Keybot the Quant Algorithm Returns +59% in 2021; Another Stellar Year as the COVID-19 Pandemic Lingers

The Keybot the Quant algorithm is re-zeroed for the new year ahead. 2021 is another stellar year with the actual trading generated by the quant returning +59%. The quant program gains +32.3% as compared to the S&P 500 benchmark index at 26.9%. In a nutshell, the S&P 500, which is the United States stock market, SPX, gains a historic and record-setting 27% in 2021. The Keybot the Quant computer program gains +32% and controls the actual trading of the ETF's which gains a humongous +59% this year.

If you had $10,000 at the start of 2021, you have $16,000 only 12 months later. $100K one year ago got you $60K for a total of $160K only 12 months later.

The algorithm triggers a whipsaw on 12/17/21 so the trades will remain in the single ETF's for at least 30 days. The markets have become too choppy so the quant drops from the 2x ETF's to the 1x ETF's to reduce risk. A choppy market eats up bulls and bears alike. Everyone becomes part of the chop suey. The robot remains in SPY currently; the numbers were rezeroed to properly tally the yearly data.

The Fed's money-printing is as constant as snowflakes in wintertime carrying the crony capitalism system to its final resting place. In the meantime, everyday is a party since March 2009 when the United States decided to protect the wealthy and screw the poor. Making money is effortless; if you have money.

The bulls are in full control of the stock market as 2022 begins. The banks, volatility, commodities, copper, retail stocks and the NYA Index, are all bullish and controlling market direction and that is a lot of moving parts uncharacteristic of the normal action where only a couple parameters are steering the ship.

If you want to focus on one key parameter, it is the banks. XLF 38.77 is the line in the sand (now at 39.05). If the stock market weakens, XLF 38.77 will tell you if it is real, or not. If stocks sell off and everyone is scared but XLF does not drop below 38.77, stocks will likely recover. If XLF 38.77 fails, bears plan on exploring lower numbers for stocks.

Bears also need higher volatility and VIX 19.24 is the bull/bear line in the sand. VIX is at 17.22 to begin the year in bull territory (remember, volatility moves inverse to the stock market over 90% of the time). If stocks sell off and the VIX shoots above 19.24, the selling is real and has legs. If stocks sell off but the VIX does not move above 19.24, the bears got nothing and stocks will recover and move higher again.

Bears need GTX below 2718 (now at 2775; the commodity index), CPER below 26.60 (now at 27.21), RTH below 190.01 (now at 194.70) and NYA Index below 16618 (now at 17164). Lots of moving parts.

For the next week or more, you can forecast the stock market direction using these parameters; XLF 38.77, VIX 19.24, GTX 2718, CPER 26.60, RTH 190.01 and NYA 16618. Each one that turns bearish creates another down leg in stocks. You will know a short-term bottom is in play if any of the parameters turn bearish, but then revert back to bullish, that hints that the downside does not have much legs. If 3 of the 6 turn bearish, especially if it occurs in quick order within minutes or a few hours of each other, that means serious downside action has started and there is likely an ugly selloff already underway and gaining bigtime momentum.

The algo is in the 1x long ETF SPY currently and remains in the single ETF's until after 1/18/22 when the robot will revert back to 2x ETF's (unless another whipsaw occurs). Watch the banks and XLF 38.77.

1/9/22; 7:00 PM EST =
1/7/22; 9:00 AM EST =
1/1/22; Algorithm Zeroed for 2022 Data = +88; signal line is +41; hold long 4766; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 Final = +0.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.0%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +0.0%)(Actual results this trade = +0.0%; Actual results for 2022 = +0.0%)

Keybot the Quant Begins 2022 on the Long Side from SPX 4766

All Data 0%. Begin 2022

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START 2022 PROGRAM

Begin Printing

Mark and Set

Date Stamp 1/1/22; 6:11 AM EST

START 2022 PROGRAM

Copyright Enforced. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014. 2015. 2016. 2017. 2018. 2019. 2020. 2021. 2022. Keybot the Quant. The Keystone Speculator. K E Stone. All Rights Reserved.

 

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

 

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END OF 2021 RESULTS:

 

The SPX (S&P 500) Benchmark Index Gains a Huge +26.9% in 2021

(SPX Started at 3756 and Ended at 4766 Rallying an Unbelievable 1,010 Points During the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic)

 

Keybot the Quant Algorithm (Computer Program Only) During 2021: +32.3%

 

KEYBOT THE QUANT ACTUAL TRADING RETURN FOR 2021 INCLUDING ALL COMMISSIONS, COSTS AND FEES: +58.6%

 

Keybot the Quant has never printed a losing year

 

Keybot the Quant is a long-short algorithm that oscillates between a bullish (long) position and a bearish (short) position seeking the smoothest path through the trading year using the S&P 500 (SPX; the US stock market) as the benchmark comparison index

 

Number of Position Changes (Long to Short or Short to Long) During 2021: 31

 

1/1/2021	3756	Go Short	5:19 AM	SDS	12.39
1/6/2021	3745	Cover Short	10:10 AM	SDS	12.46
1/6/2021	3745	Go Long	10:10 AM	SSO	90.84
1/25/2021	3812	Sell Long	11:07 AM	SSO	94.22
1/25/2021	3812	Go Short	11:07 AM	SDS	11.96
2/1/2021	3779	Cover Short	2:18 PM	SDS	12.12
2/1/2021	3779	Go Long	2:18 PM	SSO	92.45
2/23/2021	3849	Sell Long	9:30 AM	SSO	96.07
2/23/2021	3849	Go Short	9:30 AM	SDS	11.62
3/9/2021	3882	Cover Short	10:03 AM	SDS	11.33
3/9/2021	3882	Go Long	10:03 AM	SSO	97.51
5/4/2021	4133	Sell Long	11:18 AM	SSO	110.35
5/4/2021	4133	Go Short	11:18 AM	SDS	9.90
5/14/2021	4144	Cover Short	9:30 AM	SDS	9.82
5/14/2021	4144	Go Long	9:30 AM	SSO	110.74
5/18/2021	4132	Sell Long	3:59 PM	SSO	110.29
5/18/2021	4132	Go Short	3:59 PM	QID	25.19
5/20/2021	4144	Cover Short	10:34 AM	QID	24.41
5/20/2021	4144	Go Long	10:34 AM	SPY	413.42
6/16/2021	4237	Sell Long	12:28 PM	SPY	423.47
6/16/2021	4237	Go Short	12:28 PM	SH	15.63
6/21/2021	4201	Cover Short	10:08 AM	SH	15.76
6/21/2021	4201	Go Long	10:08 AM	SSO	114.11
7/8/2021	4321	Sell Long	9:30 AM	SSO	119.78
7/8/2021	4321	Go Short	9:30 AM	SDS	9.01
7/9/2021	4345	Cover Short	9:43 AM	SDS	8.84
7/9/2021	4345	Go Long	9:43 AM	SPY	433.00
7/15/2021	4349	Sell Long	1:32 PM	SPY	433.62
7/15/2021	4349	Go Short	1:32 PM	SH	15.19
7/21/2021	4344	Cover Short	9:36 AM	SH	15.20
7/21/2021	4344	Go Long	9:36 AM	SPY	432.98
7/27/2021	4395	Sell Long	10:17 AM	SPY	438.42
7/27/2021	4395	Go Short	10:17 AM	SH	15.00
8/5/2021	4419	Cover Short	10:01 AM	SH	14.93
8/5/2021	4419	Go Long	10:01 AM	SPY	440.68
8/16/2021	4454	Sell Long	9:30 AM	SPY	444.46
8/16/2021	4454	Go Short	9:30 AM	SDS	8.35
8/23/2021	4482	Cover Short	11:05 AM	SDS	8.25
8/23/2021	4482	Go Long	11:05 AM	SSO	129.84
9/7/2021	4514	Sell Long	10:13 AM	SSO	131.83
9/7/2021	4514	Go Short	10:13 AM	QID	17.76
9/23/2021	4420	Cover Short	9:36 AM	QID	18.67
9/23/2021	4420	Go Long	9:36 AM	SSO	126.27
9/28/2021	4385	Sell Long	10:07 AM	SSO	124.24
9/28/2021	4385	Go Short	10:07 AM	SDS	8.55
10/13/2021	4359	Cover Short	1:29 PM	SDS	8.61
10/13/2021	4359	Go Long	1:29 PM	QLD	73.35
11/9/2021	4689	Sell Long	9:56 AM	QLD	88.38
11/9/2021	4689	Go Short	9:56 AM	SDS	7.42
11/12/2021	4669	Cover Short	11:02 AM	SDS	7.47
11/12/2021	4669	Go Long	11:02AM	QLD	87.56
11/22/2021	4690	Sell Long	3:57 PM	QLD	90.54
11/22/2021	4690	Go Short	3:57 PM	QID	15.81
12/7/2021	4666	Cover Short	9:48 AM	QID	16.13
12/7/2021	4666	Go Long	9:48 AM	SSO	140.46
12/9/2021	4693	Sell Long	9:36 AM	SSO	142.20
12/9/2021	4693	Go Short	9:36 AM	SDS	7.41
12/15/2021	4647	Cover Short	2:13PM	SDS	7.45
12/15/2021	4647	Go Long	2:13 PM	SSO	139.70
12/17/2021	4618	Sell Long	9:42 AM	SSO	137.59
12/17/2021	4618	Go Short	9:42 AM	SH	14.09
12/21/2021	4605	Cover Short	9:36 AM	SH	14.11
12/21/2021	4605	Go Long	9:36 AM	SPY	458.78
1/1/2022	4766	Hold Long	6:11 AM	SPY	474.96

 

Date – SPX – Position – Date Stamp – ETF – Price

 

Begin Printing Trade Data Entries Exits Reverse Order

 

FINAL 2021 RESULTS

 

Mark and Set

 

Date Stamp 1/1/22; 6:11 AM EST

 

End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End – End

 

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1/1/22; Algorithm Zeroed for 2022 Data = +88; signal line is +41; hold long 4766; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 Final = +26.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +3.5%; Keybot algo for 2021 Final = +32.3%)(Actual results this trade = +3.5%; Actual results for 2021 Final = +58.6%)
12/28/21; 10:00 AM EST = +88; signal line is +39

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Here's what yinz missed out on in the back half of the year. 

12/28/21; 10:00 AM EST = +88; signal line is +39
12/26/21; 7:00 PM EST = +88; signal line is +37
12/23/21; 10:00 AM EST = +88; signal line is +34
12/23/21; 9:36 AM EST = +88; signal line is +32
12/22/21; 3:29 PM EST = +72; signal line is +30
12/22/21; 10:16 AM EST = +58; signal line is +27
12/21/21; 1:19 AM EST = +44; signal line is +26
12/21/21; 12:43 PM EST = +28; signal line is +25
12/21/21; 11:29 AM EST = +12; signal line is +25 but algorithm remains long
12/21/21; 11:13 AM EST = +28; signal line is +26
12/21/21; 9:36 AM EST = +28; signal line is +26; go long 4605; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +22.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.3%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +28.8%)(Actual results this trade = +0.1%; Actual results for 2021 = +55.1%)
12/20/21; 9:36 AM EST = +12; signal line is +26
12/19/21; 7:00 PM EST = +28; signal line is +29
12/17/21; 11:41 AM EST = +28; signal line is +30
12/17/21; 11:17 AM EST = +44; signal line is +31 but algorithm remains short
12/17/21; 9:42 AM EST = +28; signal line is +30; go short 4618; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +23.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +28.5%)(Actual results this trade = -1.5%; Actual results for 2021 = +55.0%)
12/16/21; 9:00 AM EST = +44; signal line is +31
12/15/21; 3:22 PM EST = +44; signal line is +30
12/15/21; 2:23 PM EST = +28; signal line is +30 but algorithm remains long
12/15/21; 2:13 PM EST = +44; signal line is +31; go long 4647; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +23.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.0%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +29.1%)(Actual results this trade = +0.5%; Actual results for 2021 = +56.5%)
12/15/21; 2:09 PM EST = +44; signal line is +30 but algorithm remains short
12/15/21; 1:52 PM EST = +28; signal line is +30
12/15/21; 1:11 PM EST = +44; signal line is +30 but algorithm remains short
12/15/21; 10:23 AM EST = +28; signal line is +29
12/15/21; 10:07 AM EST = +12; signal line is +29
12/15/21; 9:36 AM EST = +28; signal line is +29
12/14/21; 3:54 PM EST = +12; signal line is +30
12/14/21; 3:23 PM EST = +28; signal line is +31
12/14/21; 2:54 PM EST = +12; signal line is +32
12/14/21; 2:10 PM EST = +28; signal line is +34
12/14/21; 12:56 PM EST = +12; signal line is +34
12/14/21; 12:35 PM EST = +28; signal line is +35
12/14/21; 11:58 AM EST = +12; signal line is +36
12/14/21; 11:09 AM EST = +28; signal line is +37
12/14/21; 10:53 AM EST = +12; signal line is +37
12/14/21; 10:21 AM EST = +28; signal line is +38
12/14/21; 10:04 AM EST = +44; signal line is +38 but algorithm remains short
12/13/21; 11:40 AM EST = +28; signal line is +38
12/13/21; 9:36 AM EST = +12; signal line is +38
12/12/21; 7:00 PM EST = +58; signal line is +39 but algorithm remains short
12/10/21; 3:37 PM EST = +58; signal line is +37 but algorithm remains short
12/10/21; 3:36 PM EST = +44; signal line is +36 but algorithm remains short
12/10/21; 2:39 PM EST = +28; signal line is +35
12/10/21; 2:26 PM EST = +44; signal line is +34 but algorithm remains short
12/10/21; 10:07 AM EST = +28; signal line is +32
12/10/21; 10:00 AM EST = +44; signal line is +32 but algorithm remains short
12/10/21; 9:36 AM EST = +44; signal line is +30 but algorithm remains short
12/9/21; 3:44 PM EST = +12; signal line is +24
12/9/21; 12:58 PM EST = +44; signal line is +28 but algorithm remains short
12/9/21; 12:03 PM EST = +28; signal line is +26 but algorithm remains short
12/9/21; 10:29 AM EST = +12; signal line is +26
12/9/21; 10:10 AM EST = +28; signal line is +25 but algorithm remains short
12/9/21; 9:36 AM EST = +12; signal line is +24; go short 4693; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +25.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +28.1%)(Actual results this trade = +1.2%; Actual results for 2021 = +56.0%)
12/8/21; 12:38 PM EST = +60; signal line is +24
12/8/21; 10:58 AM EST = +44; signal line is +22
12/8/21; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +21
12/7/21; 1:06 PM EST = +44; signal line is +19
12/7/21; 12:50 PM EST = +28; signal line is +18
12/7/21; 12:34 PM EST = +44; signal line is +18
12/7/21; 11:06 AM EST = +60; signal line is +17
12/7/21; 10:58 AM EST = +44; signal line is +15
12/7/21; 10:43 AM EST = +28; signal line is +16
12/7/21; 10:23 AM EST = +44; signal line is +17
12/7/21; 10:22 AM EST = +28; signal line is +17
12/7/21; 10:01 AM EST = +44; signal line is +18
12/7/21; 9:48 AM EST = +28; signal line is +18; go long 4666; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +24.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.5%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +27.5%)(Actual results this trade = +2.0%; Actual results for 2021 = +54.8%)
12/7/21; 9:37 AM EST = +28; signal line is +19 but algorithm remains short
12/6/21; 1:13 PM EST = +12; signal line is +19
12/6/21; 11:23 AM EST = +28; signal line is +20 but algorithm remains short
12/6/21; 10:12 AM EST = +12; signal line is +20
12/5/21; 7:00 PM EST = -2; signal line is +20
12/3/21; 9:49 AM EST = -2; signal line is +22
12/3/21; 9:36 AM EST = +12; signal line is +24
12/3/21; 9:00 AM EST = -2; signal line is +25
12/2/21; 3:57 PM EST = -2; signal line is +26
12/2/21; 2:00 PM EST = +12; signal line is +28
12/2/21; 1:12 PM EST = -2; signal line is +29
12/2/21; 12:19 PM EST = +12; signal line is +32
12/1/21; 1:03 PM EST = -2; signal line is +34
12/1/21; 9:36 AM EST = +12; signal line is +36
11/30/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM = -2; signal line is +39
11/30/21; 10:58 AM EST = -2; signal line is +42
11/30/21; 10:00 AM EST = +12; signal line is +45
11/29/21; 9:51 AM EST = +12; signal line is +48
11/29/21; 9:36 AM EST = +28; signal line is +50
11/28/21; 7:00 PM EST = +12; signal line is +51
11/26/21; 10:05 AM EST = +12; signal line is +54
11/26/21; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is +57
11/24/21; 10:00 AM EST = +58; signal line is +58 but algorithm remains short
11/22/21; 3:57 PM EST = +58; signal line is +60; go short 4690; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +24.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.5%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +27.0%)(Actual results this trade = +3.4%; Actual results for 2021 = +52.8%)
11/22/21; 12:28 PM EST = +58; signal line is +60 but algorithm remains long
11/22/21; 11:48 AM EST = +42; signal line is +60 but algorithm remains long
11/22/21; 10:26 AM EST = +56; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
11/22/21; 9:58 AM EST = +40; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
11/22/21; 9:41 AM EST = +26; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains long
11/22/21; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains long
11/21/21; 7:00 PM EST = +26; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains long
11/19/21; 1:06 PM EST = +26; signal line is +66 but algorithm remains long
11/19/21; 12:56 PM EST = +40; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains long
11/19/21; 12:21PM EST = +56; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains long
11/19/21; 11:56 AM EST = +40; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains long
11/19/21; 9:36 AM EST = +26; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains long
11/17/21; 9:00 AM EST = +56; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains long
11/16/21; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains long
11/15/21; 1:37 PM EST = +72; signal line is +68
11/15/21; 12:11 PM EST = +56; signal line is +69 but algorithm remains long
11/15/21; 9:36 AM EST = +72; signal line is +70
11/14/21; 7:00 PM EST = +88; signal line is +69
11/12/21; 1:32 PM EST = +88; signal line is +69
11/12/21; 1:18 PM EST = +72; signal line is +69
11/12/21; 11:25 AM EST = +88; signal line is +69
11/12/21; 11:02 AM EST = +72; signal line is +68; go long 4669; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +24.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.4%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +26.5%)(Actual results this trade = +0.7%; Actual results for 2021 = +49.4%)
11/12/21; 10:06 AM EST = +72; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains short
11/12/21; 10:00 AM EST = +88; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains short
11/12/21; 9:36 AM EST = +88; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains short
11/11/21; 3:02 PM EST = +74; signal line is +66 but algorithm remains short
11/11/21; 2:09 PM EST = +88; signal line is +66 but algorithm remains short
11/11/21; 1:20 PM EST = +74; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains short
11/11/21; 12:58 PM EST = +58; signal line is +64
11/11/21; 9:36 AM EST = +74; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains short
11/10/21; 12:49 PM EST = +58; signal line is +65
11/10/21; 10:44 AM EST = +73; signal line is +66 but algorithm remains short
11/10/21; 10:12 AM EST = +58; signal line is +66
11/10/21; 9:59 AM EST = +74; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains short
11/9/21; 11:46 AM EST = +58; signal line is +67
11/9/21; 11:01 AM EST = +42; signal line is +68
11/9/21; 10:46 AM EST = +58; signal line is +68
11/9/21; 10:22 AM EST = +42; signal line is +69
11/9/21; 9:57 AM EST = +58; signal line is +70
11/9/21; 9:56 AM EST = +42; signal line is +70; go short 4689; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +24.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +7.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +26.1%)(Actual results this trade = +20.1%; Actual results for 2021 = +48.7%)
11/9/21; 9:49 AM EST = +56; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains long
11/8/21; 3:59 PM EST = +72; signal line is +70
11/8/21; 3:51 PM EST = +88; signal line is +69
11/8/21; 1:23 PM EST = +72; signal line is +66
11/8/21; 12:08 PM EST = +58; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains long
11/8/21; 10:59 AM EST = +72; signal line is +62
11/8/21; 10:24 AM EST = +88; signal line is +59
11/7/21; 7:00 PM EST = +72; signal line is +56
11/5/21; 9:00 AM EST = +72; signal line is +53
11/4/21; 1:47 PM EST = +72; signal line is +50
11/4/21; 1:37 PM EST = +56; signal line is +48
10/31/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +72; signal line is +47
10/29/21; 3:47 PM EST = +72; signal line is +45
10/29/21; 3:04 PM EST = +56; signal line is +43
10/29/21; 2:49 PM EST = +72; signal line is +42
10/29/21; 2:18 PM EST = +56; signal line is +40
10/29/21; 10:00 AM EST = +72; signal line is +39
10/29/21; 9:36 AM EST = +72; signal line is +37
10/26/21; 10:00 AM EST = +88; signal line is +34
10/24/21; 7:00 PM EST = +88; signal line is +32
10/19/21; 9:36 AM EST = +88; signal line is +28
10/19/21; 9:00 AM EST = +72; signal line is +25
10/18/21; 2:54 PM EST = +72; signal line is +22
10/18/21; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +20
10/17/21; 7:00 PM EST = +72; signal line is +18
10/15/21; 10:00 AM EST = +72; signal line is +16
10/14/21; 11:02 AM EST = +72; signal line is +13
10/14/21; 8:47 AM EST = +56; signal line is +11
10/13/21; 1:29 PM EST = +42; signal line is +8; go long 4359; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +16.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +18.5%)(Actual results this trade = +0.7%; Actual results for 2021 = +28.6%)
10/13/21; 1:25 PM EST = +26; signal line is +7 but algorithm remains short
10/13/21; 10:50 AM EST = +10; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains short
10/13/21; 9:58 AM EST = -6; signal line is +6
10/13/21; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains short
10/12/21; 11:47 AM EST = -6; signal line is +5
10/11/21; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is +5 but algorithm remains short
10/10/21; 7:00 PM EST = -6; signal line is +4
10/8/21; 3:43 PM EST = -6; signal line is +4
10/8/21; 2:46 PM EST = +10; signal line is +3 but algorithm remains short
10/8/21; 2:31 PM EST = +26; signal line is +2 but algorithm remains short
10/8/21; 10:19 AM EST = +10; signal line is +1 but algorithm remains short
10/8/21; 10:06 AM EST = +26; signal line is +1 but algorithm remains short
10/8/21; 9:48 AM EST = +10; signal line is +0 but algorithm remains short
10/8/21; 9:00 AM EST = +26; signal line is +0 but algorithm remains short
10/6/21; 2:45 PM EST = +26; signal line is -1
10/6/21; 2:15 PM EST = +10; signal line is -2 but algorithm remains short
10/5/21; 3:02 PM EST = -6; signal line is -1
10/5/21; 2:36 PM EST = +10; signal line is +0 but algorithm remains short
10/5/21; 2:10 PM EST = -6; signal line is +1
10/5/21; 1:46 PM EST = +10; signal line is +3 but algorithm remains short
10/5/21; 12:36 PM EST = -6; signal line is +4
10/5/21; 12:13 PM EST = +10; signal line is +6 but algorithm remains short
10/5/21; 11:47 AM EST = -6; signal line is +7
10/5/21; 11:18 AM EST = +10; signal line is +7 but algorithm remains short
10/5/21; 10:47 AM EST = -6; signal line is +7
10/5/21; 10:03 AM EST = +10; signal line is +7 but algorithm remains short
10/5/21; 9:42 AM EST = -6; signal line is +7
10/4/21; 3:59 PM EST = +10; signal line is +7 but algorithm remains short
10/4/21; 3:56 PM EST = -6; signal line is +7
10/4/21; 3:48 PM EST = +10; signal line is +7 but algorithm remains short
10/3/21; 7:00 PM EST = -6; signal line is +7
10/1/21; 11:03 AM EST = -6; signal line is +7
10/1/21; 10:21 AM EST = -22; signal line is +8
10/1/21; 10:02 AM EST = -6; signal line is +11
10/1/21; 10:00 AM EST = -22; signal line is +13
9/30/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ3 = -22; signal line is +15
9/30/21; 3:59 AM EST = -22; signal line is +18
9/29/21; 3:10 PM EST = -6; signal line is +21
9/29/21; 2:42 PM EST = +10; signal line is +24
9/29/21; 1:27 PM EST = -6; signal line is +25
9/29/21; 12:37 PM EST = +10; signal line is +28
9/28/21; 10:11 AM EST = -6; signal line is +30
9/28/21; 10:07 AM EST = +10; signal line is +32; go short 4385; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +16.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +17.9%)(Actual results this trade = -1.6%; Actual results for 2021 = +27.9%)
9/28/21; 10:00 AM EST = +26; signal line is +33 but algorithm remains long
9/27/21; 3:39 PM EST = +26; signal line is +34 but algorithm remains long
9/27/21; 3:33 PM EST = +42; signal line is +35
9/27/21; 9:36 AM EST = +58; signal line is +36
9/26/21; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +36
9/23/21; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +37; go long 4420; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +17.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.1%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +18.7%)(Actual results this trade = +5.1%; Actual results for 2021 = +29.5%)
9/22/21; 11:07 AM EST = +26; signal line is +38
9/22/21; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is +40
9/21/21; 3:57 PM EST = -6; signal line is +41
9/21/21; 2:56 PM EST = +10; signal line is +44
9/21/21; 12:55 PM EST = -6; signal line is +46
9/21/21; 12:03 PM EST = +10; signal line is +49
9/21/21; 9:00 AM EST = -6; signal line is +52
9/20/21; 10:02 AM EST = -6; signal line is +54
9/20/21; 9:52 AM EST = +10; signal line is +57
9/20/21; 9:36 AM EST = -6; signal line is +58
9/19/21; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +61
9/17/21; 1:02 PM EST = +42; signal line is +62
9/17/21; 11:09 AM EST = +58; signal line is +63
9/17/21; 10:43 AM EST = +42; signal line is +64
9/17/21; 10:00 AM EST = +58; signal line is +65
9/16/21; 9:36 AM EST = +58; signal line is +66
9/15/21; 12:03 PM EST = +74; signal line is +67
9/15/21; 11:43 AM EST = +58; signal line is +67
9/15/21; 11:12 AM EST = +74; signal line is +68
9/15/21; 11:09 AM EST = +58; signal line is +68
9/15/21; 10:18 AM EST = +42; signal line is +69
9/15/21; 9:52 AM EST = +58; signal line is +71
9/15/21; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +71
9/14/21; 12:55 PM EST = +58; signal line is +72
9/14/21; 12:14 PM EST = +74; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains short
9/14/21; 11:41 AM EST = +58; signal line is +72
9/14/21; 11:34 AM EST = +74; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains short
9/14/21; 11:02 AM EST = +58; signal line is +72
9/13/21; 9:36 AM EST = +74; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains short
9/12/21; 7:00 PM EST = +58; signal line is +71
9/10/21; 3:59 PM EST = +58; signal line is +71
9/10/21; 9:47 AM EST = +74; signal line is +71 but algorithm remains short
9/10/21; 9:36 AM EST = +88; signal line is +70 but algorithm remains short
9/10/21; 8:43 AM EST = +72; signal line is +67 but algorithm remains short
9/9/21; 11:22 AM EST = +58; signal line is +66
9/9/21; 10:13 AM EST = +72; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains short
9/7/21; 10:13 AM EST = +58; signal line is +64; go short 4514; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +20.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.7%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +16.6%)(Actual results this trade = +1.5%; Actual results for 2021 = +24.4%)
9/7/21; 8:52 AM EST = +58; signal line is +63 but algorithm remains long
9/6/21; 7:00 PM EST = +72; signal line is +62
9/3/21; 3:59 PM EST = +72; signal line is +62
9/3/21; 3:18 PM EST = +88; signal line is +61
9/3/21; 3:10 PM EST = +72; signal line is +60
9/3/21; 12:56 PM EST = +88; signal line is +59
9/3/21; 10:45 AM EST = +72; signal line is +58
9/2/21; 9:00 AM EST = +88; signal line is +58
9/1/21; 10:17 AM EST = +88; signal line is +56
9/1/21; 9:36 AM EST = +72; signal line is +56
8/29/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +88; signal line is +55
8/27/21; 3:17 PM EST = +88; signal line is +55
8/27/21; 10:08 AM EST = +72; signal line is +54
8/27/21; 10:00 AM EST = +58; signal line is +53
8/26/21; 3:06 AM EST = +58; signal line is +54
8/24/21; 1:05 PM EST = +72; signal line is +54
8/24/21; 12:07 PM EST = +58; signal line is +54
8/24/21; 9:43 AM EST = +72; signal line is +54
8/24/21; 9:30 AM EST = +58; signal line is +55
8/24/21; 7:33 AM EST = +44; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains long
8/23/21; 11:05 AM EST = +58; signal line is +57; go long 4482; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +19.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.9%)(Actual results this trade = -1.2%; Actual results for 2021 = +22.9%)
8/23/21; 10:53 AM EST = +58; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short
8/23/21; 9:36 AM EST = +44; signal line is +57
8/22/21; 7:00 PM EST = +28; signal line is +58
8/18/21; 11:47 AM EST = +28; signal line is +60
8/18/21; 9:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +61
8/17/21; 2:30 PM EST = +42; signal line is +62
8/17/21; 11:53 AM EST = +26; signal line is +63
8/17/21; 11:02 AM EST = +42; signal line is +64
8/17/21; 10:53 AM EST = +56; signal line is +65
8/17/21; 9:56 AM EST = +42; signal line is +65
8/17/21; 9:47 AM EST = +56; signal line is +66
8/17/21; 9:37 AM EST = +42; signal line is +67
8/17/21; 9:06 AM EST = +58; signal line is +66
8/17/21; 8:23 AM EST = +72; signal line is +66 but algorithm remains short
8/17/21; 7:43 AM EST = +58; signal line is +65
8/17/21; 3:27 AM EST = +72; signal line is +65 but algorithm remains short
8/17/21; 3:06 AM EST = +58; signal line is +64
8/16/21; 11:19 AM EST = +72; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains short

Keybot the Quant On Hiatus

The Keybot the Quant and The Keystone Speculator sites are not supported by the 100's of thousands of international readers. There is no better stock market timing model than Keybot the Quant. It is surprising that the robot is not supported to a greater extent over the years considering the huge international audience.

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips short this morning at the opening bell at SPX 4454 but is already champing at the bit to whipsaw back to the long side. The internal parameters will not fully latch so for now at least, the bears are in charge. The SPX is up 6.66 points to 4475 the HOD with about a half hour left in the Monday trade.

On the last trade, that ran a little over a week, the quant program and actual trading each gain about a percent. On the year, the SPX is up +19%. The bulls cheer the generous Federal Reserve. The algo program is up +17% on the year thus far and the actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant is up +24%. Keybot exits SH and enters SDS returning to the 2x ETF's because the whipsaw timer expired.

VIX 17.17 is the rudder that is steering the stock market ship. VIX is at 16.17 so the SPX is buoyant. Trouble occurs if VIX moves above 17.17. If VIX remains below 17.17, stocks will float higher and Keybot will probably whipsaw long tomorrow.

8/22/21; 7:00 PM EST =
8/18/21; 9:00 AM EST =
8/16/21; 11:19 AM EST = +72; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains short
8/16/21; 9:30 AM EST = +58; signal line is +63; go short 4454; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +18.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.8%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +16.5%)(Actual results this trade = +0.9%; Actual results for 2021 = +24.1%)
8/16/21; 8:07 AM EST = +58; signal line is +62 but algorithm remains long
8/16/21; 6:35 AM EST = +72; signal line is +61
8/16/21; 6:05 AM EST = +58; signal line is +61 but algorithm remains long
8/15/21; 7:00 PM EST = +72; signal line is +61
8/13/21; 2:08 PM EST = +72; signal line is +60
8/13/21; 10:00 AM EST = +88; signal line is +59
8/13/21; 9:36 AM EST = +88; signal line is +58
8/10/21; 9:36 AM EST = +72; signal line is +58
8/9/21; 9:36 AM EST = +58; signal line is +57
8/8/21; 7:00 PM EST = +72; signal line is +58
8/6/21; 9:00 AM EST = +72; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:54 PM EST = +72; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:19 PM EST = +58; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:07 PM EST = +72; signal line is +56
8/5/21; 2:49 PM EST = +58; signal line is +56
8/5/21; 1:33 PM EST = +72; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 11:48 AM EST = +58; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 10:51 AM EST = +72; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 10:01 AM EST = +58; signal line is +53; go long 4419; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +17.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.7%)(Actual results this trade = -0.5%; Actual results for 2021 = +23.2%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long as the new week is off and stumbling. The bulls control stock market direction with the algo number 14 points above the signal line. The bears can turn the stock market negative with weaker utilities, retail stocks and higher volatility(any 1 of the 3). Bulls need higher copper to prove that they can take stocks higher.

Bears need UTIL below 919.25, RTH below 175.55 and/or VIX above 17.29 to cause market mayhem. The amount of mayhem is proportional to the number of parameters flipping short. UTIL has come down to 919.90 today and VIX up to 17.39 (but could not hold above). Since utilities and volatility are teasing they are the two to watch which would change the stock market trend to the downside.

Bulls need CPER above 26.78. 

8/15/21; 7:00 PM EST =
8/13/21; 10:00 AM EST =
8/8/21; 7:00 PM EST = +72; signal line is +58
8/6/21; 9:00 AM EST = +72; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:54 PM EST = +72; signal line is +57

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side yesterday at SPX 4419 but with the US Monthly Jobs Report imminent, do not be surprised if a whipsaw occurs. Copper and volatility are all that matter currently. Bulls win and more all-time highs occur if copper gains about +1%. Bears win if the VIX moves above 17.42. The bull-bear struggle and battle is obvious in the data below.

Interestingly, copper futures are up near +1% right now a hair away from what the bulls need. VIX is at 17.15 so the bulls are happy but the Jobs Report will set the tone.

On the last trade, that ran for about a week, the quant program and actual trading each lose about a half percent. For 2021 thus far, the benchmark S&P 500 Index, SPX, the United States stock market, is up nearly +18% at all-time record highs this week. The quant program is up +16% and the actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant is up +24% on the year so far.

8/8/21; 7:00 PM EST =
8/6/21; 9:00 AM EST =
8/5/21; 3:54 PM EST = +72; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:19 PM EST = +58; signal line is +57
8/5/21; 3:07 PM EST = +72; signal line is +56
8/5/21; 2:49 PM EST = +58; signal line is +56
8/5/21; 1:33 PM EST = +72; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 11:48 AM EST = +58; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 10:51 AM EST = +72; signal line is +55
8/5/21; 10:01 AM EST = +58; signal line is +53; go long 4419; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +17.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.7%)(Actual results this trade = -0.5%; Actual results for 2021 = +23.2%)
8/4/21; 3:24 PM EST = +58; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains short
8/4/21; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +53
8/3/21; 2:06 PM EST = +58; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short
8/3/21; 1:40 PM EST = +42; signal line is +52
8/3/21; 1:14 PM EST = +58; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains short
8/3/21; 12:38 PM EST = +42; signal line is +52
8/3/21; 10:41 AM EST = +58; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short
8/3/21; 9:42 AM EST = +42; signal line is +54
8/3/21; 9:41 AM EST = +26; signal line is +55
8/3/21; 9:36 AM EST = +42; signal line is +56
8/1/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +58; signal line is +57 but algorithm remains short
7/30/21; 2:52 PM EST = +58; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
7/30/21; 2:34 PM EST = +42; signal line is +56
7/30/21; 10:00 AM EST = +58; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
7/30/21; 9:36 AM EST = +60; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 3:42 PM EST = +74; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 3:07 PM EST = +60; signal line is +55 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 1:07 PM EST = +74; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 12:47 PM EST = +60; signal line is +55 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 9:36 AM EST = +74; signal line is +55 but algorithm remains short
7/29/21; 9:08 AM EST = +58; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short
7/28/21; 3:54 PM EST = +44; signal line is +54
7/28/21; 2:40 PM EST = +60; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short
7/28/21; 9:56 AM EST = +44; signal line is +54
7/28/21; 9:37 AM EST = +60; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short
7/27/21; 3:59 PM EST = +44; signal line is +53
7/27/21; 12:10 PM EST = +28; signal line is +52
7/27/21; 10:38 AM EST = +44; signal line is +53
7/27/21; 10:29 AM EST = +60; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains short
7/27/21; 10:17 AM EST = +44; signal line is +50; go short 4395; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +17.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.2%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +16.3%)(Actual results this trade = +1.3%; Actual results for 2021 = +23.7%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is on the short side as Fed Chairman Powell tap dances all day. The quant spits out 4 numbers today. Banks were active but when it was done preferred the bear camp.

Bears need weaker chips, for SOX to fall under 3213, or they got nothing. The bears are trying to chip away Little By Little, as Susan plays.

Bulls need stronger utes and banks, and lower volatility, UTIL above 923.71 and XLF above 36.47, and VIX below 17.56, respectively. Any 1 of the 3 turning bullish will immediately stop all selling in the stock market and a rally will begin. The rally will gain strength if 1 of the other 2, or both, also turn bullish. 

Since the banks were in the limelight today, you have to figure they will lead the stock market move directional move tomorrow. XLF is at 36.41 only 6 pennies on the bear side of the line in the sand at 36.47 so watch the pre-market. This will tell you a lot. Also, the VIX trades at 3 AM EST and if it drops below 17.56, the bulls will rule on Thursday. 

8/1/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
7/30/21; 10:00 AM EST =
7/28/21; 3:54 PM EST = +44; signal line is +54
7/28/21; 2:40 PM EST = +60; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short
7/28/21; 9:56 AM EST = +44; signal line is +54
7/28/21; 9:37 AM EST = +60; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short
7/27/21; 3:59 PM EST = +44; signal line is +53

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips short yesterday morning at SPX 4395. Volatility is higher, utes have failed albeit barely now, chips failed but recovered and banks failed and almost recovered. In other words, it is a crap-shoot. Mix the Federal Reserve into the market soup today and it is anyone's game.

If UTIL remains below 923.71, and XLF below 36.47, and VIX above 17.55, stocks will weaken. If SOX loses 3211.30, stocks will take a strong leg lower.

If the semiconductors remain bullish and any of the other three other parameters turn bullish, stocks are off to the races higher and the up move can be gauged by the remaining two parameters flipping bullish, or not.

On the last trade that ran for a week, the quant program and actual trading both gain a little over a percent. On the year, the benchmark S&P 500 is up +17% at record highs, the algo program is up +16% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +24%. Keybot the Quant exits SPY and enters SH. Today we see what the bears got.

8/1/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
7/30/21; 10:00 AM EST =
7/27/21; 3:59 PM EST = +44; signal line is +53
7/27/21; 12:10 PM EST = +28; signal line is +52
7/27/21; 10:38 AM EST = +44; signal line is +53
7/27/21; 10:29 AM EST = +60; signal line is +52 but algorithm remains short
7/27/21; 10:17 AM EST = +44; signal line is +50; go short 4395; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +17.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.2%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +16.3%)(Actual results this trade = +1.3%; Actual results for 2021 = +23.7%)
7/27/21; 10:00 AM EST = +44; signal line is +50 but algorithm remains long
7/26/21; 9:36 AM EST = +44; signal line is +49 but algorithm remains long
7/26/21; 3:06 AM EST = +60; signal line is +48
7/25/21; 7:00 PM EST = +74; signal line is +46
7/23/21; 11:59 AM EST = +74; signal line is +44
7/23/21; 9:51 AM EST = +58; signal line is +42
7/23/21; 9:36 AM EST = +74; signal line is +39
7/22/21; 3:59 PM EST = +58; signal line is +37
7/22/21; 3:37 PM EST = +44; signal line is +36
7/22/21; 1:36 PM EST = +58; signal line is +36
7/22/21; 11:38 AM EST = +44; signal line is +36
7/22/21; 10:42 AM EST = +58; signal line is +36
7/22/21; 9:37 AM EST = +44; signal line is +36
7/22/21; 8:43 AM EST = +60; signal line is +37
7/22/21; 3:44 AM EST = +74; signal line is +37
7/21/21; 11:21 AM EST = +60; signal line is +37
7/21/21; 11:04 AM EST = +44; signal line is +37
7/21/21; 10:43 AM EST = +60; signal line is +37
7/21/21; 10:36 AM EST = +44; signal line is +38
7/21/21; 9:52 AM EST = +60; signal line is +39
7/21/21; 9:36 AM EST = +44; signal line is +39; go long 4344; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +15.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.1%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.1%)(Actual results this trade = +0.1%; Actual results for 2021 = +22.4%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side yesterday after the opening bell at SPX 4344. Stocks fell apart on Monday but recover the last couple days as the dip buyers jump into action waving the Federal Reserve and Congressional stimulus banners. Bulls are cruising with the algo number 37 points above the signal line, however, the quant may flip back to the short side at anytime. The robot knew this choppy slop was coming.

Stocks go up if VIX remains below 17.74.  Stocks go up if XLF remains above 36.52. Bulls need about a +1.7% pop in copper futures to create more upside in the stock market. Copper is up +0.9% right now so the bulls need to keep pushing the red metal higher if they want the rally to continue. Stocks will fall apart if volatility and banks turn negative.

The quant flips twice in the SPX 4344-4349 range. Write this down since the robot considers this level to be important for some reason.

Watch the utilities closely since an epic signal may be forming. UTIL is at 892.29 and must remain above 891.67 this week to keep the stock market rally alive. Stocks will soften if UTIL 891.67 fails. Further, for next week, UTIL must be above 923.71 so the bulls have a heck of a lot of work to do in 2 days. By 4 PM EST Friday, bulls need UTIL above 924 which is 32 big points above current levels. Can the bulls do it? If you see utilities rallying big the next couple days, the stock market will likely remain elevated at record levels for another month or two. If UTIL is unable to get to 924 by the end of trading Friday, there will be Hell to pay next week. If UTIL falls below 866, it is likely the stock market will crash.

On the last trade, which only danced for a week, another flat move occurs. On the year, the benchmark S&P 500 is up +16%, the quant program is up +15% and the actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant is up +22%. Keybot the Quant exits SH and enters SPY remaining in the 1x ETF's until the whipsaw timer expires which is Friday the 13th. Stocks are in the choppy slop pattern.

Volatility, banks, copper and utilities are controlling broad stock market direction currently. Nothing else matters as Metallica sings.

7/25/21; 7:00 PM EST =
7/22/21; 3:44 AM EST = +74; signal line is +37
7/21/21; 11:21 AM EST = +60; signal line is +37
7/21/21; 11:04 AM EST = +44; signal line is +37
7/21/21; 10:43 AM EST = +60; signal line is +37
7/21/21; 10:36 AM EST = +44; signal line is +38
7/21/21; 9:52 AM EST = +60; signal line is +39
7/21/21; 9:36 AM EST = +44; signal line is +39; go long 4344; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +15.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.1%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.1%)(Actual results this trade = +0.1%; Actual results for 2021 = +22.4%)
7/20/21; 3:59 PM EST = +28; signal line is +40
7/20/21; 2:30 PM EST = +44; signal line is +41 but algorithm remains short
7/20/21; 1:09 PM EST = +28; signal line is +43
7/20/21; 12:55 PM EST = +44; signal line is +44 but algorithm remains short
7/20/21; 9:49 AM EST = +28; signal line is +44
7/20/21; 9:39 AM EST = +14; signal line is +45
7/20/21; 9:00 AM EST = +28; signal line is +47
7/19/21; 3:47 PM EST = +28; signal line is +48
7/19/21; 3:10 PM EST = +14; signal line is +47
7/19/21; 2:54 PM EST = -2; signal line is +48
7/19/21; 2:42 PM EST = +14; signal line is +50
7/19/21; 1:36 PM EST = +12; signal line is +52
7/19/21; 1:34 PM EST = -2; signal line is +54
7/19/21; 1:16 PM EST = +14; signal line is +57
7/19/21; 3:43 AM EST = +28; signal line is +59
7/18/21; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +61
7/16/21; 10:14 AM EST = +42; signal line is +62
7/16/21; 10:00 AM EST = +58; signal line is +63
7/16/21; 9:42 AM EST = +60; signal line is +64
7/15/21; 3:59 PM EST = +76; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains short
7/15/21; 1:32 PM EST = +60; signal line is +63; go short 4349; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +15.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.0%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.0%)(Actual results this trade = +0.1%; Actual results for 2021 = +22.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short and chips fail. This creates the additional weakness in the stock market. Bears next have their eyes on volatility trying to remove the Federal Reserve's jackboots off the throat of Uncle Vix.

If SOX recovers above 3205, she's coming back up for the pulse right now, stocks will recover. If SOX remains sub 3205 and VIX moves above 18.05, the stock market will fall apart.

7/18/21; 7:00 PM EST =
7/16/21; 10:14 AM EST = +42; signal line is +62
7/16/21; 10:00 AM EST = +58; signal line is +63

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips back to the short side on Thursday afternoon at SPX 4349. The chop suey continues with markets unsure which way they want to break. The Fed keeps pumping. 

Banks and semiconductors are running the show. XLF above 36.60 and stocks recover. SOX below 3200 and another leg down in equities occurs.

On the last trade that ran for almost a week, the algo program and the actual trading generated by the quant is dead flat. On the year, the benchmark SPX is up almost +16%, the quant program is up +15% and the actual trading up +22%. Keybot exited SPY and entered SH.

7/16/21; 10:00 AM EST = +58; signal line is +63
7/16/21; 9:42 AM EST = +60; signal line is +64
7/15/21; 3:59 PM EST = +76; signal line is +64 but algorithm remains short
7/15/21; 1:32 PM EST = +60; signal line is +63; go short 4349; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +15.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.0%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.0%)(Actual results this trade = +0.1%; Actual results for 2021 = +22.3%)
7/15/21; 10:02 AM EST = +76; signal line is +62
7/15/21; 7:35 AM EST = +46; signal line is +59 but algorithm remains long
7/14/21; 10:02 AM EST = +60; signal line is +59
7/13/21; 1:26 PM EST = +76; signal line is +58
7/13/21; 12:22 PM EST = +60; signal line is +55
7/13/21; 12:04 PM EST = +76; signal line is +54
7/13/21; 10:50 AM EST = +60; signal line is +53
7/11/21; 7:00 PM EST = +76; signal line is +52
7/9/21; 2:12 PM EST = +76; signal line is +51
7/9/21; 9:43 AM EST = +60; signal line is +50; go long 4345; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +15.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.0%)(Actual results this trade = -1.9%; Actual results for 2021 = +22.2%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant whipsaws back to the long side today. Yesterday morning, the quant flips short and this morning long so Monday morning short again? Anything is possible. Volatility has dictated market direction the last 2 days. The Fed kept its jackboots on the throat of volatility all day to provide lift to the stock market and then the banks were pumped after the announcement that more money-printing will continue forever.

On the last trade which only ran for a day, the quant program loses -0.6% and the actual trading loses about -2%. The flip is quantified as a whipsaw by the robot so the program drops into single ETF mode. Stocks are likely going into a sideways choppy slop pattern that will chew-up bulls and bears alike. Chop suey. Keybot exits SDS and enters SPY. On the year, the benchmark SPX is up almost +16%, the quant program is up +15% and the actual trading generated by the robot is up +22% in 2021.

For next week, it is copper, banks and volatility controlling market direction. If copper futures are up overnight Sunday, stocks will keep rallying. Flat or lower copper futures will keep the bears in the game and hint that a flat or lower stock market is ahead for Monday. VIX above 18.61 or XLF below 36.58 will create stock market trouble. A leg down occurs in stocks if one parameter fails but if both volatility spikes and banks fail, the stock market will accelerate lower. UTIL must remain above 880 all next week or that spells trouble.

7/18/21; 7:00 PM EST =
7/16/21; 10:00 AM EST =
7/11/21; 7:00 PM EST =
7/9/21; 2:12 PM EST = +76; signal line is +51
7/9/21; 9:43 AM EST = +60; signal line is +50; go long 4345; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +15.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.0%)(Actual results this trade = -1.9%; Actual results for 2021 = +22.2%)
7/9/21; 3:06 AM EST = +60; signal line is +50 but algorithm remains short
7/8/21; 2:13 PM EST = +46; signal line is +50
7/8/21; 11:44 AM EST = +60; signal line is +50 but algorithm remains short
7/8/21; 10:07 AM EST = +46; signal line is +50
7/8/21; 9:38 AM EST = +30; signal line is +51
7/8/21; 9:30 AM EST = +46; signal line is +52; go short 4321; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +15.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.9%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.6%)(Actual results this trade = +5.0%; Actual results for 2021 = +24.1%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at yesterday's opening bell and is now champing at the bit to flip back to the long side.

On the last trade that ran for about 2-1/2 weeks, the algo program gains about +3% and the actual trading gains +5%. For the year thus far, the S&P 500, SPX, the US stock market, is up almost +16%, the quant program is up +15% and the actual trading is up over +24% with one-half the year over. Keybot exits SSO and enters SDS.

If VIX is below 18.69, like this minute, stocks and futures go up. If VIX is above 18.69, stocks will fall apart. If SOX loses 3192, the stock market will take a drastic leg lower.

7/11/21; 7:00 PM EST =
7/9/21; 3:06 AM EST = +60; signal line is +50 but algorithm remains short
7/8/21; 2:13 PM EST = +46; signal line is +50
7/8/21; 11:44 AM EST = +60; signal line is +50 but algorithm remains short
7/8/21; 10:07 AM EST = +46; signal line is +50
7/8/21; 9:38 AM EST = +30; signal line is +51
7/8/21; 9:30 AM EST = +46; signal line is +52; go short 4321; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +15.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.9%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +15.6%)(Actual results this trade = +5.0%; Actual results for 2021 = +24.1%)
7/8/21; 4:03 AM EST = +46; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains long
7/6/21; 9:41 AM EST = +60; signal line is +53
7/4/21; 7:00 PM EST = +76; signal line is +52
7/2/21; 9:00 AM EST = +76; signal line is +52
6/30/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ2 EOH1 = +76; signal line is +52
6/29/21; 10:00 AM EST = +76; signal line is +52
6/27/21; 7:00 PM EST = +76; signal line is +52
6/25/21; 10:00 AM EST = +76; signal line is +51
6/24/21; 1:06 PM EST = +75; signal line is +51
6/21/21; 10:08 AM EST = +59; signal line is +52; go long 4201; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +11.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.9%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +12.7%)(Actual results this trade = +0.8%; Actual results for 2021 = +19.1%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side yesterday at SPX 4201. On the last trade, that ran for 4 trading days, the benchmark SPX loses about a percent with the quant program and the actual trading each gaining about a percent.  The whipsaw timer expires so the robot is back into the 2x ETF's. Keybot exits SH and enters SSO.

6/27/21; 7:00 PM EST =
6/25/21; 10:00 AM EST =
6/21/21; 10:08 AM EST = +59; signal line is +52; go long 4201; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +11.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.9%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +12.7%)(Actual results this trade = +0.8%; Actual results for 2021 = +19.1%)
6/21/21; 9:57 AM EST = +45 signal line is +53
6/21/21; 9:45 AM EST = +29; signal line is +54
6/21/21; 9:37 AM EST = +13; signal line is +56
6/20/21; 7:00 PM EST = +29; signal line is +59
6/18/21; 3:18 PM EST = +29; signal line is +60
6/18/21; 3:10 PM EST = +13; signal line is +62
6/18/21; 9:56 AM EST = +29; signal line is +65
6/18/21; 9:47 AM EST = +43; signal line is +67
6/18/21; 9:36 AM EST = +29; signal line is +68
6/18/21; 7:47 AM EST = +45; signal line is +70
6/17/21; 12:39 PM EST = +59; signal line is +71
6/17/21; 12:12 PM EST = +43; signal line is +72
6/17/21; 11:14 AM EST = +59; signal line is +73
6/17/21; 10:12 AM EST = +43; signal line is +74
6/17/21; 9:45 AM EST = +59; signal line is +75
6/17/21; 9:36 AM EST = +75; signal line is +76
6/16/21; 3:59 PM EST = +59; signal line is +77
6/16/21; 3:24 PM EST = +75; signal line is +78
6/16/21; 2:08 PM EST = +59; signal line is +79
6/16/21; 1:35 PM EST = +43; signal line is +79
6/16/21; 1:26 PM EST = +59; signal line is +80
6/16/21; 12:28 PM EST = +75; signal line is +80; go short 4237; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +12.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.2%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +11.8%)(Actual results this trade = +2.4%; Actual results for 2021 = +18.3%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant flips short at SPX 4237 at 12:28 PM EST today.

On the last trade that ran about 3-1/2 weeks, the algo program and actual trading both gain about +2%.  For the year, the benchmark SPX is up almost +13%. The Keybot the Quant program is up +12% and the actual trading has gained over +18% thus far this year. Keybot exits SPY and enters SH remaining in the 1x ETF's. The whipsaw timer has 4 days remaining where the quant will use 2x leveraged EF's again, as long as a whipsaw does not occur tomorrow.

The bears have it on a silver platter if they want it. Copper and retail stocks drag down the indexes today, ditto banks but they recovered, thus, these 3 parameters dictate the stock market direction ahead.

The caution flag is not out but will be out if copper or retail stocks rally. Bears will crush the stock market if banks and/or chips fail.

6/20/21; 7:00 PM EST =
6/16/21; 3:59 PM EST = +59; signal line is +77
6/16/21; 3:24 PM EST = +75; signal line is +78
6/16/21; 2:08 PM EST = +59; signal line is +79
6/16/21; 1:35 PM EST = +43; signal line is +79
6/16/21; 1:26 PM EST = +59; signal line is +80
6/16/21; 12:28 PM EST = +75; signal line is +80; go short 4237; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +12.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.2%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +11.8%)(Actual results this trade = +2.4%; Actual results for 2021 = +18.3%)
6/16/21; 9:00 AM EST = +75; signal line is +80 but algorithm remains long
6/15/21; 12:22 PM EST = +75; signal line is +80 but algorithm remains long
6/15/21; 11:56 AM EST = +59; signal line is +80 but algorithm remains long
6/15/21; 9:36 AM EST = +75; signal line is +80 but algorithm remains long
6/13/21; 7:00 PM EST = +91; signal line is +79
6/11/21; 10:00 AM EST = +91; signal line is +78
6/10/21; 9:51 AM EST = +89; signal line is +78
6/9/21; 3:31 PM EST = +73; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains long
6/8/21; 9:36 AM EST = +89; signal line is +77
6/7/21; 10:12 AM EST = +73; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long
6/6/21; 7:00 PM EST = +89; signal line is +76
6/4/21; 2:18 PM EST = +89; signal line is +75
6/4/21; 9:57 AM EST = +73; signal line is +74 but algorithm remains long
6/4/21; 9:36 AM EST = +89; signal line is +74
6/4/21; 9:00 AM EST = +73; signal line is +74 but algorithm remains long
6/3/21; 3:55 PM EST = +73; signal line is +74 but algorithm remains long
6/3/21; 3:35 PM EST = +89; signal line is +74
6/3/21; 2:53 PM EST = +73; signal line is +74 but algorithm remains long
6/3/21; 2:06 PM EST = +89; signal line is +73
6/3/21; 9:36 AM EST = +73; signal line is +72
5/30/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +89; signal line is +71
5/28/21; 10:00 AM EST = +89; signal line is +70
5/25/21; 10:00 AM EST = +92; signal line is +70
5/24/21; 9:41 AM EST = +92; signal line is +69
5/23/21; 7:00 PM EST = +76; signal line is +68
5/20/21; 1:03 PM EST = +76; signal line is +68
5/20/21; 12:32 PM EST = +62; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains long
5/20/21; 11:25 AM EST = +76; signal line is +68
5/20/21; 10:53 AM EST = +62; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains long
5/20/21; 10:34 AM EST = +76; signal line is +68; go long 4144; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +10.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +9.6%)(Actual results this trade = -3.1%; Actual results for 2021 = +15.9%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant whipsaws back to the long side at SPX 4144. On the last trade, which only lasted about 7-1/2 trading hours, the quant program is flat but the actual trading loses about -3% due to the big tech rally. Keybot exits QID and enters SPY. The whipsaw forces the robot to go into single 1x ETF mode for one month's time (non-leveraged ETF's). The quant sees choppy slop ahead and chop suey chews up bulls and bears alike. For the year thus far, the benchmark S&P 500 is up +10%, the Keybot the Quant program is up +10% and the actual trading generated by the robot is up +16% in 2021.

5/23/21; 7:00 PM EST =
5/20/21; 1:03 PM EST = +76; signal line is +68
5/20/21; 12:32 PM EST = +62; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains long
5/20/21; 11:25 AM EST = +76; signal line is +68
5/20/21; 10:53 AM EST = +62; signal line is +68 but algorithm remains long
5/20/21; 10:34 AM EST = +76; signal line is +68; go long 4144; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +10.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +9.6%)(Actual results this trade = -3.1%; Actual results for 2021 = +15.9%)
5/19/21; 11:05 AM EST = +62; signal line is +68
5/19/21; 10:42 AM EST = +46; signal line is +69
5/18/21; 3:59 PM EST = +62; signal line is +70; go short 4132; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +10.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +9.9%)(Actual results this trade = -0.4%; Actual results for 2021 = +19.0%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at SPX 4132. On the last trade that only ran for 3 days, the losses on the quant program and actual trading are negligible. For the year, the S&P 500 benchmark index is up +10%, the Keybot the Quant program is up +10% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +19%. Keybot exits SSO and enters QID remaining in the leveraged ETF's.

5/23/21; 7:00 PM EST =
5/18/21; 3:59 PM EST = +62; signal line is +70; go short 4132; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +10.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +9.9%)(Actual results this trade = -0.4%; Actual results for 2021 = +19.0%)
5/18/21; 9:00 AM EST = +76; signal line is +71
5/17/21; 2:55 PM EST = +76; signal line is +72
5/17/21; 2:44 PM EST = +62; signal line is +72 but algorithm remains long
5/17/21; 2:13 PM EST = +76; signal line is +74
5/17/21; 1:23 PM EST = +62; signal line is +74 but algorithm remains long
5/17/21; 12:16 PM EST = +76; signal line is +75
5/17/21; 11:57 AM EST = +62; signal line is +75 but algorithm remains long
5/16/21; 7:00 PM EST = +76; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long
5/14/21; 10:00 AM EST = +76; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long
5/14/21; 9:30 AM EST = +78; signal line is +76; go long 4144; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +10.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +10.2%)(Actual results this trade = -0.8%; Actual results for 2021 = +19.4%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side Friday morning at SPX 4144. On the last trade, the quant program is flat and the actual trading loses about a percent. On the year, the S&P 500 benchmark index is up +10.3%, the Keybot the Quant program is up +10.2% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up about +20% in 2021 thus far. Keybot exits SDS and enters SSO remaining in the 2x leveraged ETF's. The algo is already champing at the bit to whipsaw back to the short side again. Flip a coin.

5/23/21; 7:00 PM EST =
5/18/21; 9:00 AM EST =
5/16/21; 7:00 PM EST = 
5/14/21; 10:00 AM EST = +76; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long
5/14/21; 9:30 AM EST = +78; signal line is +76; go long 4144; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +10.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +10.2%)(Actual results this trade = -0.8%; Actual results for 2021 = +19.4%)
5/14/21; 9:23 AM EST = +78; signal line is +77 but algorithm remains short
5/13/21; 9:43 AM EST = +64; signal line is +77
5/12/21; 3:07 PM EST = +48; signal line is +78
5/12/21; 2:51 PM EST = +64; signal line is +80
5/12/21; 1:46 PM EST = +48; signal line is +81
5/11/21; 10:14 AM EST = +64; signal line is +82
5/11/21; 10:06 AM EST = +78; signal line is +83
5/11/21; 3:28 AM EST = +64; signal line is +83
5/9/21; 7:00 PM EST = +78; signal line is +84
5/7/21; 9:00 AM EST = +78; signal line is +84
5/4/21; 12:07 PM EST = +78; signal line is +83
5/4/21; 11:53 AM EST = +64; signal line is +82
5/4/21; 11:33 AM EST = +78; signal line is +82
5/4/21; 11:19 AM EST = +64; signal line is +82
5/4/21; 11:18 AM EST = +78; signal line is +82; go short 4133; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +10.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +6.5%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +10.5%)(Actual results this trade = +13.2%; Actual results for 2021 = +20.2%)

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at SPX 4133. On the last trade, the quant program gains +7% and the actual trading gains +13%. On the year, after 4 months, the benchmark SPX is up +10%, the quant model is up +11% and the actual trading generated by Keybot the Quant is up over +20%. 

5/9/21; 7:00 PM EST =
5/7/21; 9:00 AM EST =
5/4/21; 12:07 PM EST = +78; signal line is +83
5/4/21; 11:53 AM EST = +64; signal line is +82
5/4/21; 11:33 AM EST = +78; signal line is +82
5/4/21; 11:19 AM EST = +64; signal line is +82
5/4/21; 11:18 AM EST = +78; signal line is +82; go short 4133; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +10.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = +6.5%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +10.5%)(Actual results this trade = +13.2%; Actual results for 2021 = +20.2%)
5/2/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +78; signal line is +82 but algorithm remains long
4/30/21; 1:16 PM EST = +78; signal line is +82 but algorithm remains long
4/30/21; 10:00 AM EST = +94; signal line is +81
4/27/21; 10:00 AM EST = +92; signal line is +80
4/25/21; 7:00 PM EST = +92; signal line is +79
4/21/21; 9:41 AM EST = +92; signal line is +77
4/20/21; 3:59 PM EST = +76; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long
4/20/21; 3:47 PM EST = +92; signal line is +76
4/20/21; 12:46 PM EST = +76; signal line is +76 but algorithm remains long
4/20/21; 11:54 AM EST = +92; signal line is +76
4/20/21; 11:22 AM EST = +76; signal line is +75
4/18/21; 7:00 PM EST = +92; signal line is +75
4/16/21; 10:00 AM EST = +92; signal line is +73
4/16/21; 9:00 AM EST = +90; signal line is +72
4/11/21; 7:00 PM EST = +90; signal line is +70
4/4/21; 7:00 PM EST = +90; signal line is +69
4/2/21; 9:00 AM EST = +90; signal line is +68
3/31/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ1 = +90; signal line is +64
3/30/21; 10:00 AM EST = +90; signal line is +64
3/28/21; 7:00 PM EST = +82; signal line is +62
3/26/21; 10:00 AM EST = +82; signal line is +61
3/26/21; 9:52 AM EST = +80; signal line is +59
3/25/21; 11:21 AM EST = +64; signal line is +57
3/25/21; 10:55 AM EST = +50; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains long
3/24/21; 3:52 PM EST = +64; signal line is +54
3/24/21; 9:47 AM EST = +80; signal line is +52
3/24/21; 9:37 AM EST = +64; signal line is +49
3/23/21; 11:46 AM EST = +80; signal line is +47
3/21/21; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +44
3/19/21; 10:26 AM EST = +64; signal line is +43
3/19/21; 10:06 AM EST = +48; signal line is +41
3/19/21; 9:57 AM EST = +64; signal line is +40
3/19/21; 9:46 AM EST = +48; signal line is +38
3/18/21; 9:58 AM EST = +64; signal line is +37
3/17/21; 9:00 AM EST = +80; signal line is +36
3/15/21; 3:59 PM EST = +80; signal line is +33
3/15/21; 2:34 PM EST = +64; signal line is +32
3/15/21; 1:15 PM EST = +80; signal line is +31
3/15/21; 9:56 AM EST = +64; signal line is +30
3/14/21; 7:00 PM EST = +48; signal line is +29
3/12/21; 10:00 AM EST = +48; signal line is +28
3/12/21; 9:36 AM EST = +48; signal line is +28
3/11/21; 11:04 AM EST = +64; signal line is +28
3/11/21; 9:36 AM EST = +48; signal line is +27
3/10/21; 3:19 PM EST = +32; signal line is +27
3/10/21; 2:39 PM EST = +48; signal line is +28
3/10/21; 10:03 AM EST = +32; signal line is +28
3/10/21; 9:53 AM EST = +48; signal line is +29
3/9/21; 10:03 AM EST = +32; signal line is +29; go long 3882; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +3.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +4.0%)(Actual results this trade = -2.5%; Actual results for 2021 = +7.0%)

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. The bears made a run at it on Thursday morning but performed a faceplant. The Federal Reserve and Congress keep promising limitless money. The Fed places its knee on the neck of volatility holding it low to the ground so stocks catapult higher. The SPX launched 22 points in the last 8 minutes of trading on Friday. Chips are pushed higher which also carries the broad stock market higher along with lower volatility. The bull orgy party sends the SPX to 3974.54 a new all-time closing high by only 42 pennies although it fell short of setting a new record intraday high.

You always dance with the lady that you brought to the party, no gentlemen would do otherwise, so the likely culprits that would precipitate a reversal would be weaker chips and higher volatility. The copper joy may also end. Bears need SOX below 2995, CPER below 24.28 (a drop in copper futures of about -3.2%) and/or VIX above 22.75.

Any 1 of the 3 parameters flipping bearish will immediately halt the rally in stocks and the caution flag would be out. If any 2 of the three parameters flip bearish, the imminent turn to the short side would be in play, and Keybot will be champing at the bit to go short, and, if the SPX loses 3917 trending lower, Keybot will likely flip short. Also, if 1 parameter flips bearish, and then back to bullish, then maybe a half hour or hour later back to bearish again, rinse and repeat, oscillating above and below the bull-bear numbers, jogging, that would hint that the bears are trying to set things up short. Also, if all 3 parameters fail, the quant will likely immediately flip short.

Bulls are on easy street cruising higher. If the 3 parameters remain bullish the bulls will kick back and enjoy a stock market that floats higher. The rally in utilities is hugely important for the stock market. It takes the intermediate and long-term stock market weakness somewhat off the table. Bears need UTIL below 857.26 (now at 874). If UTIL loses 857, consider that to be an extremely negative development. If UTIL remains above 857, it is looking good for bulls through summer.

Keybot prints 3 pre-scheduled numbers this week Tuesday morning, hump day evening and Friday morning. The month of March ends on Wednesday, EOM, and the first quarter ends, EOQ1, so the year is already 25% over with the COVID-19 pandemic continuing and the US fourth wave underway. Chips, volatility, copper and utes are the only parameters impacting stock market direction currently. You can sprinkle in some commodities as well.

4/4/21; 7:00 PM EST =
4/2/21; 9:00 AM EST =
3/31/21; 7:00 PM EST EOM EOQ1 =
3/30/21; 10:00 AM EST =
3/28/21; 7:00 PM EST = +82; signal line is +62
3/26/21; 10:00 AM EST = +82; signal line is +61
3/26/21; 9:52 AM EST = +80; signal line is +59
3/25/21; 11:21 AM EST = +64; signal line is +57
3/25/21; 10:55 AM EST = +50; signal line is +56 but algorithm remains long
3/24/21; 3:52 PM EST = +64; signal line is +54

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long but the algo is potentially set up to flip short. The bulls are in charge with the algo number 10 points above the signal line.

Bulls desperately need to pull the chips back into their camp. Bulls need SOX above 2979 to save the day, stop the selling, and resume the rally.

Bears need either weaker utilities, weaker copper or higher volatility. Bears need UTIL below 855.10, CPER below  24.15 and/or VIX above 22.87, respectively. If any 1 of these 3 parameters flip bearish, and the SPX drops below 3889 trending lower, Keybot the Quant will likely flip short. The SPX begins at 3889 and S&P futures are tanking -15 points.

Copper futures need to fall about -2.8% to cause serious stock market selling and the red metal is down -2.2% right now. The bears are pushing. The VIX is at 21.87 and rising, no, check that 21.89. It looks like the bears are going to make a run for it at the opening bell. Will dip buyers show up or will the market be flushed lower?

Watch utilities, copper, volatility and semiconductors; these are the only four parameters that matter today. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number tomorrow morning.

3/28/21; 7:00 PM EST =
3/26/21; 10:00 AM EST =
3/24/21; 3:52 PM EST = +64; signal line is +54
3/24/21; 9:47 AM EST = +80; signal line is +52
3/24/21; 9:37 AM EST = +64; signal line is +49
3/23/21; 11:46 AM EST = +80; signal line is +47
3/21/21; 7:00 PM EST = +64; signal line is +44
3/19/21; 10:26 AM EST = +64; signal line is +43
3/19/21; 10:06 AM EST = +48; signal line is +41
3/19/21; 9:57 AM EST = +64; signal line is +40
3/19/21; 9:46 AM EST = +48; signal line is +38
3/18/21; 9:58 AM EST = +64; signal line is +37
3/17/21; 9:00 AM EST = +80; signal line is +36
3/15/21; 3:59 PM EST = +80; signal line is +33

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG

Keybot the Quant remains long. As you can see, the fight is at the UTIL 856.13 bull/bear line in the sand previously mentioned. Price is at 858.93 right now after testing the critical 856.13 area. UTIL punched up through 856.13 which creates the broad stock market joy. Also, the chips. SOX jumps above its 2985 line in the sand creating a happy tech sector and stock market. The bulls are running with the algo number 47 points above the signal line.

The S&P 500 prints a new all-time high at 3981.04.

Bears got nothing unless UTIL 856.13 fails and/or if SOX fails below 2985 and/or if VIX pops above 23.96. Any 1 of these 3 will stop the upside rally.

Utilities are a key tell on the intermediate term so if UTIL loses 856, view that as extremely bearish for the stock market. If UTIL then drops lower and loses the 825-826 level, it would be lights-out for stocks.

UTIL is at 858.80. SOX is at 3104. VIX is at 19.37. Utes would likely be first to fall so kick back until UTIL 856.13 occurs; then you will know trouble is starting.

3/21/21; 7:00 PM EST =
3/17/21; 9:00 AM EST =
3/15/21; 3:59 PM EST = +80; signal line is +33
3/15/21; 2:34 PM EST = +64; signal line is +32
3/15/21; 1:15 PM EST = +80; signal line is +31
3/15/21; 9:56 AM EST = +64; signal line is +30
3/14/21; 7:00 PM EST = +48; signal line is +29

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long with the algo number 19 points above the signal line. Chips are weak despite the stock market moving higher. Bulls need stronger semiconductors and utilities to keep the upside party going. Bears need weaker utilities and retail stocks and higher volatility.

Bulls need UTIL above 856 and/or SOX above 2978 and the upside party will be in full swing.

Bears need UTIL below 825.55 which will usher-in stock market misery. Bears also need RTH below 157.45 and VIX above 23.96. VIX is trading at 21.77 right now. If any 1 of the 3 turn bearish, consider the imminent turn to the downside to be in play. If 2 of the 3 flip bearish and the SPX drops below 3915 trending lower, Keybot would likely flip short.

The quant prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Wednesday morning. 

3/21/21; 7:00 PM EST =
3/17/21; 9:00 AM EST =
3/14/21; 7:00 PM EST = +48; signal line is +29
3/12/21; 10:00 AM EST = +48; signal line is +28
3/12/21; 9:36 AM EST = +48; signal line is +28
3/11/21; 11:04 AM EST = +64; signal line is +28

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains long and the algorithm remains active this week. The bulls are in charge with the algo number 36 points above the signal line. The Shiny Happy People keep buying stocks with reckless abandon. Chips and retail stocks are pumped higher to created the buoyant stock market.

For bulls to keep moving higher, they need stronger utilities. Bulls have their chests puffed-out since most parameters are in the bull camp and the happy sentiment is strong and euphoric.

Bears need weaker chips, retail stocks and utilities while pushing volatility higher. Bears likely need at least 3 of the 4 to flip into the bear camp to flip Keybot short. Watch the SOX 2980 and RTH 157.45 lines in the sand. If they fail, it tells you the bears are growling and want to have another go at taking the market down. VIX 23.98 will also signal trouble ahead. VIX is trading at 22.50 a couple hours before the opening bell, only one handle away, with S&P futures down -16.

Keybot prints the pre-scheduled number this morning shortly after the opening bell. 

3/14/21; 7:00 PM EST =
3/12/21; 10:00 AM EST =
3/11/21; 11:04 AM EST = +64; signal line is +28
3/11/21; 9:36 AM EST = +48; signal line is +27
3/10/21; 3:19 PM EST = +32; signal line is +27
3/10/21; 2:39 PM EST = +48; signal line is +28
3/10/21; 10:03 AM EST = +32; signal line is +28
3/10/21; 9:53 AM EST = +48; signal line is +29
3/9/21; 10:03 AM EST = +32; signal line is +29; go long 3882; (Benchmark SPX for 2021 = +3.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.9%; Keybot algo for 2021 = +4.0%)(Actual results this trade = -2.5%; Actual results for 2021 = +7.0%)