must be above 793 to help the bulls. If UTIL falls below 793 today, or next week, and trends lower, stocks may crash.


Volatility was the main show on Thursday. VIX 28.15 is the bull-bear line in the sand and volatility kept testing this level during the session. Isn't it amazing that the quant can call out these numbers before they occur? If you are not impressed, you should be. Enjoy it while the information is posted for you; someday it may not. The bears win in the end with the VIX ending at 29.71. Well look at that. As this is typed, about 4 hours before the opening bell on Wall Street for the Friday session, S&P futures are up +33 with the VIX at 28.20. The bulls are pushing but this is not good enough. Bulls need VIX below 28.15 and to remain below if they want to rally stocks.


Bears need VIX to remain above 28.15 and UTIL to remain below 807 for today. Bears need SOX below 2132 and XLF below 24.51. Thus, bears want higher volatility and lower utes, chips and banks.


Bulls need VIX to drop below 28.15 and remain below and they are pushing for that as this message is typed. The VIX begins trading at 3 AM EST. Bulls need UTIL above 807 for today. Higher commodities would also help bulls if GTX moves above 1721. Bulls need SOX to remain above 2132 and XLF to remain above 24.51. Thus, bulls need lower volatility and stronger utes, commodities, semiconductors and financials. If 2 of the 3 parameters (VIX, UTIL, GTX) turn bullish, and the SPX moves above 3426, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long. If any 1 parameter flips bullish consider the imminent turn to the upside to be in play. Bulls want to stay at the party a little longer but bears have different plans. Watch vol.


9/13/20; 7:00 PM EST =

9/10/20; 1:45 PM EST = +6; signal line is +36
9/10/20; 1:25 PM EST = +20; signal line is +38
9/10/20; 10:51 AM EST = +6; signal line is +40
9/10/20; 10:43 AM EST = +20; signal line is +42
9/10/20; 10:30 AM EST = +6; signal line is +43
9/10/20; 9:36 AM EST = +20; signal line is +44
9/10/20; 9:07 AM EST = +36; signal line is +46
9/9/20; 9:38 AM EST = +22; signal line is +46

Wednesday, September 9, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bearish with the algo number 24 points below the signal line. The bulls stage a big recovery. The 2-day move is a flash crash and flash spike. The bulls are front-running the ECB tomorrow. Whatever President Lagarde spouts tomorrow, the price action today hints that the ECB decision will create a flat or higher euro and weaker dollar.

The bulls do not want to give up the party. The stock market is Outtasite and Outta Mind. Bulls pumped the utes and chips out of the gate guaranteeing upside fun. Bulls needed lower volatility and it came down to test the quant's VIX 28.15 bull-bear line in the sand but only printed down to 28.17 and bounced (these target numbers are continuously recalculated in real-time). The bears held the line at VIX 28.15 which was important. Keybot probably would have flipped long if volatility would have dropped more today. Banks were buoyant so the bears could not gather more negative energy.

Bulls need weaker volatility, VIX below 28.15, and stronger commodities, GTX above 1721. Bulls likely need both to flip into the bull camp and for the SPX to move above 3425 to flip long. If the parameters turn bullish, consider the turn to the long side to be in play for the quant. If Lagarde sends the euro higher, the dollar moves lower, and commodities will rally, so this scenario can easily play out depending on Christine's comments at the presser. The bulls also need to push UTIL above 827 by Friday at 4 PM EST or they face problems next week.

Bears need weaker utilities out of the gate to prove they mean business. Bears need UTIL below 807 which will create immediate negativity in the stock market. If UTIL drops below 793, stocks will fall apart. Bears need weaker chips, SOX below 2131, and weaker banks, XLF below 24.51. Bears must keep VIX above 28.15.

Whittling it down to something more simple, watch VIX 28.15; it is for all the marbles. The VIX begins trading at 3 AM EST. The stock market continues lower as long as VIX remains above 28.15. Watch the UTIL 807 bull-bear line in the sand; bulls win above 807; bears win below 807.

Global traders await ECB President Lagarde to bring the tablets down from on high tomorrow morning and tell investors how to trade. Her decision on the euro impacts the US dollar inversely which will impact commodities, gold and the US stock market. DXY, or USD, the US dollar index, is at 93.26. Euro 1.1805.

9/13/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/9/20; 9:38 AM EST = +22; signal line is +46
9/9/20; 9:36 AM EST = +6; signal line is +46
9/8/20; 2:42 PM EST = -10; signal line is +47

Tuesday, September 8, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bulls sh*t the bed and soiled the sheets after the Labor Day holiday. It may have been from that potato salad sitting out in the sun all day.

There is carnage on Wall Street. Note how UTIL came down to tag the 792-793 level, called out by the quant ahead of time (if you are not impressed that the robot can identify key levels before they occur, you should be), but bounced. UTIL continues creating negativity in the stock market below 807 this week but the breach of 792-793 will bring on a whole new world of hurt.

The chips are down today, literally and figuratively. SOX failed at 2130 so the blood bath was on. Commodities also failed with GTX through 1718. The stock market walked into an ugly forest and bumped into every tree. It is a beautiful day. Shoot to Thrill, play to kill. Take no prisoners. Show no mercy. Pull the trigger. It's fun.

The bears are in full control of the stock market direction with the algo number 57 points below the signal line. Bulls have a lot of work to do to plot their comeback.

There are a lot of moving parts the quant is tracking. To keep it simple for yinz to follow along, bears need weak banks, XLF below 24.51, and weak retail stocks, RTH below 143.51. UTIL below 793 will also help create more carnage and blood for the wealthy privileged class (that own 90% of the stock market).

Bulls need stronger chips, SOX above 2130, stronger utes, UTIL above 807, and lower volatility, VIX below 28.29, to save the day. Any one parameter will stop the selling. Two or all three will send stocks upwards again.

For hump day, it is a battle between banks and chips. Bears will rejoice if XLF fails at 24.51 since the blood will be flowing like water on Wall Street. Bulls will finally breathe a sigh of relief if SOX pops above 2130; it will at least allow the bulls a little time to regroup. Listen for any news on semiconductor companies and banks overnight.

9/13/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/8/20; 2:42 PM EST = -10; signal line is +47
9/8/20; 9:36 AM EST = +6; signal line is +49
9/6/20; 7:00 PM EST = +36; signal line is +51

Sunday, September 6, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as Americans enjoy the Labor Day holiday weekend. US markets are closed on Monday and reopen for trading on Tuesday morning. Bulls need stronger utilities and lower volatility to stabilize the stock market. Bears need to maintain lower utilities, higher volatility and send commodities lower to continue the market damage.

Bulls need UTIL above 806.92; call it 807 so it easy to remember (now at 804). If UTIL pops above 807, the stock market will stabilize and stop falling. Bulls then need to drive UTIL above 827 by Friday at 4 PM EST or there will be trouble.

The stock market selling will stop on a dime if the VIX falls below 28.49 (starting the week at 30.75). Bulls will throw confetti since the selling would end.

Bears need UTIL to remain below 807, if so, the caution notation will be dropped from the title line. Bears need UTIL under 8 hundo and then under 793. Serious damage will occur to stocks if UTIL trails lower and fails at 793. If UTIL then ventures lower and loses the 750-760 area, it is over for the stock market and it may go into crash mode.

Bears need VIX to remain above 28.49. If so, stocks will remain soggy and maintain a downward bias going forward. Bears would also benefit from GTX (commodities) dropping below 1722 (now at 1737). Stocks will take a strong dip lower if GTX fails. This is dollar dependent.

The US market begins trading on Tuesday. Keybot does not print any pre-scheduled numbers in the week ahead. If UTIL pops above 807, stocks stabilize, and if VIX drops below 28.49, the bulls are fine going forward. However, if UTIL keeps trailing lower from 804 and VIX remains above 28.49, there is sustainable trouble ahead for stocks. If GTX 1722 is lost, stocks will drop like rocks. The bulls are hoping that Everything's Gonna Work Out Right, but, sometimes it does not.

9/13/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/6/20; 7:00 PM EST = +36; signal line is +51
9/4/20; 9:00 AM EST = +36; signal line is +51

Saturday, September 5, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short through the Labor Day holiday weekend in the States. US markets are closed on Monday. Keybot prints the pre-scheduled number on Friday morning but did not print any numbers during the trading session. It is rare to see stocks flushed lower the two days before a holiday weekend; that never happens, until now. The VIX remains above the key 28.49 bull-bear line in the sand. VIX came down on Friday to within a  point but that was the best the bulls could do. The bears held their ground.

Next week, the holiday-shortened, 4-day trading week, utilities, volatility and commodities will be running the show. These three parameters control stock market direction currently. VIX 28.49 is key come Tuesday morning. Bears win above and bulls below. VIX will begin at 30.75.

Did you see UTIL finish at 804? As the Apollo 13 crew said, "Houston, we have a problem." The key bull-bear line in the sand for next week is UTIL 806.92 call it 807, that is close enough for gov't work. This tells you that stocks will be negative on Tuesday morning. However, if utilities spike higher at the opening bell, which the bulls must achieve, that will help to stabilize the stock market. The key level for UTIL is 827 the following week and 793 after that. In other words, bulls have to pump utes strongly over the coming days since they will need UTIL above 827 by Friday, 9/11/20, at 4 PM EST.

For next week, if UTIL remains below 807, immediate weakness will occur in the stock market. If UTIL runs above 807, the bulls are battling back and trying to stabilize the stock market and stop it from dropping further. The bulls will then set their sights on 827 by Friday and if they fail, they are in the same negative pickle again for the following week. If UTIL drops below 8 hundo, the stock market will be deteriorating. If UTIL drops below 793 early next week, it is likely lights-out for the stock market and things will get extremely ugly very quickly. If UTIL continues lower through the 750-770 area, the stock market may crash; it would at a minimum trail lower into year end. The caution flag remains out but this will probably disappear if UTIL remains below 807 on Tuesday morning.

9/6/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/4/20; 9:00 AM EST = +36; signal line is +51
9/3/20; 11:11 AM EST = +36; signal line is +52

Thursday, September 3, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant algorithm flips short today at SPX 3511 at 10:50 AM EST. The stock market collapsed under its own weight. Volatility spiked higher granting legitimacy to the selloff.

VIX pops to 33.60 so stocks drop. The bulls must push the VIX below 28.666 to prove that they can regain control of the stock market. Each day the VIX is above 28.666, is another day that the bears will open up a can of whoop-*ss on the bulls.

Bears need weaker utilities, banks, commodities and copper; UTIL under 807, XLF under 24.45, GTX under 1725 and/or CPER under 17.83, respectively. The degree of stock market selling is correlated to these parameters. If one turns bearish, that is a push lower for stocks, if two fail, stocks will fall like rocks. If 3 or all 4 parameters fail, stocks are in crash mode. If the bulls can at least stop all four of these from occurring tomorrow, they will be able to stabilize the market and regain their footing next week.

UTIL finishes the day at the 808 palindrome. Remember at the start of the week the utes were highlighted and UTIL 807 is a key bull-bear line in the sand for next week. Watch this extremely closely since it tells you what will happen on Tuesday (Monday the markets are closed for the Labor Day holiday; all the flags are out flying high on the property). If UTIL finishes above 807 tomorrow, the bulls are going to recover next week. If UTIL finishes below 807 tomorrow, stocks are in serious trouble next week. If UTIL goes sub 800 that hints of equity sickness into year-end and if UTIL loses that 750-770 area and continues lower during September, the stock market will trend lower into year end and potentially crash.

Of course the bulls are going to try and push volatility lower to save the day. Fed Chairman Powell has his jackboots on and is wrestling Uncle Vix to the ground right now to step on his neck and keep volatility subdued. America's wealthy class must always be protected.

On the last trade, that ran for a month, it did seem to linger, the quant program gains +6% and the actual trading +16% courtesy of the long 2x QLD tech ETF. For the year, the benchmark S&P 500 index is up +8.666%. Keybot the Quant algo program is up +27% on the year and the actual trading generated by the quant is up a huge +43% this year. Keybot exits QLD and enters QID.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning before the opening bell. S&P futures are down -28 at 7:44 PM EST on Thursday evening on the US East Coast. The beat goes on.

9/6/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/4/20; 9:00 AM EST =
9/3/20; 11:11 AM EST = +36; signal line is +52
9/3/20; 10:50 AM EST = +50; signal line is +52; go short 3511; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +8.666%)(Keybot algo this trade = +5.7%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +26.9%)(Actual trading results this trade = +15.9%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +42.8%)
8/31/20; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +50; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
8/30/20; 7:00 PM EST = +50; signal line is +50 but algorithm remains long
8/28/20; 10:00 AM EST = +50; signal line is +49
8/25/20; 10:00 AM EST = +50; signal line is +48
8/23/20; 7:00 PM EST = +53; signal line is +47
8/18/20; 9:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +46
8/16/20; 7:00 PM EST = +53; signal line is +46
8/14/20; 10:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +46
8/13/20; 10:34 AM EST = +53; signal line is +46
8/13/20; 10:18 AM EST = +69; signal line is +45
8/13/20; 9:36 AM EST = +53; signal line is +45
8/12/20; 11:29 AM EST = +69; signal line is +45
8/11/20; 10:07 AM EST = +53; signal line is +43
8/9/20; 7:00 PM EST = +69; signal line is +43
8/7/20; 10:44 AM EST = +69; signal line is +41
8/7/20; 9:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +40
8/5/20; 9:37 AM EST = +53; signal line is +40; go long 3322; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +2.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -3.1%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +21.2%)(Actual trading results this trade = -6.0%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +26.9%)

Wednesday, September 2, 2020

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but continues champing at the bit to go short. The SPX is in melt-up mode printing a new all-time record high at 3588.11 and new all-time closing high at 3580.84. It is wild price activity. These are historic times.

If the SPX drops below 3535, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. The S&P 500 will begin the Thursday session at 3581 so the bears have their work cut out for them.

The bulls goosed utilities bigtime today. The bulls know they must keep UTIL above 807 next week so they pumped it above 822 and UTIL closed at the 818 palindrome. This bullishness in utes is very helpful to the bull case for stocks going forward. Bulls need UTIL above 834 to keep the stock market elevated for weeks to come.

The bears need higher volatility and were pushing hard all day. You will never see the SPX up over +60 points while at the same time the VIX is strongly higher at one point above 27. That never happens so there is a disconnect that will be resolved going forward. VIX is at 26.57. Bears need VIX above the 28.03-28.35 area to prove that they can stop the stock market rally and create strong selling pressure.

Bulls need higher utilities and to definitely keep UTIL above 807 into next week. Bears need VIX above 28.35 and GTX below 1726 (lower commodities) to create stock market selling pressure.

9/6/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/4/20; 9:00 AM EST =
8/31/20; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +50; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long