Sunday, May 28, 2023

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side on Friday at SPX 4197 during the AI orgy. It is more whipsaw choppy slop. Volatility and retail stocks (watch Scamazon) lead the way up for the bulls just as they led the way down for the bears.

It is notable and a negative that the NYA index, despite the euphoric party on Friday, was unable to move above 15139. Bulls got nothing unless this occurs.

The bears need VIX above 19.20 and RTH below 164.40. Either one will stop the rally in stocks and reintroduce negativity. One of these three parameters will flinch and tell you the path ahead. Bulls win big with NYA 15139. Bears win big with VIX 19.20 and RTH 164.40.

On the last trade that ran for only a couple days, the quant program loses -1.7% and the actual trading loses about a half percent. On the year thus far, the benchmark SPX is rewarding the bulls up over +9% goosed by the AI orgy. The quant program is down -2% this year and the actual trading generated by the quant is up a percent this year.

The NYA, volatility and retail stocks tell the story when trading resumes on Tuesday after the Memorial Day holiday. Thanks to all those that sacrificed themselves in wars. Cher knows how to salute the boys.

6/4/23; 7:00 PM EST =
6/2/23; 9:00 AM EST =
5/31/23; 7:00 PM EST =
5/30/23; 10:00 AM EST =
5/28/23; 7:00 PM EST = -19; signal line is -25
5/26/23; 10:37 AM EST = -19; signal line is -25; go long 4197; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +9.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.7%; Keybot algo for 2023 = -2.0%)(Actual results this trade = -0.4%; Actual results for 2023 = +1.0%)
5/26/23; 10:00 AM EST = -35; signal line is -24
5/26/23; 5:35 AM EST = -35; signal line is -24
5/26/23; 3:38 AM EST = -49; signal line is -23
5/25/23; 1:29 PM EST = -35; signal line is -22
5/25/23; 1:03 PM EST = -49; signal line is -21
5/25/23; 12:20 PM EST = -35; signal line is -20
5/25/23; 11:33 AM EST = -49; signal line is -19
5/25/23; 10:39 AM EST = -35; signal line is -18
5/25/23; 9:36 AM EST = -49; signal line is -17
5/25/23; 8:42 AM EST = -33; signal line is -15
5/25/23; 8:03 AM EST = -19; signal line is -15
5/24/23; 10:57 AM EST = -33; signal line is -15
5/24/23; 10:47 AM EST = -49; signal line is -14
5/24/23; 9:36 AM EST = -33; signal line is -13
5/24/23; 9:30 AM EST = -19; signal line is -12; go short 4128; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +7.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.2%; Keybot algo for 2023 = -0.3%)(Actual results this trade = -0.2%; Actual results for 2023 = +1.4%)

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