Thursday, September 3, 2020

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant algorithm flips short today at SPX 3511 at 10:50 AM EST. The stock market collapsed under its own weight. Volatility spiked higher granting legitimacy to the selloff.

VIX pops to 33.60 so stocks drop. The bulls must push the VIX below 28.666 to prove that they can regain control of the stock market. Each day the VIX is above 28.666, is another day that the bears will open up a can of whoop-*ss on the bulls.

Bears need weaker utilities, banks, commodities and copper; UTIL under 807, XLF under 24.45, GTX under 1725 and/or CPER under 17.83, respectively. The degree of stock market selling is correlated to these parameters. If one turns bearish, that is a push lower for stocks, if two fail, stocks will fall like rocks. If 3 or all 4 parameters fail, stocks are in crash mode. If the bulls can at least stop all four of these from occurring tomorrow, they will be able to stabilize the market and regain their footing next week.

UTIL finishes the day at the 808 palindrome. Remember at the start of the week the utes were highlighted and UTIL 807 is a key bull-bear line in the sand for next week. Watch this extremely closely since it tells you what will happen on Tuesday (Monday the markets are closed for the Labor Day holiday; all the flags are out flying high on the property). If UTIL finishes above 807 tomorrow, the bulls are going to recover next week. If UTIL finishes below 807 tomorrow, stocks are in serious trouble next week. If UTIL goes sub 800 that hints of equity sickness into year-end and if UTIL loses that 750-770 area and continues lower during September, the stock market will trend lower into year end and potentially crash.

Of course the bulls are going to try and push volatility lower to save the day. Fed Chairman Powell has his jackboots on and is wrestling Uncle Vix to the ground right now to step on his neck and keep volatility subdued. America's wealthy class must always be protected.

On the last trade, that ran for a month, it did seem to linger, the quant program gains +6% and the actual trading +16% courtesy of the long 2x QLD tech ETF. For the year, the benchmark S&P 500 index is up +8.666%. Keybot the Quant algo program is up +27% on the year and the actual trading generated by the quant is up a huge +43% this year. Keybot exits QLD and enters QID.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning before the opening bell. S&P futures are down -28 at 7:44 PM EST on Thursday evening on the US East Coast. The beat goes on.

9/6/20; 7:00 PM EST =
9/4/20; 9:00 AM EST =
9/3/20; 11:11 AM EST = +36; signal line is +52
9/3/20; 10:50 AM EST = +50; signal line is +52; go short 3511; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +8.666%)(Keybot algo this trade = +5.7%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +26.9%)(Actual trading results this trade = +15.9%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +42.8%)
8/31/20; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +50; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
8/30/20; 7:00 PM EST = +50; signal line is +50 but algorithm remains long
8/28/20; 10:00 AM EST = +50; signal line is +49
8/25/20; 10:00 AM EST = +50; signal line is +48
8/23/20; 7:00 PM EST = +53; signal line is +47
8/18/20; 9:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +46
8/16/20; 7:00 PM EST = +53; signal line is +46
8/14/20; 10:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +46
8/13/20; 10:34 AM EST = +53; signal line is +46
8/13/20; 10:18 AM EST = +69; signal line is +45
8/13/20; 9:36 AM EST = +53; signal line is +45
8/12/20; 11:29 AM EST = +69; signal line is +45
8/11/20; 10:07 AM EST = +53; signal line is +43
8/9/20; 7:00 PM EST = +69; signal line is +43
8/7/20; 10:44 AM EST = +69; signal line is +41
8/7/20; 9:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +40
8/5/20; 9:37 AM EST = +53; signal line is +40; go long 3322; (Benchmark SPX for 2020 = +2.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -3.1%; Keybot algo for 2020 = +21.2%)(Actual trading results this trade = -6.0%; Actual trading results for 2020 = +26.9%)

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