Friday, March 24, 2023

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side at SPX 3936 yesterday afternoon. The choppy slop continues this year chewing-up bulls and bears alike.

The VIX pops above 21.06 and the SPX falls below 3960 creating the stock market selling. These same parameters remain in play. VIX is trading at 22.08 just coming on line now remaining bearish.

The bears are in control but the bulls can flip the table on the bears if they can move the SPX above 3960 and/or VIX below 21.06. Keybot the Quant may flip back to the long side if either parameter turns bullish and if the SPX moves above 4008 so it is best to leave the imminent turn notation in play. 2023 is a choppy sloppy mess.

Humorously, S&P futures are up +11 and the SPX cash index begins at 3949 so this would place the index at ...... wait for it .......... wait for it ........ 3960. The battle continues. Keep a coin handy so you can flip it.

On the last trade that ran for only a couple days, more chop suey, the algo program loses -1.7% and the actual trading loses -0.7%. The tech stocks are holding up better than the broad market this week. For the year thus far, the benchmark SPX is up a couple percent, the quant program is down a percent, and the actual trading generated by the quant is dead flat in 2023. Call it all flat. Keybot exits QQQ and enters SDS returning to the 2x leveraged ETF's after a whipsaw timer expired.

3/26/23; 7:00 PM EST =
3/23/23; 2:40 PM EST = -45; signal line is -42; go short 3936; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +2.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.7%; Keybot algo for 2023 = -0.9%)(Actual results this trade = -0.7%; Actual results for 2023 = +0.0%)
3/23/23; 2:27 PM EST = -45; signal line is -43 but algorithm remains long
3/23/23; 12:45 PM EST = -31; signal line is -43
3/23/23; 9:36 AM EST = -17; signal line is -44
3/22/23; 3:58 PM EST = -45; signal line is -46
3/22/23; 3:53 PM EST = -31; signal line is -46
3/22/23; 3:21 PM EST = -17; signal line is -47
3/22/23; 3:10 PM EST = -31; signal line is -48
3/22/23; 1:58 PM EST = -17; signal line is -48
3/22/23; 12:39 PM EST = -31; signal line is -49
3/22/23; 12:31 PM EST = -17; signal line is -49
3/22/23; 12:18 PM EST = -31; signal line is -50
3/22/23; 9:04 AM EST = -17; signal line is -50
3/21/23; 3:40 PM EST = -31; signal line is -50; go long 4004; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +4.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.5%; Keybot algo for 2023 = +0.8%)(Actual results this trade = +0.6%; Actual results for 2023 = +0.7%)

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