Keybot the Quant remains long but is champing at the bit to go short with the algo number 7 points below the signal line. The internal parameters will not yet fully latch to permit the move. The stock market cannot make up its mind. You Were Always On My Mind; Chris singing Willie's song.
There are lots of moving parts nowadays as Donnie Trump's Trade and Tariff War baby stuff continues. Volatility and commodities are dragging the stock market lower while copper and the NYA and SPX indexes are creating bullish buoyancy. One team or the other will win in the holiday-shortened week ahead.
For the bears, the key parameter needed is the SPX below 5767 to likely flip the quant short so watch for about -35 points of weakness in the S&P futures into Tuesday if the bears want to growl. Bears also need SPX under 5747, NYA below 19442 and/or CPER below 29.15 to create stock market carnage. All of the parameters turning bearish spell doom for the US stock market.
SPX 5747 and NYA 19442 are uber important because they separate a cyclical bull market from a cyclical bear market. Equities are testing these two key levels now so if you remain bullish the stock market, get down on your knees and pray that these two metrics do not fail.
Bulls need VIX below 22.15 and/or GTX above 3651 to maintain control of the stock market. If the VIX remains above 22.15, the bulls are likely screwed. Bulls will maintain stock market buoyancy if they send VIX back below 22.15.
Keybot the Quant prints two pre-scheduled numbers in the week ahead the first on Tuesday when US markets come back on line after the Memorial Day holiday and the second on Friday morning. Trading in the month of May ends on Friday.
Thank you to all the families of fallen soldiers; they gave the ultimate sacrifice for the rest of us. Those Caissons Go Rolling Along.
6/1/25;
7:00 PM EST EOM =
5/30/25;
10:00 AM EST =
5/27/25;
10:00 AM EST =
5/25/25;
7:00 PM EST = +27; signal line
is +34 but algorithm remains long
5/23/25;
3:55 PM EST = +27; signal line
is +35 but algorithm remains long
5/23/25;
3:46 PM EST = +41; signal line
is +34
5/23/25;
3:25 PM EST = +27; signal line
is +34 but algorithm remains long
5/23/25;
12:28 PM EST = +41; signal line
is +34
5/23/25;
12:10 PM EST = +27; signal line
is +33 but algorithm remains long
5/23/25;
11:36 AM EST = +41; signal line
is +34
5/23/25;
10:06 AM EST = +27; signal line
is +33 but algorithm remains long
5/23/25;
9:36 AM EST = +12; signal line
is +33 but algorithm remains long
5/23/25; 7:53 AM EST = +27; signal line is +33 but algorithm remains long
5/22/25;
12:02 PM EST = +41; signal line
is +33
5/22/25;
11:47 AM EST = +25; signal line
is +32 but algorithm remains long
5/22/25;
11:32 AM EST = +41; signal line
is +33
5/22/25; 9:36 AM EST = +25; signal line is +33 but algorithm remains long
5/21/25;
2:06 PM EST = +41; signal line
is +33
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