STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long with the stock market dancing on the head of a pin, Modern English, only one measly point separating the algo number and signal line.

The bulls remain in control of the stock market, by a thread, and need NYA above 19385 and/or VIX below 21.80. Both turning bullish will send stocks to the moon. The VIX fell to 21.83 on Friday testing the quant's bull/bear line in the sand and begins the new week at 21.90 only a dime away. It's just a shot away, shot away, shot away, as Bono, Fergie and Mick sing. Gimme Shelter, honey.

The bears need weaker chips and retail stocks to growl. Bears need SOX below 4350 and/or XRT below 69.82. If either parameter flips bearish, and the SPX drops below 5644 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short, hence, the imminent turn notation is in the title line.

Thus, the NYA index, volatility, semiconductors and retail stocks are all that matter for stock market direction.

The NYA is playing games oscillating above and below the critical 19383-19385 line in the sand. If this behavior continues, with a couple more jogs above and below this demarcation line, that tells you that the stock market is likely setting-up short. If the NYA continues the baby games, it actually makes the bear's job easier at flipping the stock market short. If the NYA jogs above and below 19385 a couple more times, and then fails below and starts to trend lower, and if the SPX drops below 5644 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short, hence, the imminent turn notation is in the title line.

Monday is a key day. Either the NYA and VIX catapult stocks higher with the bulls throwing confetti and swigging-down Fed wine, or, semi's or retail stocks fail, or the NYA jogs above and below 19385 ending in failure, that will start a new path lower for the US stock market. 

5/18/25; 7:00 PM EST =
5/16/25; 10:00 AM EST =
5/16/25; 9:00 AM EST =
5/11/25; 7:00 PM EST = -17; signal line is -18
5/9/25; 10:16 AM EST = -17; signal line is -19
5/9/25; 9:36 AM EST = -3; signal line is -21
5/8/25; 3:51 PM EST = -17; signal line is -23