STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant is long after a wild whipsaw period in markets over the last six trading days. Keybot flipped short on Friday, 4/20/18, then flipped long last Monday, then to the short side on Tuesday, then flipped to the long side on Thursday. That is market craziness. Keybot the Quant is an algorithm designed to take the smoothest path through the year so the activity is testimony to how markets are erratic and unstable.

Humorously, the quant is now long from SPX 2654 which is basically the same as being long from SPX 2645 on 4/10/18. In other words, the algo is in the same place as it was a couple weeks ago without the whipsaws.

On the rapid flips in trades, the algo cycled from SPY into DOG into SPY into RWM into IWM. The benchmark S&P 500 is down a percent on the year. The Keybot algorithm computer program is up +2% on the year. The actual trading, triggered by the algo, is up +8.3% on the year despite the whipsaws. Keybot is in the single ETF's due to the sawtooth market pattern. Any bull or bear in the 2x, and especially 3x ETF's, are getting chewed up and spit out daily. Serves everyone right for whoever is in a 3x ETF; these vehicles should be completely ignored and never played.

There are three parameters most impacting stock market direction currently; financials, copper and volatility. Bulls need higher banks and copper. Bears need higher volatility.

4/30/18; 7:00 PM EST EOM =

4/29/18; 7:00 PM EST =

4/27/18; 12:52 PM EST = +36; signal line is +37 but algorithm remains long

4/27/18; 10:32 AM EST = +22; signal line is +37 but algorithm remains long

4/27/18; 10:00 AM EST = +36; signal line is +37 but algorithm remains long

4/27/18; 9:36 AM EST = +36; signal line is +36 but algorithm remains long

4/26/18; 3:16 PM EST = +22; signal line is +35 but algorithm remains long

4/26/18; 9:58 AM EST = +38; signal line is +34; go long 2654; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = -0.8%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -0.3%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +2.0%)(Actual results this trade = +0.3%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +8.3%)

4/26/18; 9:36 AM EST = +38; signal line is +33 but algorithm remains short

4/25/18; 1:36 PM EST = +22; signal line is +32

4/25/18; 9:37 AM EST = +8; signal line is +32

4/24/18; 3:53 PM EST = +22; signal line is +33

4/24/18; 3:38 PM EST = +8; signal line is +33

4/24/18; 3:09 PM EST = +22; signal line is +34

4/24/18; 1:56 PM EST = +8; signal line is +34
4/24/18; 12:45 PM EST = +22; signal line is +36; go short 2647; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = -1.0%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -1.3%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +2.3%)(Actual results this trade = -1.2%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +8.0%)

4/24/18; 12:24 PM EST = +38; signal line is +37

4/24/18; 11:18 AM EST = +54; signal line is +37

4/24/18; 11:10 AM EST = +38; signal line is +36

4/24/18; 10:22 AM EST = +54; signal line is +37

4/24/18; 10:00 AM EST = +68; signal line is +36
4/24/18; 9:36 AM EST = +68; signal line is +35

4/23/18; 3:41 PM EST = +38; signal line is +33

4/23/18; 2:56 PM EST = +22; signal line is +32 but algorithm remains long

4/23/18; 2:10 PM EST = +38; signal line is +32

4/23/18; 1:57 PM EST = +54; signal line is +30

4/23/18; 1:45 PM EST = +38; signal line is +28

4/23/18; 12:48 PM EST = +54; signal line is +28

4/23/18; 11:34 AM EST = +68; signal line is +26

4/23/18; 11:14 AM EST = +52; signal line is +25; go long 2682; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = +0.3%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +3.6%)(Actual results this trade = -0.5%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +9.2%)

4/23/18; 10:51 AM EST = +38; signal line is +23 but algorithm remains short

4/23/18; 9:36 AM EST = +22; signal line is +21 but algorithm remains short

4/22/18; 7:00 PM EST = +6; signal line is +20

4/20/18; 3:09 PM EST = +6; signal line is +20; go short 2662; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = -0.5%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = +0.6%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +4.4%)(Actual results this trade = +0.7%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +9.7%)

4/20/18; 2:17 PM EST = +6; signal line is +19 but algorithm remains long

4/20/18; 1:33 PM EST = +22; signal line is +19

4/20/18; 12:07 PM EST = +6; signal line is +18 but algorithm remains long

4/20/18; 12:02 PM EST = +22; signal line is +18

4/20/18; 11:48 AM EST = +38; signal line is +18

4/20/18; 11:03 AM EST = +22; signal line is +16
4/20/18; 9:36 AM EST = +38; signal line is +15

4/19/18; 9:36 AM EST = +22; signal line is +13
4/18/18; 2:20 PM EST = +52; signal line is +12

4/18/18; 1:42 PM EST = +38; signal line is +9

4/18/18; 9:36 AM EST = +54; signal line is +7

4/17/18; 3:59 PM EST = +36; signal line is +5

4/17/18; 3:16 PM EST = +52; signal line is +3

4/17/18; 10:00 AM EST = +36; signal line is +1

4/17/18; 9:36 AM EST = +22; signal line is -1

4/17/18; 9:00 AM EST = +22; signal line is -3

4/16/18; 3:48 PM EST = +22; signal line is -4

4/16/18; 3:41 PM EST = +6; signal line is -6

4/16/18; 3:12 PM EST = -10; signal line is -7 but the algorithm remains long

4/16/18; 1:21 PM EST = +6; signal line is -8

4/16/18; 12:14 PM EST = +22; signal line is -9

4/16/18; 10:52 AM EST = +6; signal line is -11

4/16/18; 10:33 AM EST = +22; signal line is -12

4/16/18; 9:36 AM EST = +6; signal line is -14
4/15/18; 7:00 PM EST = -10; signal line is -16
4/13/18; 3:07 PM EST = -10; signal line is -16

4/13/18; 11:31 AM EST = +6; signal line is -16

4/13/18; 11:05 AM EST = -10; signal line is -17

4/13/18; 10:54 AM EST = +6; signal line is -17

4/13/18; 10:30 AM EST = -10; signal line is -18

4/13/18; 10:00 AM EST = +6; signal line is -18
4/12/18; 10:06 AM EST = +6; signal line is -19

4/12/18; 9:36 AM EST = -10; signal line is -20

4/10/18; 9:36 AM EST = +6; signal line is -20; go long 2645; (Benchmark SPX for 2018 = -1.1%)(Keybot algorithm program this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2018 = +3.8%)(Actual results this trade = -0.9%; Actual trading results for 2018 = +9.0%)