Tuesday, August 15, 2023

STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side yesterday morning at SPX 4481. It is more choppy whipsaw slop. Even Keybot is starting to get chewed-up by the non-stop whipsaw buzzsaw. The bulls are in charge but only by 6 measly points nothing to write home about.

S&P futures are down nearly -30 and the VIX increases to 15.86 creating bearish price action. The VIX line in the sand is now at 15.43 so watch this like a hawk.

Watch chips. Bears will have their way if SOX drops below 3599. The chips turning bullish provided the orgy in stocks during the final minutes of trading yesterday.

If SOX drops below 3599, which may be on tap since futures are down substantively, and if the SPX drops below 4453, Keybot the Quant will likely flip back to the short side. It is all choppy slop day after day.

On the last trade that only ran for about 10 trading hours, the quant program and the actual trading each lose about a half percent. Keybot deems the flip another whipsaw so the robot will remain in the single 1x ETF's into mid-September to reduce risk due to the choppy whipsaw slop. On the year thus far, the benchmark S&P 500 is up almost +17%. The Keybot the Quant algo program and the actual trading generated by the quant are each down a couple percent on the year. Robots have a difficult time in non-trending markets. Keybot exits SH and enters SPY.

VIX 15.43 and SOX 3599 dictate stock market direction currently.

8/20/23; 7:00 PM EST =
8/16/23; 9:00 AM EST =
8/15/23; 6:10 AM EST = +14; signal line is +8
8/15/23; 4:43 AM EST = +28; signal line is +8
8/15/23; 4:07 AM EST = +14; signal line is +8
8/14/23; 3:18 PM EST = +28; signal line is +8
8/14/23; 10:51 AM EST = +12; signal line is +8; go long 4481; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +16.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.5%; Keybot algo for 2023 = -1.8%)(Actual results this trade = -0.3%; Actual results for 2023 = -2.0%)
8/14/23; 10:16 AM EST = +12; signal line is +9 but algorithm remains short
8/14/23; 8:02 AM EST = -2; signal line is +9
8/14/23; 3:56 AM EST = +12; signal line is +10 but algorithm remains short
8/14/23; 3:06 AM EST = -2; signal line is +10
8/13/23; 7:00 PM EST = +12; signal line is +11 but algorithm remains short
8/11/23; 12:03 PM EST = +12; signal line is +11 but algorithm remains short
8/11/23; 10:56 AM EST = -2; signal line is +12
8/11/23; 10:26 AM EST = +12; signal line is +13
8/11/23; 10:00 AM EST = -2; signal line is +14
8/11/23; 4:06 AM EST = -2; signal line is +15
8/11/23; 3:06 AM EST = +12; signal line is +17
8/10/23; 1:57 PM EST = -2; signal line is +18; go short 4461; (Benchmark SPX for 2023 = +16.2%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.0%; Keybot algo for 2023 = -1.3%)(Actual results this trade = -1.7%; Actual results for 2023 = -1.7%)

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