Tuesday, September 16, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is bearish but the wild move in copper up +2.6% has the algo on the verge of going long. The move came out of left field. Watch JJC 38.48 as the bull-bear line in the sand. JJC has remained under creating negativity but price is at 38.36 only pennies away threatening a positive cross which will send equities even higher. If JJC moves above 38.48, and the SPX moves above 1999, Keybot will likely flip long. The SPX has staged a 20-point turnaround intraday. 

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =
9/16/14; 9:52 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short but note that the algo wants to flip long with the algo number and signal line on top of each other at +42. There is an internal latch that will not close under these conditions so the algo remains bearish. UTIL explodes higher well above the 550 danger line in place for all of this week bolstering the bull case. The bulls also send semiconductors higher with SOX above the critical 682.81 level back  in the bull camp creating the market upside. The bears are content since VIX remains above 12.39.

Despite the run higher, the algo will likely not flip long today. If the VIX falls under 12.39, however, the upside path is guaranteed and Keybot will likely flip long in a heartbeat. For now, the beat goes on.

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =
9/16/14; 9:52 AM EST = +42; signal line is +42 but algorithm remains short
9/15/14; 3:48 PM EST = +26; signal line is +43

Monday, September 15, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bearish after an active day for the algo. The semiconductors are dancing to and fro so SOX 632.81 will identify the winner on Tuesday. Note the algo number was within two points of the signal line after 2 PM. The best thing for the bulls is to jog the semiconductors higher in other words move SOX above and below 632.81 to move the algo number above the signal line and set the model up to move to the bullish side. The bulls also need VIX under 12.39 to receive more upside juice. The bears need to keep semi's bearish and also move UTIL under 550 to receive more downside juice.

For the SPX starting at 1984, the bulls need three points of upside, to move above 1987 and 1991 will come very fast. The bears need to push about 5 points lower, under 1978.50, to accelerate the downside to 1973 in quick order. A move through 1979-1986 is sideways action.

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =
9/15/14; 3:48 PM EST = +26; signal line is +43
9/15/14; 2:32 PM EST = +42; signal line is +44
9/15/14; 2:11 PM EST = +26; signal line is +45
9/15/14; 12:55 PM EST = +42; signal line is +47

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as the bulls launch a quick comeback smashing the bear hopes for a sharp collapse. UTIL regains 550 and SOX is running strongly higher above 632.85 so equities recover. Watch these two parameters and VIX 12.37. If the VIX drops under 12.37 and SPX moves above 1997, Keybot will likely flip long. The bears need to weaken utes and semi's to send equities lower.

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =
9/15/14; 12:55 PM EST = +42; signal line is +47
9/15/14; 12:54 PM EST = +26; signal line is +48
9/15/14; 12:09 PM EST = +10; signal line is +49

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT

Keybot the Quant remains short with some intense market action occurring. Both utilities and semiconductors fail this morning so it is surprising to not see the broad indexes tumbling lower in earnest. As this message is typed UTIL is trying to regain the critical 550 level and SOX is trying to regain the critical 632.85 bull-bear line in the sand. Pay close attention to these two parameters as they control market direction. Volatility is higher with VIX above 14 creating sustainable market negativity. If the UTIL and SOX cannot print on the bull side in the minutes ahead, the markets will fall down the rabbit hole in a downside acceleration. The broad indexes will recover today if either UTIL moves above 550 or if SOX moves above 632.85. The bears are cruising. The market action will become very ugly unless the bulls push utes or socks higher.

9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =
9/15/14; 12:09 PM EST = +10; signal line is +49
9/15/14; 11:23 AM EST = +26; signal line is +51
9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +52

Sunday, September 14, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is short to begin the new week of trading. As explained in the previous message, UTIL 550 is a key bull-bear line in the sand for all of this week. If UTIL remains under 550 (now at 549.64), equities leak lower. If UTIL moves above 550, equities move higher. VIX 12.36 is important. The broad indexes will remains weak as long as VIX stays above 12.36. The algo is next tracking semiconductors as a key market driver and identifying SOX 631.50 as a key bull-bear line in the sand. SOX is near 640 well above the danger line.

For the SPX starting at 1986, the bulls need to touch the 1997 handle to regain their mojo. This may prove difficult so instead bulls will focus on pushing utilities and semi's higher and volatility lower. The bears need to push the SPX under 1980 to accelerate the downside which will print at the 1973 support in quick order. A move through 1981-1996 is sideways action for Monday. The bears are driving the bus. Watch UTIL 550 in the opening minutes. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Thursday morning.

9/21/14; 7:00 PM EST =
9/18/14; 9:00 AM EST =
9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST = +42; signal line is +52
9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +53

Saturday, September 13, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains bearish. The bears ride the higher volatility into the weekend sending markets lower. The bulls maintain a bid in financials preventing a market collapse.

UTIL closes at 549.64 under the 550 level that the algorithm is targeting for all of next week and called out one week ago. Isn't it astounding how Keybot can identify these key numbers before they occur? Since UTIL closes under 550 it will begin the new week in bear territory (as dictated by the algorithm) creating market negativity and another leg lower for stocks. If UTIL recovers above 550 at the opening bell that will tell you that stocks will recover. Utilities and volatility are key on Monday and semi's are moving up in the algo's current hierarchy. The imminent turn notation is removed since UTIL is on the bear side come Monday morning but if utes bounce at the opening bell the imminent turn notation will return since the bulls will be pushing the SPX higher.

Other areas and levels of interest important for Monday can be identified once the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints tomorrow.

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST =
9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +53

Friday, September 12, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short as the Friday session is underway and Keybot prints this weeks pre-scheduled number a short time ago. The bulls have the market on a silver platter but the bears show up to play pushing volatility higher and the SPX lower. Watch VIX 12.35 as the market rudder. Above and bears will be happy into the weekend. If the VIX drops under 12.35, the bulls will mount a huge upside rally and Keybot will likely flip long.

Financials are upbeat which keeps the bulls in the game. Semi's are weak helping bears. UTIL is 555 and remember the 550 is a critical bull-bear line for all of next week. If UTIL closes today under 550, the bears will be in great shape come Monday morning. The SPX is staggering sideways along the 1990-1991 support area.

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST =
9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST = +42; signal line is +53
9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53

Thursday, September 11, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short motoring along through the week without printing any numbers since Monday. VIX 12.35 remains the key market driver currently. VIX is above at 12.80 creating market negativity. Bulls need VIX under 12.35 and the upside orgy for equities will begin again. If the VIX drops under 12.35 and the SPX prints above 1998 and higher, Keybot will likely flip long so the imminent turn notation is in the title line. The bears need to send volatility higher immediately at the opening bell for Friday as well as send financials, semiconductor and retail stocks lower. The positivity or negativity in these three sectors will tell a lot about the path ahead.

For Friday with the SPX starting at 1997, the bulls need to touch the 1998 handle and bingo, a quick upside acceleration will occur sending price easily above 2000 to the 2002-2003 resistance. Therefore, watch the S&P futures overnight since any smidge of green will place the bulls in a festive party mood going into the weekend. The bears must push under 1986 to accelerate the downside a difficult task so the bears will instead focus on pushing volatility higher and financials, semi's and retail stocks lower. A move through 1987-1997 is sideways action. The bulls are in position to retake control; all they need is lower volatility to light the way. The bears need some bad news overnight to set a sour mood for Friday. Keybot prints a pre-scheduled number at 10 AM tomorrow.

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =
9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short riding out the ongoing market drama without printing any numbers since Monday. Same-o story. Market direction is determined by the battle between financials and volatility. Today VIX runs higher to 14 and the bears were in clover, however, as the day played out VIX drops to 12.88 fueling the market recovery intraday. Financials are buoyant today which helped the bulls.

Bears need XLF under 22.93. Bulls need VIX below 12.35. One of the two will flinch. If the VIX turns bullish, and the SPX moves above 1997 and remains above, Keybot will likely flip long. For the SPX starting at 1996 on Thursday, the bulls only need one point to push above 1997 to mount an upside acceleration. The bears need to push under 1983 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1984-1996 is sideways action. The imminent turn status returns since the bulls only need some weaker volatility and a point or two higher in the SPX to begin a bull rally and potentially flip Keybot back to the long side. Interestingly, 1997 is the same level that the algo flipped short at last Thursday.

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST =
9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =
9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53

Tuesday, September 9, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short. The algo idled along without printing any numbers but the fix was in for the bear side when copper collapsed. Copper took the pipe and is now firmly entrenched in the bear camp wanting to see lower equities going forward. The algo is now tracking volatility and financials as the key market movers and is also showing developing attention with utilities. Watch XLF 22.92 (now at 23.23 causing market upside) and VIX 12.34 (now at 12.91 causing market downside). Bears need XLF under 22.92 to create a firm flush lower for stocks. The bulls need VIX under 12.34 to stop the market selling and begin a recovery move. If VIX drops under 12.34 and the SPX moves above 2001, Keybot will likely flip long, easily doable in these erratic markets, but difficult, so the imminent turn notation is removed. If volatility drops, consider the imminent turn notation to be back in place since the bulls will be pushing equities higher.

For utilities, watch UTIL 545 for the remaining three days this week and starting 4 PM EST on Friday afternoon, watch UTIL 550 all through next week. UTIL drops to 557 today. Utilities are causing market bullishness but that changes if UTIL 545 fails this week, which is somewhat unlikely, but big trouble occurs for markets next week if UTIL 550 fails, so write this number down and monitor it all next week.

For the SPX starting at 1988 support on Wednesday, the bulls need to touch the 2001 handle to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push under 1985 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1986-2000 is sideways action. Bulls need lower volatility to stop the bleeding. Bears need lower financials to create more selling.

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =
9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53

Monday, September 8, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short. Copper flinched with JJC dropping under 38.67 ushering in market weakness. At the closing bell, copper recovers and closes smack-dab on top of the 38.67 identified as the bull-bear line in the sand by the algo. Since price is exactly on JJC 38.67, whichever way copper trades overnight the equity markets will go in the same direction tomorrow. Volatility remains important; VIX 12.34. So bears need to keep VIX above 12.34 and send JJC immediately lower under 38.67. The bulls need to send the VIX under 12.34 and the JJC above 38.67 to proclaim victory ahead. If JJC moves above 38.67 or VIX under 12.34, either one will do, and the SPX moves above 2007, Keybot will likely flip long.

For the SPX starting at 2002, the bulls need to move above 2007 and price will run to 2011 immediately. The bears need to push under 1996 to accelerate the downside to an immediate test of the strong 1990-1991 support. A move through 1997-2006 is sideways action. Copper is extremely important; as copper goes so goes the markets.

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =
9/8/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +53
9/8/14; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short. The bulls appeared ready to retake control but are struggling early in the new week of trading. Watch VIX 12.34 as the bull-bear line and volatility launches far above which causes today's weakness. Note, however, that the sneaky bulls are pushing copper strongly higher since they lost volatility. Watch JJC 38.70 as the bull-bear line in the sand and price is at 38.86 handily above. This strength in copper prevents the stock market from falling any significant amount.

Interestingly, the two key parameters driving market direction currently flip camps at the opening bell; the VIX is now causing bearishness while JJC is causing bullishness. One market day is stranger than the next. One of these two will flinch and identify the correct market direction ahead. Bulls need VIX under 12.34 (lower vol). Bears need JJC under 38.70 (lower copper).

The SPX is not yet able to touch the 2008 handle to ignite an upside acceleration. The HOD is 2007.17 which printed in the first seconds of the session. The beat goes on. Markets stagger sideways.

9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =
9/8/14; 9:36 AM EST = +56; signal line is +54 but algorithm remains short
9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short

Sunday, September 7, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short moving into the new week of trading. Friday was an erratic over 17-handle intraday recovery move from SPX 1990 to 2008. Tomorrow morning we find out if the bulls continue the party, or not. The algo is champing at the bit to go long, albeit by one thin point difference between the algo number and signal line, and waiting for all the necessary parameters to latch. If the SPX moves any amount higher at the opening bell and holds the highs for several minutes, Keybot will likely flip long and take a loss on the current trade. The bulls need to see a slow move higher in the SPX to claim victory since a gap-up at the opening bell may trigger a timer that will delay the flip to the long side for about 90 minutes.

Volatility and copper continue to dictate market direction. Watch VIX 12.46 (now at 12.09 and created the bull juice on Friday) and JJC 38.71 (now at 38.47 creating market negativity). If VIX moves above 12.46, the bears are back on easy street and the stock market will track lower. If JJC moves above 38.71, this is the go-signal for the bulls and verifies lots more market upside ahead and the SPX will target the 2020's.

For the SPX starting at 2008, the bulls need any smidge of green in the Sunday overnight futures and the upside market orgy will continue full speed ahead with the SPX running to 2015 and higher. The bears need to push the SPX under the strong 1990-1991 support to regain their mojo, a formidable task, so instead bears will focus on keeping copper negative and pushing volatility higher. A move through 1992-2007 is sideways action to begin the new week. Keybot prints one pre-scheduled number this week on Friday morning. The bulls appear ready to take control again. The first hour of trading on Monday will be key. Watch the S&P futures overnight and copper trading since they will tell you the answer forward.

9/14/14; 7:00 PM EST =
9/12/14; 10:00 AM EST =
9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST = +54; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short
9/5/14; 12:36 PM EST = +54; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short

Friday, September 5, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains short through the weekend with important action on tap for Monday's opening bell. The bull's slap the bear's in the face again sending VIX down through the 12.46 bull-bear line after lunch time. The lower volatility sends stocks strongly higher into the closing bell. The algo is champing at the bit to go long but the necessary internal programming patterns did not yet fully latch to permit the move. Note that there is only one point difference between the algo number and signal line representing a knock-down drag-out bull-bear battle and inflection point.

Keybot will flip long on Monday with any smidge of positivity in the Sunday overnight S&P futures. The areas and levels of interest for Monday can be highlighted after the Sunday pre-scheduled number prints. Volatility and copper remain the market leaders. Monday will be an important market day.

9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST =
9/5/14; 12:36 PM EST = +54; signal line is +53 but algorithm remains short
9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +52

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is short as the last trading day of the holiday-shortened week is underway. Volatility drops from the start but recovers now dropping again with VIX teasing near the 12.46 bull-bear line. Copper is subdued at 38.25 remaining under the 38.68 level continuing to create negativity. So use the VIX 12.46 as the market directional rudder today. Bulls win under 12.46. Bears win above 12.46. Keybot may whipsaw back to the long side but probably only if the SPX moves above 2011. Anything can happen in these erratic markets.

As fate would have it, the VIX is exactly at 12.46 as this message is typed. Isn't it amazing how Keybot can identify these levels before the occur? Volatility will either bounce or die from this level and send the broad indexes in the opposite direction.

9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST =
9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST = +40; signal line is +52
9/4/14; 3:03 PM EST = +40; signal line is +51; go short 1997; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.1%)(Keybot this trade = +2.3%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.5%)(Actual this trade = +4.7%; Actual for 2014 = +10.3%)

Thursday, September 4, 2014

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side this afternoon as volatility climbs and the SPX drops. The algo has been threatening a move to the short side for the last week. The Monthly Jobs Report occurs in the morning and may catapult markets wildly one way or the other so a whipsaw may occur. The algo prints a pre-scheduled number before the opening bell.

For the last trade, the algorithm computer program gains +2.3% and the actual trading gains +4.7%. Keybot exits UWM and enters SDS. The algo continues using double leveraged ETF's since whipsaw moves have not occurred in recent weeks. The benchmark SPX index is up +8% on the year. Adding in last year's +30% and the SPX is up nearly +40% in only about one and one-half year's time. The central bankers are throwing one heck of a party.

For Friday, the same two key parameters are effecting market direction the most; VIX 12.45 and JJC 38.68. Bears need volatility to keep moving higher to prove they got game. Bulls need to push the VIX back under 12.45 which will ruin the bear's day and at the same time push copper higher. The bulls may be able to flip Keybot back to the long side on Friday if the SPX prints above 2011. Due to the erratic nature of the stock market currently and considering the Jobs Report is on tap in the morning, anything is game for Friday.

For the SPX starting at 1998, the bulls need to print above 2011 to launch an upside acceleration. The bears need to push below 1993 to accelerate the downside which will likely cause a failure at the strong 1991 support and send price to 1988. A move through 1994-2010 is sideways action to end the week. The bears are driving the bus. How far will they travel?

9/7/14; 7:00 PM EST =
9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST =
9/4/14; 3:03 PM EST = +40; signal line is +51; go short 1997; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +8.1%)(Keybot this trade = +2.3%; Keybot for 2014 = +8.5%)(Actual this trade = +4.7%; Actual for 2014 = +10.3%)
9/4/14; 2:55 PM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
9/3/14; 12:15 PM EST = +54; signal line is +51
9/3/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
9/2/14; 2:52 PM EST = +54; signal line is +51
9/2/14; 11:52 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
9/2/14; 11:03 AM EST = +54; signal line is +51
9/2/14; 9:42 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
8/31/14; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +54; signal line is +51
8/29/14; 10:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +51
8/28/14; 10:00 AM EST = +54; signal line is +50
8/28/14; 9:45 AM EST = +40; signal line is +49 but algorithm remains long
8/28/14; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +48
8/27/14; 3:47 PM EST = +70; signal line is +47
8/27/14; 9:39 AM EST = +54; signal line is +45
8/26/14; 10:00 AM EST = +70; signal line is +42
8/24/14; 7:00 PM EST = +69; signal line is +40
8/21/14; 10:02 AM EST = +69; signal line is +37
8/20/14; 3:57 PM EST = +53; signal line is +34
8/20/14; 1:53 PM EST = +69; signal line is +32
8/20/14; 1:26 PM EST = +53; signal line is +29
8/20/14; 12:17 PM EST = +69; signal line is +27
8/19/14; 9:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +24
8/18/14; 9:36 AM EST = +53; signal line is +22
8/17/14; 7:00 PM EST = +39; signal line is +20
8/15/14; 2:31 PM EST = +39; signal line is +18
8/15/14; 1:05 PM EST = +23; signal line is +17
8/15/14; 12:43 PM EST = +39; signal line is +16
8/15/14; 11:58 AM EST = +23; signal line is +15
8/15/14; 10:57 AM EST = +39; signal line is +16
8/15/14; 10:00 AM EST = +53; signal line is +15
8/14/14; 12:01 PM EST = +53; signal line is +15
8/14/14; 11:46 AM EST = +37; signal line is +15
8/14/14; 11:17 AM EST = +53; signal line is +15
8/14/14; 10:31 AM EST = +37; signal line is +15
8/14/14; 10:32 AM EST = +53; signal line is +15; go long 1952; (Benchmark SPX for 2014 = +5.6%)(Keybot this trade = +1.2%; Keybot for 2014 = +6.2%)(Actual this trade = +0.2%; Actual for 2014 = +5.6%)

Wednesday, September 3, 2014

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as volatility dances to and fro along the VIX 12.46 bull-bear line in the sand. Copper collapses and bulls continue to need JJC above 38.68 to move equities higher. Bears need VIX above 12.46 to move equities lower. The ECB rate decision and press conference occur before the opening bell tomorrow and will impact the futures.

For the SPX starting at 2000, the bulls need nine points, to move above 2009, and an upside acceleration occurs. The bears need to push the SPX under 1998 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1999-2008 is sideways action. Markets are a coin-flip moving into the end of the week. Watch VIX 12.46 to see who wins. If VIX moves above 12.46, and SPX drops under 1998, only two points lower, Keybot will likely flip short.

9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST =
9/3/14; 12:15 PM EST = +54; signal line is +51
9/3/14; 11:57 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
9/2/14; 2:52 PM EST = +54; signal line is +51

Tuesday, September 2, 2014

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long. The SPX drops to 1995 and bounces; the bears did not have the juice to take it lower. Watch VIX 12.45 and JJC 38.71. Volatility is very erratic. Bulls need JJC above 38.71. Bears need VIX above 12.45. One of the two will flinch and dictate market direction forward.

For the SPX for Wednesday beginning at 2002, the bulls need four points to touch the 2006 handle and an upside acceleration will occur to 2010-2015. The bears need to push the SPX below 1995 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1996-2005 is sideways action for Wednesday. If VIX moves above 12.45 and the SPX drops under 1995, Keybot will likely go short.

9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST =
9/2/14; 2:52 PM EST = +54; signal line is +51
9/2/14; 11:52 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
9/2/14; 11:03 AM EST = +54; signal line is +51
9/2/14; 9:42 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant remains long as the new holiday-shortened week of trading begins and the algo prints a number off the get-go. Volatility leaps higher which places a lid on the SPX. Watch VIX 12.44 and JJC 38.77 (copper). Copper trades flat to lower so JJC remains bearish causing market negativity and volatility joins the bear camp with VIX above 12.44.

The algorithm is champing at the bit to go short but is held back since internal programming parameters are not fully latched as yet. If the SPX drops under 1995 and trails lower and remains lower, with the VIX remaining above 12.44, Keybot will likely flip short. Volatility and copper continue running the show and since VIX is near the 12.44 bull-bear line in the sand, use this as the main rudder steering the market directional ship today. Equities will recover and float higher if VIX drops under 12.44.

9/5/14; 9:00 AM EST =
9/2/14; 9:42 AM EST = +40; signal line is +51 but algorithm remains long
8/31/14; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +54; signal line is +51