STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the bull side on Friday morning an hour after the opening bell. UTIL regains 956 printing at 963 and VIX drops below 26.78 to 24.23 so the bulls throw confetti buying stocks with reckless abandon. The internal parameters of the quant did not put up a struggle for once, all of the metrics immediately latched and the flip to the long side occurs at SPX 3855. The algo number is only 8 points above the signal line so the stock market remains a coin-flip.

Retail stocks are puffing their chests out wanting a piece of the action. Chips, too. Bulls need RTH above 159.84 (only 22 pennies away) to signal the all-clear for more upside fun. Bulls will also send stocks strongly higher if SOX moves above 2774 (now at 2694).

Bears need to push the VIX above 26.78 and/or UTIL below 956 to reopen the utility trap-door. If either parameter flips bearish, and the SPX is down about 45 points or more, Keybot the Quant will likely whipsaw back to the short side.

If RTH or SOX jump into the bull camp, look out, US stocks will be catapulting higher probably in a short squeeze.

On the last trade that only ran for a couple days, the quant and the actual trading each lose about a half percent. On the year thus far, the benchmark S&P 500, the US stock market, is down -19%. The Keybot the Quant algorithm program is up about +10% and actual trading triggered by the quant is up about +8% on the year. Keybot exits DOG and enters SPY remaining in 1x ETF's due to the whipsaw price pattern.

Bulls win big with RTH 159.84 and SOX 2744. Bears win big with UTIL 956 and VIX 26.78. Bulls need stronger retail stocks and semiconductors to light the way to big stock market gains. Bears need weaker utilities and higher volatility to create mayhem and destroy any hopes of upside in stocks. As retail stocks go on Monday, so goes the market.

7/24/22; 7:00 PM EST =
7/19/22; 9:00 AM EST =
7/17/22; 7:00 PM EST =
7/15/22; 3:08 PM EST = -38; signal line is -46
7/15/22; 11:09 AM EST = -22; signal line is -46
7/15/22; 10:33 AM EST = -38; signal line is -46; go long 3855; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -19.1%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +10.3%)(Actual results this trade = -0.5%; Actual results for 2022 = +8.4%)
7/15/22; 10:00 AM EST = -54; signal line is -47
7/15/22; 9:37 AM EST = -54; signal line is -46
7/14/22; 3:58 PM EST = -38; signal line is -46 but algorithm remains short
7/14/22; 2:26 PM EST = -54; signal line is -47
7/14/22; 9:36 AM EST = -68; signal line is -46
7/13/22; 3:59 PM EST = -52; signal line is -44
7/13/22; 2:34 PM EST = -38; signal line is -44 but algorithm remains short
7/13/22; 11:45 AM EST = -52; signal line is -43
7/13/22; 10:02 PM EST = -68; signal line is -42
7/12/22; 3:02 PM EST = -52; signal line is -41; go short 3831; (Benchmark SPX for 2022 = -19.6%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.7%; Keybot algo for 2022 = +10.9%)(Actual results this trade = -1.0%; Actual results for 2022 = +8.9%)