STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long as the new trading week is set to begin. The bulls are in control with the algo number 58 points above the signal line. These, however, are special and epic times occurring in markets.

There are five parameters in the algorithm that are sitting on their bull-bear lines in the sand. All are a hair in the bull camp, hence, the stock market rallies on Friday. Volatility is the most important parameter currently dictating market direction. VIX is at 15.58 creating upward movement in equities. Bears need the VIX above 16.03 which would immediately stop the stock market rally.

Commodities, copper, the banks and the NYA index are all dancing on a knife-edge as Soybean Donny tweets about a great ag deal with China that will take a month or more to put to paper. The movement in these parameters are having the greatest influence on stock market direction. The bulls are cruising, for now, but be aware that the markets can turn on a dime considering that so many algorithm parameters are sitting on their bull-bear lines in the sand.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Thursday morning.

10/20/19; 7:00 PM EST =

10/17/19; 9:00 AM EST =

10/13/19; 7:00 PM EST = +88; signal line is +30

10/11/19; 1:46 PM EST = +88; signal line is +27

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long as the bulls pump the stock market higher.

Soybean Donny and Dictator Xi agree that China will buy more ag products and the US will not impose further sanctions so the stock market rocket launches higher. It is revealed Friday afternoon, however, that there is no written agreement only an understanding that the so-called US-China trade deal will be put on paper over the coming days and weeks. The Dow Jones Industrials were up 5 hundo but gave back 2 hundo into the close.

The bulls are cruising with the algo number 61 big points above the signal line.

10/13/19; 7:00 PM EST =

10/11/19; 1:46 PM EST = +88; signal line is +27

10/11/19; 12:40 PM EST = +74; signal line is +24

10/11/19; 11:57 AM EST = +60; signal line is +23

10/11/19; 11:53 AM EST = +74; signal line is +22

10/11/19; 11:25 AM EST = +88; signal line is +20

10/11/19; 10:58 AM EST = +74; signal line is +18

10/11/19; 10:46 AM EST = +60; signal line is +16

10/11/19; 10:08 AM EST = +74; signal line is +14
10/11/19; 10:00 AM EST = +60; signal line is +11
10/11/19; 9:36 AM EST = +58; signal line is +9

10/10/19; 2:06 PM EST = +26; signal line is +6

10/10/19; 11:21 AM EST = +42; signal line is +5
10/10/19; 9:57 AM EST = +26; signal line is +4
10/9/19; 3:33 PM EST = +12; signal line is +3; go long 2928; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +16.8%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.1%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +13.4%)(Actual results this trade = +3.5%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +27.7%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side yesterday afternoon at SPX 2928. The bulls pumped chips and retail stocks higher to turn Keybot bullish. The bulls are in charge but the algo number is only 9 points above the signal line. Considering the ebb and flow of markets due to non-stop news bites on trade and from the central banks, the choppiness will likely continue. Stay alert for a potential whipsaw today.

The stock market bears need RTH below 112.80 and SOX below 1536. Either parameter turning bearish immediately stops the upside in equities and places the algo in position to whipsaw short. The SPX then would likely have to drop below 2907 to go short. The S&P 500 begins the Thursday session at 2919 and the nutso headlines keep hitting the tape in the pre-market bouncing futures up and down like a ping-pong ball.

The bulls need to keep retail stocks and semiconductors bullish while pulling the banks and NYA index higher and volatility lower. Bulls need XLF above 27.51, NYA above 12742 and VIX below 16.12. The degree of upside in the stock market is directly proportional to these three parameters if they turn bullish and how many of the three turn bullish. The five parameters above tell you everything about stock market direction for the next week.

On the last trade, that ran for 3 weeks, the Keybot computer program gains a couple percent and the actual trading gains +3.5%. The benchmark SPX is up about +17% this year with the actual trading generated by the Keybot the Quant algorithm up almost +28%. Keybot exited SDS and entered SSO remaining in the 2x ETF's. The fun continues.

10/13/19; 7:00 PM EST =

10/11/19; 10:00 AM EST =

10/9/19; 3:33 PM EST = +12; signal line is +3; go long 2928; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +16.8%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.1%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +13.4%)(Actual results this trade = +3.5%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +27.7%)

10/9/19; 11:37 AM EST = +12; signal line is +3 but algorithm remains short

10/9/19; 11:13 AM EST = -4; signal line is +3

10/9/19; 10:06 AM EST = +12; signal line is +5 but algorithm remains short

10/9/19; 9:58 AM EST = -4; signal line is +7

10/9/19; 9:46 AM EST = +12; signal line is +8 but algorithm remains short
10/9/19; 9:36 AM EST = -4; signal line is +9

10/8/19; 3:03 PM EST = -20; signal line is +11
10/8/19; 2:36 PM EST = -4; signal line is +14

10/8/19; 2:07 PM EST = -20; signal line is +16

10/8/19; 1:31 PM EST = -4; signal line is +19

10/8/19; 1:03 PM EST = -20; signal line is +21

10/8/19; 12:51 PM EST = -4; signal line is +23

10/8/19; 9:49 AM EST = -20; signal line is +25

10/8/19; 9:36 AM EST = -4; signal line is +28
10/7/19; 2:10 PM EST = +26; signal line is +30
10/7/19; 1:52 PM EST = +42; signal line is +32 but algorithm remains short
10/6/19; 7:00 PM EST = +26; signal line is +32

10/4/19; 11:01 AM EST = +26; signal line is +33

10/4/19; 10:31 AM EST = +10; signal line is +34

10/4/19; 10:07 AM EST = +26; signal line is +36

10/4/19; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is +37

10/4/19; 9:00 AM EST = -4; signal line is +39

10/3/19; 11:14 AM EST = -4; signal line is +41

10/2/19; 10:37 AM EST = -20; signal line is +43

10/2/19; 10:34 AM EST = -4; signal line is +46

10/2/19; 10:13 AM EST = +12; signal line is +48

10/2/19; 9:56 AM EST = -4; signal line is +49
10/2/19; 9:41 AM EST = +12; signal line is +51
10/1/19; 12:23 PM EST = +26; signal line is +52

10/1/19; 10:05 AM EST = +42; signal line is +54

10/1/19; 9:51 AM EST = +56; signal line is +55 but algorithm remains short

9/30/19; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 = +42; signal line is +55

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +55

9/27/19; 12:48 PM EST = +42; signal line is +56

9/27/19; 11:43 AM EST = +56; signal line is +57

9/27/19; 10:46 AM EST = +70; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains short

9/27/19; 10:14 AM EST = +56; signal line is +58
9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +59
9/27/19; 9:58 AM EST = +40; signal line is +60

9/27/19; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +61

9/27/19; 4:11 AM EST = +68; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains short

9/26/19; 3:45 PM EST = +54; signal line is +61

9/26/19; 3:38 PM EST = +68; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains short
9/26/19; 2:18 PM EST = +54; signal line is +62
9/26/19; 9:55 AM EST = +40; signal line is +62

9/26/19; 9:15 AM EST = +54; signal line is +63

9/26/19; 4:47 AM EST = +68; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains short

9/26/19; 4:07 AM EST = +54; signal line is +64

9/26/19; 3:39 AM EST = +68; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains short

9/25/19; 3:59 PM EST = +54; signal line is +65

9/25/19; 3:46 PM EST = +68; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains short

9/25/19; 1:48 PM EST = +54; signal line is +66

9/25/19; 1:12 PM EST = +40; signal line is +66

9/25/19; 10:58 AM EST = +54; signal line is +68

9/25/19; 9:36 AM EST = +40; signal line is +69

9/24/19; 12:28 PM EST = +54; signal line is +70

9/24/19; 10:00 AM EST = +68; signal line is +71

9/23/19; 9:43 AM EST = +68; signal line is +71

9/23/19; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +70

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70

9/18/19; 1:29 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70; go short 2992; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +19.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.4%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +11.3%)(Actual results this trade = +2.8%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +24.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains bearish. The algorithm prints 8 numbers in the Tuesday session as the stock market deteriorated. This week, the banks, retail stocks, semiconductors and the NYA index all fail into the bear camp creating the stock market angst. The algo number is 31 points below the signal line.

Bulls need SOX above 1532, RTH above 112.80 and/or NYA above 12742. Any one of these three will immediately stop the market selling. If the 3 remain in the bear camp, stocks will continue selling off. If 2 of the 3 turn bullish, consider the imminent turn to the long side in play. If all 3 flip bullish, the stock market is likely back in rally mode and heading higher and Keybot would likely flip to the long side.

Bears need weaker utilities to continue the downside fun. If utes remain buoyant, the stock market will likely recover over time. Bears need the utilities to start showing a weekly trend lower if they want to create carnage into the end of the year.

Bears need the SPX below 2833, now at 2893, to set up a potential stock market crash scenario. If the SPX drops below 2833, the stock market is toast; equities will be collapsing in earnest.

Bulls need stronger chips, retail stocks and NYA index while bears need weaker utilities.

10/13/19; 7:00 PM EST =

10/11/19; 10:00 AM EST =

10/8/19; 3:03 PM EST = -20; signal line is +11

10/8/19; 2:36 PM EST = -4; signal line is +14

10/8/19; 2:07 PM EST = -20; signal line is +16

10/8/19; 1:31 PM EST = -4; signal line is +19

10/8/19; 1:03 PM EST = -20; signal line is +21

10/8/19; 12:51 PM EST = -4; signal line is +23

10/8/19; 9:49 AM EST = -20; signal line is +25

10/8/19; 9:36 AM EST = -4; signal line is +28

10/7/19; 2:10 PM EST = +26; signal line is +30

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bulls goosed the banks yesterday to create some mid-day stock market joy but then fell on their sword. The bears remain in control of the stock market but the algo number is only 4 points below the signal line and the bulls came to within minutes of flipping the model long yesterday. The bull-bear battle continues as political headlines send equities to and fro.

Bears need NYA below 12744 and/or RTH below 112.80 to create market mayhem.

Bulls need XLF above 27.53. If the financials flip into the bull camp, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play, and then, if the SPX is trending above 2960, Keybot will likely flip long. The SPX begins at 2939, sitting on its 50-day MA support/resistance line, so the bulls need 21 points of upside today if they want to puff their chests out.

10/11/19; 10:00 AM EST =

10/7/19; 2:10 PM EST = +26; signal line is +30

10/7/19; 1:52 PM EST = +42; signal line is +32 but algorithm remains short

10/6/19; 7:00 PM EST = +26; signal line is +32

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bulls rally the stock market on Friday after the jobs report. The Federal Reserve is expected to print more money so the party was on into the weekend. A happy NYA index and retail stocks send equities higher.

For the new week of trading, the bulls need stronger banks and lower volatility to win the day. Bulls need XLF above 27.55 and/or VIX below 15.97. Either parameter turning bullish will catapult stocks higher. If 1 of the 2 turn bullish, and the SPX is trending higher above 2954, Keybot will likely flip long, hence the imminent turn notation in the title line.

The bears need to keep the banks and volatility in the bear camp while at the same time flushing the NYSE Composite Index and retail stocks lower. Bears need NYA below 12710 and/or RTH below 112.70. Either parameter turning bearish will immediately stop the stock market relief rally and roll stocks over to the downside.

If all four parameters remain in their respective camps, the stock market will chop sideways with a slight downward bias. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning.

10/13/19; 7:00 PM EST =

10/11/19; 10:00 AM EST =

10/6/19; 7:00 PM EST = +26; signal line is +32

10/4/19; 11:01 AM EST = +26; signal line is +33

10/4/19; 10:31 AM EST = +10; signal line is +34

10/4/19; 10:07 AM EST = +26; signal line is +36

10/4/19; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is +37
10/4/19; 9:00 AM EST = -4; signal line is +39

10/3/19; 11:14 AM EST = -4; signal line is +41

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short with the algo number 45 points below the signal line (very bearish). However, the chips ran higher pulling the broad stock market up. Bears need SOX below 1527 or they got nothing. Bulls need NYA above 12710 and/or RTH above 112.63, either one would do, to create more upside. Both turning bullish would verify that the stock market relief rally is well underway. Bears need weaker chips while bulls need a stronger NYA index and retail stocks.

The US Monthly Jobs Report drops at 8:30 AM EST tomorrow morning one hour before the opening bell for the regular trading session. The stock market may trade wildly on the data. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number before the opening bell.

10/6/19; 7:00 PM EST =

10/4/19; 9:00 AM EST =

10/3/19; 11:14 AM EST = -4; signal line is +41

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bears are cruising with the algo number 45 points below the signal line.

Financials, retail stocks, semiconductors and the NYA index fell apart yesterday creating market mayhem. The chips are the key to the stock market direction today as the noon hour approaches on the US East Coast.

The SPX is at 2888 and the SOX is at 1531. The bears need SOX below 1526.85, which is only a whisker lower, to create accelerated downside selling in equities. Bulls will continue to stabilize the stock market if they can maintain bullishness for the semiconductors.

Bulls need NYA above 12707 to prove they have the beans to take the stock market higher. Bears need to push SOX below 1526.85 to create market mayhem. If SPX 2833 fails, it is lights out for the stock market and a crash scenario may quickly develop. The beat goes on. Chips matter.

10/6/19; 7:00 PM EST =

10/4/19; 9:00 AM EST =

10/3/19; 11:14 AM EST = -4; signal line is +41

10/2/19; 10:37 AM EST = -20; signal line is +43

10/2/19; 10:34 AM EST = -4; signal line is +46

10/2/19; 10:13 AM EST = +12; signal line is +48

10/2/19; 9:56 AM EST = -4; signal line is +49
10/2/19; 9:41 AM EST = +12; signal line is +51

10/1/19; 12:23 PM EST = +26; signal line is +52

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short with the algo number 26 points below the signal line. The bulls took too long to jam volatility lower after the opening bell; Chairman Powell must be sleeping on the job. The VIX shot skyward above 18 to 18.56 so stocks drop. Banks failed creating a double-whammy of bull misery.

Interestingly, the SPX came up to tag the 2992 palindrome for the HOD which is where the model flipped short on 9/18/19. Over the 2 week period, price went nowhere.

For hump day tomorrow, the banks are all that matter. Bulls must push the financials, XLF, above 27.54 (now at 27.41) to stop the stock market selloff. If the bulls fail, you will see retail stocks, chips and other sectors fall apart creating more downside for equities.

The ADP Employment Report hits in the morning and provides a heads-up for the Monthly Jobs Report on Friday morning. Perhaps insider traders, Wall Street is a corrupt cesspool, already know what is coming with the job and wage data?

Watch the banks. If they are happy, the bulls will stage a comeback rally for stocks. If the banks are sad, watch retail stocks and semiconductors since they will likely next drag the stock market lower.

10/6/19; 7:00 PM EST =

10/4/19; 9:00 AM EST =

10/1/19; 12:23 PM EST = +26; signal line is +52

10/1/19; 10:05 AM EST = +42; signal line is +54

10/1/19; 9:51 AM EST = +56; signal line is +55 but algorithm remains short

9/30/19; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 = +42; signal line is +55

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the bull-bear battle continues. Bulls are jamming futures higher with lower volatility. The Federal Reserve is always at the ready to place their jack boots on the throat of volatility to support the stock market.

Keybot is tracking VIX 15.93 as the key bull-bear line in the sand. The VIX is currently trading at 16.07, teasing the psychological support at 16 this morning, Tuesday, six hours before the opening bell for the regular US trading session. It's all about vol. Stock market bulls win if the VIX drops below 15.93. Bears will remain in control of the stock market direction if the VIX remains above 15.93.

If VIX falls below 15.93, consider that the imminent turn to the long side is in play, and if the SPX moves above 2984, it is likely that Keybot will flip long. S&P futures are up +12. The SPX begins today at 2977 so if the futures hold in place, the S&P 500 will move handily above 2984. It's all about volatility; VIX 15.93 tells the market story today.

Keep an eye on the banks. Bears need XLF below 27.55. If the financials become soggy, that would be bearish for stocks, however, if the banks have a big up day, that will likely point to bullish joy for the days ahead.

September and Q3 ends yesterday (EOM, EOQ3) and the first day of October trading is set to begin. New money usually flows into equities to begin a quarter and may account for some of the buoyancy in the US futures. Watch VIX 15.93; it tells you everything you need to know.

10/4/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/30/19; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 = +42; signal line is +55

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +55

Note Added 4:53 AM EST: The VIX drops to 15.98 but recovers to 16.11. S&P futures +11. The bulls, and central bankers, keep jamming vol lower to send futures higher and came to within a nickel of all-out victory. VIX 15.93 is all that matters today.

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the stock market rides a roller coaster of drama. The bears are in charge with the algo number 13 points below the signal line. Bears will create downside carnage if retail stocks, chips and/or banks turn bearish at these levels; RTH 112.40, SOX 1525 and/or XLF 27.50, respectively. The degree of downside in these three sectors dictates the amount of selling that will occur in the stock market.

On the flip side, bulls need to keep retail stocks, chips and banks bullish, while boosting copper and commodities and sending volatility lower. Bulls need CPER above 16.45, GTX above 2428.53 and/or VIX below 15.90 to stop the market selling. Any 1 of the 3 turning bullish will place the imminent turn to the long side in play and then if the SPX moves above 2987, Keybot will likely flip long.

The SPX begins the week, and last day of the month, at 2962. The SPX started the month at 2926. The bulls can easily gain back control if they want.

The month of September ends tomorrow so EOM and EOQ3 occurs and Keybot will print a pre-scheduled number to cast these values into concrete. The quant also prints a pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning. The beat goes on.

10/6/19; 7:00 PM EST =

10/4/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/30/19; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 =

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +55

9/27/19; 12:48 PM EST = +42; signal line is +56

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short after the Friday drama. The algo was champing at the bit to go long at Friday's opening bell but commodities failed out of the gate. Then volatility popped so stocks dropped. The SPX tagged 2987 for a test and died. Of course it did. The quant told you that 2987 was key before the session started. Keybot prints 8 numbers on Friday.

News that President Trump may delist or otherwise prevent or limit Americans from owning Chinese securities sent stocks down the rabbit hole. This is more Trump bravado which will be walked back in the coming days but nonetheless, the opening of futures Sunday evening, and Asia trading, may be interesting.

Bulls have their backs against the wall. The algo number is 14 points below the signal line. Bulls need copper and commodities to rally and/or volatility to drop to create market upside. Bears need to pound the chips, banks and/or retail stocks lower to create market carnage.

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/27/19; 12:48 PM EST = +42; signal line is +56

9/27/19; 11:43 AM EST = +56; signal line is +57

9/27/19; 10:46 AM EST = +70; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains short

9/27/19; 10:14 AM EST = +56; signal line is +58
9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +59

9/27/19; 9:58 AM EST = +40; signal line is +60

9/27/19; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +61

9/27/19; 4:11 AM EST = +68; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short but is champing at the bit to go long. This posture did not take long to occur; only 10 minutes after the last post. The bulls succeed in pushing the VIX sub 15.88 now at 15.81. Volatility drops so stocks pop.

S&P futures are up +4. The SPX needs about 10 points higher at the opening bell to flip the quant long. If the SPX moves above 2987 in the Friday session, it is likely that Keybot will flip long, hence the imminent turn notation is in the title line.

Very simply, the bears need the VIX back above 15.88 and GTX below 2428.50, or they got nothing. If the VIX remains sub 15.88, the bulls will be throwing confetti and celebrating higher stock prices into the weekend. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number about one-half hour after the opening bell.

9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/27/19; 4:11 AM EST = +68; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains short

9/26/19; 3:45 PM EST = +54; signal line is +61

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bearish as the bulls and bears continue the battle. The algo was active yesterday printing 8 numbers. The bears are in control with the algo number 7 points below the signal line. The stock market remains a coin-flip. The bulls were trying to flip the quant long yesterday afternoon but failed.

Volatility and commodities tell the stock market direction story ahead. Bears need GTX below 2428.50 to take equities lower. Bulls need VIX below 15.88 to send stocks higher. The VIX is currently trading at 15.90, only 2 pennies on the bear side, about 5-1/2 hours before the opening bell for the regular US trading session. Whoopsies, daisies. There's VIX 15.88. You will have to see if the bulls can push the VIX below 15.88 to create a happy day into the weekend.

If VIX goes sub 15.88, and the SPX moves above 2987, Keybot will likely flip long. Watch VIX 15.88 since it tells you if the bulls or bears will win today. If VIX goes sub 15.88, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play. If VIX stays above 15.88, stock market bears will be happy.

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/26/19; 3:45 PM EST = +54; signal line is +61
9/26/19; 3:38 PM EST = +68; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains short

9/26/19; 2:18 PM EST = +54; signal line is +62

9/26/19; 9:55 AM EST = +40; signal line is +62

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as volatility and commodities dance to and fro and bulls and bears exchange blows. The bears are in charge with the algo number 22 points below the signal line.

Volatility and commodities are causing market angst currently. Bulls need the VIX back below 15.88 and/or GTX above 2428.50. Either parameter turning bullish will stop the stock market selling. If both remains bearish, the stock market will continue dropping.

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/26/19; 9:55 AM EST = +40; signal line is +62

9/26/19; 9:15 AM EST = +54; signal line is +63

9/26/19; 4:47 AM EST = +68; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains short

9/26/19; 4:07 AM EST = +54; signal line is +64

9/26/19; 3:39 AM EST = +68; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains short

9/25/19; 3:59 PM EST = +54; signal line is +65

9/25/19; 3:46 PM EST = +68; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains short

9/25/19; 1:48 PM EST = +54; signal line is +66

9/25/19; 1:12 PM EST = +40; signal line is +66

9/25/19; 10:58 AM EST = +54; signal line is +68

9/25/19; 9:36 AM EST = +40; signal line is +69

9/24/19; 12:28 PM EST = +54; signal line is +70

9/24/19; 10:00 AM EST = +68; signal line is +71

9/23/19; 9:43 AM EST = +68; signal line is +71

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short with SPX price sticky at the 2992 palindrome. The algo prints two numbers in the Monday session. As copper goes, so goes the markets so "The song remains the same" as Led Zeppelin would sing.

Bulls will send the stock market into euphoric highs if they can bring copper on board. Bears will send stocks down the rabbit hole with higher volatility and/or lower commodities. Bulls need CPER above 16.47 while bears need VIX above 15.89 and/or GTX below 2434, respectively. If copper turns bullish, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play.

The stock market remains a toss-up with the algo number only 3 points below the signal line and the SPX sitting at 2992 where it entered short last Wednesday. Bulls and bears are deadlocked but one of them will buckle. One of those three parameters will flinch and that tells you the stock market direction ahead. Copper futures are flat as this message is typed about 2 hours before the opening bell for the US trading session.

Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number shortly after the opening bell this morning.

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/24/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/23/19; 9:43 AM EST = +68; signal line is +71

9/23/19; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +70

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the new week of trading is set to begin. Bulls need higher copper and bears need lower commodities and higher volatility. Bulls need CPER above 16.49 which would be a +1.5% rise. The 2.63 number is a key bull-bear line in the sand for copper. Bulls win going forward if they can turn copper bullish.

Bears need GTX below 2428 and/or VIX above 15.92. Either parameter turning bearish guarantees more stock market downside. If copper remains bearish, and commodities and volatility bullish, the quant will likely chop sideways with a slight downward bias.

Keybot prints two pre-scheduled numbers in the week ahead one on Tuesday and one on Friday. The recent trend continues. As copper goes, so goes the market.

9/29/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/27/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/24/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70

9/18/19; 1:29 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70; go short 2992; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +19.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.4%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +11.3%)(Actual results this trade = +2.8%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +24.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short but the stock market remains a toss-up. The algo has not printed a number since it flipped short on hump day. Equities rallied on Friday but you saw copper sinking like a stone so you knew that stocks would roll over, and they did. In fact, copper peaked and tanked exactly as the last message was posted. The bulls were trying to jam copper higher in the thinner overnight trading and almost succeeded but there was no sustainable juice there so the red metal collapsed. As copper goes, so goes the market. This will continue early next week.

The SPX ends the week at the 2992 palindrome where Keybot flipped short on Wednesday. Flip a coin.

Copper remains bearish while commodities and volatility remain bullish. Note that the VIX came up to tease the important 15.85-15.95 range again, two days in a row, but the bears did not have the strength to push volatility any higher. One of those three parameters will flinch and tell you the stock market direction ahead.

Bulls and bears call a truce on Friday and agree to rest up this weekend and then battle again next week. As always, watch for a President Trump or Xi tweet, or message from their henchmen, between 5 PM EST and 6 PM EST Sunday evening timed to when the futures markets open and Asia trading is set to come on line for the week.

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/19; 1:29 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70; go short 2992; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +19.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.4%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +11.3%)(Actual results this trade = +2.8%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +24.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. The Thursday session was quiet. Stocks rallied yesterday but copper was weak so you knew equities would roll back over to the downside which they did. The day was flat price action overall. Friday is the same thing; as copper goes, so goes the market.

Bulls need CPER above 16.50 to send the stock market to new record highs. This represents about a +1% gain in copper futures which are currently up +0.8% about 5-1/2 hours before the US opening bell. There is a big battle going on with copper now since it will light the way ahead. You can watch the 2.63 level on copper as the bull-bear line in the sand. Copper futures are at 2.6295. Copper will tell the market story today.

Bears need VIX above 15.86 and/or GTX below 2427 to gather downside steam. Bulls need CPER above 16.50 to send stocks higher. If copper turns bullish, consider the imminent turn to the long side to be in play. Then, if the SPX runs above 3022, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long. If copper turns bullish, which it is hinting that it will this morning, it will be important that the bulls move the SPX above 3022. If the bulls cannot move the SPX above 3022, stocks will likely become soggy again and copper may return to the bear camp again. Doctor Copper determines stock market direction today. S&P futures are up +5 with the VIX at 13.83.

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/19; 1:29 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70; go short 2992; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +19.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.4%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +11.3%)(Actual results this trade = +2.8%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +24.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips bearish yesterday afternoon at the SPX 2992 palindrome on the palindrome date 91819. The algo turned short just before the big Fed decision and Powell presser. The algo number is only 2 points below the signal line so the bull-bear battle would be expected to continue.

As is the case in recent days, as copper goes, so goes the market. Copper is in the bear camp but only by pennies. Bulls need to move CPER above 16.50 (now at 16.36) or they got nothing. Bears need to keep copper weak. Bulls need a +0.9% move higher in copper futures. Copper is currently trading down -0.1% about 3-1/2 hours before the opening bell for the regular US Thursday trading session so the bears are smiling.

Bears need VIX above 15.86 to create market mayhem. Note that the VIX spiked to 15.80 yesterday teasing the quant's key level (Keybot is an intelligent robot that tells you these levels before they occur) but then slipped away now trading at 14.27. The failure of volatility to turn bearish created the late-day rally in the US stock market yesterday. S&P futures are down -7 currently. Bears will also benefit from weaker commodities by sending GTX below 2427.

Thus, bulls need higher copper to prove they are in control of the stock market while bears need copper to remain weaker while sending volatility higher and commodities lower.

On the last trade, which ran 2-1/2 weeks, the quant program gains +2.4% and the actual trading logs a +2.8% gain. The actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant this year is up +24.2% with the benchmark S&P 500 index is up nearly +20% after the first 8+ months of the year. The central banker easy money this year creates the market joy. Keybot exits DIA and enters SDS now back into the 2x ETF's since a timer expired after the last whipsaw move a month ago. It will be interesting today to see if the model wants to whipsaw back to the bull side, or not. It all depends on Dr Copper. The beat goes on.

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/19; 1:29 PM EST = +68; signal line is +70; go short 2992; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +19.4%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +2.4%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +11.3%)(Actual results this trade = +2.8%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +24.2%)

9/18/19; 9:00 AM EST = +68; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long

9/17/19; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long

9/16/19; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +70
9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +68
9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +65

9/12/19; 11:46 AM EST = +70; signal line is +64
9/11/19; 11:46 AM EST = +54; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long

9/11/19; 9:53 AM EST = +68; signal line is +60

9/10/19; 11:52 AM EST = +84; signal line is +58

9/10/19; 11:21 AM EST = +70; signal line is +56

9/10/19; 10:58 AM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long

9/10/19; 10:31 AM EST = +68; signal line is +53

9/10/19; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +51

9/10/19; 6:31 AM EST = +84; signal line is +50

9/10/19; 3:35 AM EST = +70; signal line is +48
9/9/19; 2:44 PM EST = +84; signal line is +45
9/9/19; 2:29 PM EST = +70; signal line is +43

9/9/19; 1:52 PM EST = +84; signal line is +40

9/9/19; 1:37 PM EST = +70; signal line is +37

9/9/19; 12:58 PM EST = +84; signal line is +35

9/9/19; 12:33 PM EST = +70; signal line is +32

9/9/19; 11:07 AM EST = +84; signal line is +30

9/8/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +28

9/8/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +28

9/6/19; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +26

9/6/19; 9:00 AM EST = +56; signal line is +23

9/5/19; 12:27 PM EST = +56; signal line is +22

9/5/19; 12:18 PM EST = +70; signal line is +21
9/5/19; 12:09 PM EST = +56; signal line is +18
9/5/19; 11:30 AM EST = +70; signal line is +17

9/5/19; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +15

9/3/19; 3:21 PM EST = +24; signal line is +13

9/3/19; 12:36 PM EST = +8; signal line is +11 but algorithm remains long

9/3/19; 12:20 PM EST = +24; signal line is +10

9/3/19; 12:01 PM EST = +8; signal line is +9 but algorithm remains long

9/3/19; 11:54 AM EST = +24; signal line is +8

9/3/19; 11:16 AM EST = +8; signal line is +8 but algorithm remains long

9/3/19; 10:54 AM EST = +24; signal line is +9
9/3/19; 10:10 AM EST = +8; signal line is +9 but algorithm remains long
9/1/19; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +24; signal line is +9

8/30/19; 10:00 AM EST = +24; signal line is +8
8/29/19; 9:36 AM EST = +28; signal line is +7; go long 2920; (Benchmark SPX for 2019 = +16.8%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -1.6%; Keybot algo for 2019 = +8.9%)(Actual results this trade = -0.9%; Actual trading results for 2019 = +21.4%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but the algorithm is champing at the bit to go short. The algo number is 2 points below the signal line (bearish) but the internal parameters will not yet fully latch to permit the move. Commodities jump higher this week along with the pop in oil foiling the bears hopes for weakness in the stock market.

The bears will benefit from a slow steady move lower in the stock market. If the SPX drops below 2994, starting the day at 3006 (12 points above), Keybot will likely flip short. S&P futures are down -4 about 7 hours before the opening bell for the Wednesday trading session in the States. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number before the opening bell.

The FOMC Rate Decision and Chairman Powell Press Conference is on tap for Wednesday afternoon so all bets are off until King Jerome brings the tablets down from on high and tells global traders how to trade. The central bankers are the market.

A gap-down move at the opening bell will not be good for bears. Bears simply need to march stocks lower slowly, keeping copper in the bear camp, and send the SPX sub 2994 to flip the model short.

The stock market bulls need to keep the SPX above 2994 on hump day and they will be fine. As copper goes, so goes the market. Bulls need CPER above 16.50 (now at 16.44) so it continues to be a game of pennies. Bulls need about a +0.4% pop in copper to bring it back into the bull camp and create stock market upside. Copper futures are currently up +0.2%.

Thus, the imminent turn to the short side is in play. Bears need SPX below 2994 to flip the model short while bears need CPER above 16.50 to restart the stock market upside. King Powell may have to tell his story this afternoon before stocks commit one way or the other.

The Housing Starts data are uber important this morning. The Keybot the Quant algorithm has called the start of a housing recession in July and this morning will determine if this projection and forecast remains in play.

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/17/19; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains long

9/16/19; 9:36 AM EST = +84; signal line is +70
9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +68

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the new week of trading is set to begin. The bulls are in control but the algo number is only 2 measly points above the signal line. The bulls and bears are battling.

As copper goes, so goes the market. Bears need CPER below 16.45 (now at 16.92). Bears also need higher volatility and must push the VIX above 15.84 to prove they have the beans to crush stocks. If either parameter turns bearish, consider the imminent turn in play and if the SPX slips below the 3003 palindrome, on the Monday palindrome day, 91619, Keybot will likely flip short. The SPX begins at 3007.

Bulls need to keep copper and volatility in the bull camp (higher copper and lower volatility) while at the same time pushing commodities higher. Bulls need GTX above 2423 (now at 2394) and new record highs in the stock market are guaranteed.

If copper and volatility remain bullish, and commodities bearish, stocks will chop sideways with a slight upward bias. The big Fed Rate Decision and Chairman Powell Press Conference is on tap for Wednesday and stocks typically rally 80% of the time going into the Fed meeting. Global traders may be willing to wait until hump day for Powell to bring the tablets down from on high and tell traders how to trade.

Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Wednesday.

9/22/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/18/19; 9:00 AM EST =

9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST = +70; signal line is +68

9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +65

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long. The stock market bulls are singing joyous songs into the weekend after copper rallied on Thursday. Stocks ran higher since the fix was in on Wall Street concerning the copper bounce.

Note that the quant printed numbers at the exact same time, 11:46 AM EST, two days in a row. Of course it did. The 11:40 AM EST time is the start of the third 65-minute period of the US trading day. The robots are making changes to positions at the start of this segment. Maybe keep an eye on the 11:40 AM EST to 11:46 AM EST time period going forward for the heck of it. The bulls are in control but the algo number is only 5 points above the signal line. The caution flag remains out.

Copper remains key. As copper goes, so goes the stock market. Interestingly, commodities, GTX, remain in the bear camp. Copper, commodities and volatility are controlling stock market direction currently. Copper and volatility are creating positivity in stocks but commodities are creating negativity.

A major computer changeout and upgrade is on tap this weekend. It should go off without a hitch. Famous last words.

9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +65
9/12/19; 11:46 AM EST = +70; signal line is +64
9/11/19; 11:46 AM EST = +54; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but is champing at the bit to go short with the algo number 7 points below the signal line. Hence, the imminent turn notation is in the title line. Both copper and commodities leap into the bear camp to create market negativity but the jack-booted central bankers are always fast to step on the throat of volatility to save the day. The VIX collapses to a 14-handle printing down at 14.55. Volatility drops so stocks pop.

President Trump wants to soften his stance on Iran which took more premium out of oil prices and helped to send commodities lower, however, the news is viewed more positively with other sectors. Global traders are waiting for the ECB decision and King Draghi press conference in the morning. It is not surprising to see equities float higher in front of Super Mario who is expected to flap his dovish wings. The central bankers are the market.

If the SPX drops below 2975, Keybot will likely flip short. The SPX will begin the day at 3001 right as the Draghi presser ends.

Bulls need CPER back above 16.39 and/or GTX above 2425 which will continue the upside rally. Bears need VIX above 15.84 which will crush stocks. If copper and commodities remain bearish, and volatility bullish, stocks will chop along sideways with a downward bias. Same dealio on tap for Thursday. As copper goes, so goes the markets.

Humorously, analysts and pundits tout a bull market into year end while copper and commodities, the building blocks of the global economy, break down. Draghi has more power than any other man on Earth tomorrow morning. How did the financial world ever deteriorate to such a place? Watch for SPX 2975.

9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/11/19; 11:46 AM EST = +54; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long

9/11/19; 9:53 AM EST = +68; signal line is +60

9/10/19; 11:52 AM EST = +84; signal line is +58

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long with the bulls in control. The algo number is 26 points above the signal line. Note that the bears were pressing hard before munch time but they folded like a cheap suit.

Bears need CPER below 16.39, and/or GTX below 2426.60 and/or VIX above 15.86. Copper and volatility created the price action in the quant today so that will likely continue tomorrow. If 1 of the 3 turn bearish, consider the caution flag out. If 2 of the 3 turn bearish, consider the imminent turn to the short side in play and if the SPX then falls below 2957, Keybot will likely flip short. Copper futures trade overnight and the VIX begins trading at 3 AM EST. As copper goes, so goes the markets.

Markets may be quiet tomorrow (hump day) since the world awaits King Draghi to bring the tablets down from on high and tell global traders how to trade Thursday morning. The central bankers are the market.

9/15/19; 7:00 PM EST =

9/13/19; 10:00 AM EST =

9/10/19; 11:52 AM EST = +84; signal line is +58

9/10/19; 11:21 AM EST = +70; signal line is +56

9/10/19; 10:58 AM EST = +54; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains long

9/10/19; 10:31 AM EST = +68; signal line is +53

9/10/19; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +51

9/10/19; 6:31 AM EST = +84; signal line is +50

9/10/19; 3:35 AM EST = +70; signal line is +48
9/9/19; 2:44 PM EST = +84; signal line is +45