Friday, April 1, 2022

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the bear camp during the final minute yesterday at SPX 4540. The stock market fell apart into the close with banks and chips failing.

Bears need weaker retail stocks to continue the negative party. Bears need RTH below 180.24. Also, if copper futures fall -2% today, that tells you the stock market is in serious trouble (currently down -0.8%).

Bulls need to pump banks, chips and the NYA higher. Bulls need XLF above 38.63, SOX above 3438 and NYA above 16690. The NYA is key since it currently calls for a cyclical bear market going forward. Bulls need all 3 to flip the quant long immediately or 2 of the 3 with the SPX above 4600 which is a tall order today.

The crazy whipsaw and choppy action may continue. On the last trade, the algo program gains +5% and is now flat on the year. The actual trading generated by the quant gains almost +7% redeeming itself from the last trade now down about -8% on the year. The S&P 500 benchmark index is down -5% on the year thus far. Q2 begins today. Keybot the Quant remains in the single 1x ETF's for another couple weeks due to the whipsaw timer activation. Keybot exits SPY and enters SH.

4/3/22; 7:00 PM EST =
4/1/22; 9:00 AM EST = +41; signal line is +63
3/31/22; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ1 = +41; signal line is +62
3/31/22; 3:59 PM EST = +41; signal line is +62; go short 4540; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -4.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +5.2%; Keybot algo for 2022 = -0.1%)(Actual results this trade = +6.5%; Actual results for 2022 = -8.4%)
3/31/22; 3:36 PM EST = +71; signal line is +59
3/29/22; 10:00 AM EST = +87; signal line is +56
3/28/22; 12:55 PM EST = +88; signal line is +52
3/28/22; 11:52 AM EST = +74; signal line is +49
3/27/22; 7:00 PM EST = +88; signal line is +46
3/25/22; 10:00 AM EST = +88; signal line is +43
3/24/22; 3:59 PM EST = +88; signal line is +40
3/24/22; 10:38 AM EST = +74; signal line is +37
3/23/22; 1:16 PM EST = +58; signal line is +34
3/23/22; 10:55 AM EST = +74; signal line is +31
3/23/22; 9:38 AM EST = +58; signal line is +29
3/23/22; 9:36 AM EST = +74; signal line is +26
3/22/22; 9:36 AM EST = +88; signal line is +24
3/21/22; 3:59 PM EST = +74; signal line is +21
3/21/22; 1:37 PM EST = +44; signal line is +17
3/21/22; 1:22 PM EST = +30; signal line is +14
3/21/22; 12:56 PM EST = +44; signal line is +13
3/21/22; 12:36 PM EST = +58; signal line is +10
3/21/22; 11:27 AM EST = +74; signal line is +7
3/21/22; 10:46 AM EST = +58; signal line is +5
3/21/22; 9:52 AM EST = +44; signal line is +2
3/20/22; 7:00 PM EST = +60; signal line is +0
3/18/22; 1:12 PM EST = +60; signal line is -3
3/18/22; 12:56 PM EST = +46; signal line is -5
3/17/22; 12:38 PM EST = +30; signal line is -7
3/17/22; 9:00 AM EST = +14; signal line is -8
3/16/22; 3:48 PM EST = +14; signal line is -9
3/16/22; 9:36 AM EST = -2; signal line is -11; go long 4314; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -9.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -3.1%; Keybot algo for 2022 = -5.3%)(Actual results this trade = -6.0%; Actual results for 2022 = -14.9%)

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