Tuesday, November 8, 2022

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the bull side yesterday afternoon at SPX 3809. The quant spent more time wanting to go long during the last trade than remaining short. It is testimony to the sideways chop. Chop suey. The algo number is 15 points above the signal line.

The bulls create the upside joy in stocks with banks, volatility, copper and commodities. Bulls need the chips and retail stocks to join the rally if it is to have legs higher.

Bulls need to push SOX above 2454.25 to unleash another leg higher for equities. Bulls need to push RTH above 160.67 to create another leg higher for stocks. Both parameters are knocking at the bulls door so pay attention to see if either turn bullish, or, if they remain bearish. If SOX and RTH fail to turn bullish, the stock market will likely be out of gas and become soggy again.

Bears need to keep chips and retail stocks gloomy and at the same time push volatility higher and copper and commodities lower. You will know that the bears are starting to damage the stock market again if VIX pops above 25.57 and begins trending higher. VIX is at 24.65 in real-time in the bull camp.

On the last trade that ran for a week, the quant program and actual trading each gain about a percent. For the year thus far, the S&P 500 benchmark is down -20%. The Keybot the Quant program is up +30% and the actual trading generated by the quant is up +43% outperforming the benchmark US stock market by 73 percentage points. Put that in your pipe and smoke it. Keybot exits SH and enters SPY remaining in the 1x ETF's. The robot is smart and saw the choppy slop coming ahead of time.

Watch volatility, copper, chips and retail stocks.

11/13/22; 7:00 PM EST =
11/11/22; 10:00 AM EST =
11/7/22; 3:56 PM EST = -6; signal line is -21
11/7/22; 3:29 PM EST = +10; signal line is -21
11/7/22; 3:16 PM EST = -6; signal line is -23; go long 3809; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -20.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = +1.2%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +30.4%)(Actual results this trade = +0.8%; Actual results for 2022 = +42.6%)
11/6/22; 7:00 PM EST = -6; signal line is -23 but algorithm remains short
11/4/22; 9:36 AM EST = -6; signal line is -24 but algorithm remains short
11/4/22; 9:00 AM EST = -22; signal line is -25 but algorithm remains short
11/3/22; 12:06 PM EST = -22; signal line is -24 but algorithm remains short
11/3/22; 3:06 AM EST = -36; signal line is -24
11/2/22; 3:56 PM EST = -22; signal line is -24 but algorithm remains short
11/2/22; 3:31 PM EST = -36; signal line is -25
11/2/22; 3:18 PM EST = -22; signal line is -24 but algorithm remains short
11/2/22; 2:48 PM EST = -36; signal line is -24
11/2/22; 2:28 PM EST = -20; signal line is -24 but algorithm remains short
11/2/22; 1:40 PM EST = -6; signal line is -24 but algorithm remains short
11/2/22; 1:15 PM EST = -22; signal line is -25 but algorithm remains short
11/2/22; 4:53 AM EST = -36; signal line is -25
11/1/22; 3:57 PM EST = -22; signal line is -25 but algorithm remains short
11/1/22; 3:31 PM EST = -36; signal line is -25
11/1/22; 3:22 PM EST = -22; signal line is -25 but algorithm remains short
11/1/22; 3:19 PM EST = -6; signal line is -24 but algorithm remains short
11/1/22; 3:07 PM EST = -20; signal line is -25 but algorithm remains short
11/1/22; 2:32 PM EST = -36; signal line is -25
11/1/22; 2:26 PM EST = -20; signal line is -24 but algorithm remains short
11/1/22; 2:00 PM EST = -6; signal line is -24 but algorithm remains short
11/1/22; 1:51 PM EST = -22; signal line is -25 but algorithm remains short
11/1/22; 1:30 PM EST = -36; signal line is -26
11/1/22; 1:16 PM EST = -22; signal line is -26 but algorithm remains short
11/1/22; 1:12 PM EST = -36; signal line is -26
11/1/22; 12:44 PM EST = -20; signal line is -27 but algorithm remains short
11/1/22; 12:18 PM EST = -36; signal line is -28
11/1/22; 12:01 PM EST = -20; signal line is -29 but algorithm remains short
11/1/22; 10:47 AM EST = -36; signal line is -30; go short 3854; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -19.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = +3.0%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +29.2%)(Actual results this trade = +2.6%; Actual results for 2022 = +41.8%)

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.