Wednesday, November 9, 2022

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side this morning at SPX 3794. The bulls were looking good until the wheels fell off this morning. The bears are in control with the algo number 18 points below the signal line.

Volatility, chips and commodities are running the show right now. Banks and copper are supporting the bulls. The bulls need VIX below 25.60, SOX above 2455 and/or GTX above 3633. If the 3 remain in the bear camp, stocks will continue sinking lower. Any 1 of the 3 turning bullish will immediately stop the selling.

On the last trade that only ran for about 8-1/2 hours, a whipsaw, the algo program and actual trading have marginal losses. On the year, the SPX benchmark is down over -20%. The Keybot the Quant program is up +30% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +42%. Keybot exits SPY and enters SH remaining in the 1x ETF's. The choppy slop continues and the quant will remain in 1x ETF's into the first week of December. The stock market is chop suey chopping up bulls and bears.

Watch VIX 25.60 for stock market direction.

11/13/22; 7:00 PM EST =
11/11/22; 10:00 AM EST =
11/9/22; 1:10 PM EST = -34; signal line is -16
11/9/22; 12:25 PM EST = -20; signal line is -15
11/9/22; 11:13 AM EST = -4; signal line is -15 but algorithm remains short
11/9/22; 11:06 AM EST = -18; signal line is -17
11/9/22; 11:00 AM EST = -34; signal line is -17
11/9/22; 10:39 AM EST = -20; signal line is -16; go short 3794; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -20.4%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.4%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +30.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.4%; Actual results for 2022 = +42.2%)
11/8/22; 10:46 AM EST = +10; signal line is -16
11/8/22; 10:46 AM EST = +26; signal line is -17
11/8/22; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is -19
11/7/22; 3:56 PM EST = -6; signal line is -21
11/7/22; 3:29 PM EST = +10; signal line is -21
11/7/22; 3:16 PM EST = -6; signal line is -23; go long 3809; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -20.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.2%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +30.4%)(Actual results this trade = +0.8%; Actual results for 2022 = +42.6%)

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