Thursday, April 21, 2022

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips bearish at SPX 4453 at munch time in these fast-moving markets. Easy peasy. Bears need CPER below 28.33 and VIX above 23.46.

Bulls need NYA above 16700, SPX above 4462 and/or XLF above 38.12. Any port in a storm will do so any one parameter flipping back to the bull camp will stop the stock market selling. If these three remain bearish, however, there will be Hell to pay, and VIX and CPER would create bloody carnage.

On the last trade that only ran for about 15 hours, almost triggering the whipsaw timer but it did not, the quant program gains about 1% and the actual trading 1.5%. For the year thus far, the SPX is down about -7%, the Keybot the Quant algorithm program is up about +3% and the actual trading generated by the quant is down about -3% in 2022. Keybot exits SSO and enters SDS. The markets are erratic and unstable so anything can happen, as Ellie sings even another whipsaw.

Pay attention to NYA 16700 and SPX 4462 since these numbers represent all the marbles for the United States stock market.

4/24/22; 7:00 PM EST =
4/21/22; 12:13 PM EST = +27; signal line is +39; go short 4453; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -6.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.8%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +3.4%)(Actual results this trade = +1.5%; Actual results for 2022 = -2.9%)
4/21/22; 12:08 PM EST = +41; signal line is +38
4/21/22; 10:43 AM EST = +55; signal line is +36
4/21/22; 10:17 AM EST = +71; signal line is +35
4/21/22; 9:44 AM EST = +55; signal line is +33
4/21/22; 9:37 AM EST = +71; signal line is +33
4/21/22; 9:36 AM EST = +55; signal line is +32
4/20/22; 3:59 PM EST = +41; signal line is +31
4/20/22; 3:18 PM EST = +55; signal line is +31
4/20/22; 2:42 PM EST = +41; signal line is +30
4/20/22; 12:56 PM EST = +55; signal line is +29
4/20/22; 11:18 AM EST = +39; signal line is +27
4/20/22; 10:15 AM EST = +55; signal line is +28
4/20/22; 9:50 AM EST = +39; signal line is +26
4/20/22; 9:36 AM EST = +55; signal line is +25
4/19/22; 3:59 PM EST = +27; signal line is +24
4/19/22; 3:21 PM EST = +41; signal line is +25
4/19/22; 9:54 AM EST = +27; signal line is +25; go long  4420; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -7.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.7%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +2.6%)(Actual results this trade = +4.0%; Actual results for 2022 = -4.4%)

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