Wednesday, April 11, 2018

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips back to the long side at the opening bell yesterday at SPX 2645. Copper strength and the rally in the NYSE Composite carry stocks higher. The algo number is 26 points above the signal line so the bulls are proud of themselves. S&P futures are down -13 four hours ahead of the US opening bell for the hump day trade.

The bulls are targeting banks and chips to gain more upside strength. Bulls need either XLF above 28.05 (now at 27.73) and/or SOX above 1330 (now at 1315). Either one will supply solid bull fuel creating higher stock prices.

The bears need weaker copper and NYSE Comp. Bears need either JJC under 34.97 (now at 35.45) and/or NYA under 12452 (now at 12566). Either one will supply solid bear fuel creating weaker stock prices. Keybot likely needs to see both parameters turn bearish to place the algo in the position to flip back to the short side. The SPX LOD yesterday is 2635.78 and an important number for today.

The benchmark SPX is down -1.1% on the year. On the last trade, the algo loses one percent with both the algorithm program and the actual trading. The Keybot program is up +3.8% this year and the actual trading is up +9%. Keybot exited SH and entered SPY remaining in the single ETF's due to the whipsaw action in the stock market. The beat goes on.

4/15/18; 7:00 PM EST =
4/13/18; 10:00 AM EST =
4/10/18; 9:36 AM EST = +6; signal line is -20; go long 2645; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = -1.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +3.8%)(Actual results this trade = -0.9%; Actual results for 2018 = +9.0%)
4/9/18; 3:40 PM EST = -24; signal line is -21
4/9/18; 10:57 AM EST = -10; signal line is -20 but algorithm remains short
4/8/18; 7:00 PM EST = -24; signal line is -20
4/6/18; 1:44 PM EST = -24; signal line is -19
4/6/18; 12:43 PM EST = -10; signal line is -18 but algorithm remains short
4/6/18; 12:25 PM EST = -24; signal line is -18; go short 2625; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = -1.8%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.5%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +4.6%)(Actual results this trade = -1.0%; Actual results for 2018 = +9.9%)

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