STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side this morning at SPX 6866 about an hour after the opening bell. It is more choppy, whipsaw slop. The whole year is sideways chop suey chewing up bulls and bears alike. It is the worst markets for algorithms to operate in and some houses will pull the plug on their models since they get whipsawed too much. The quant does not care which direction the stock market goes in but it is important to at least have a short trend in that direction.

Today reverses yesterday's weakness in chips and copper so stocks bounce. SOX 7860 and CPER 35.65 are the two lines in the sand. Bulls need to keep these on their side and at the same time boost retail stocks and banks, and lower volatility.

Bears need to push SOX below 7860 and/or CPER below 35.65 and they are back in business. Any 1 of the 2 would do and the quant would be back in position to flip short. Thus, the stock market remains a sloppy sideways coin-flip this year and we are already into March.

Semiconductors and copper tell you the path forward. Do not be surprised to see another whipsaw back to the short side.

On the last trade that ran for a week, the quant program and actual trading are flat or a marginal loss. The benchmark SPX is flatter than a newlywed's souffle this year while the quant program is down about -4% and the actual trading generated by the quant is down a couple percent in 2026. Keybot the Quant exits DOG and enters SSO now back into the 2x ETF's since the internal whipsaw timer expires. This may not be good because stocks remain whipsaw slop and it is better to be in the single ETF's now to reduce risk, however, Keybot is smarter than humans so we will see what the 1's and 0's say.

3/8/26; 7:00 PM EST =
3/6/26; 9:00 AM EST =
3/4/26; 10:22 AM EST = +10; signal line is +6; go long 6866 (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = +0.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.6%; Keybot algo for 2026 = -3.9%)(Actual results this trade = +0.1%; Actual results for 2026 = -2.4%)
3/4/26; 10:12 AM EST = +10; signal line is +7 but algorithm remains short
3/4/26; 9:44 AM EST = -6; signal line is +7
3/4/26; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is +8 but algorithm remains short
3/3/26; 3:53 PM EST = -22; signal line is +8
3/3/26; 2:42 PM EST = -6; signal line is +9
3/3/26; 2:33 PM EST = -22; signal line is +10
3/3/26; 1:12 PM EST = -6; signal line is +11
3/3/26; 12:06 PM EST = -22; signal line is +12
3/3/26; 11:07 AM EST = -6; signal line is +14
3/3/26; 9:40 AM EST = -22; signal line is +13
3/3/26; 9:36 AM EST = -6; signal line is +14
3/1/26; 7:00 PM EST EOM = +10; signal line is +14
2/26/26; 3:59 PM EST = +10; signal line is +15
2/26/26; 2:38 PM EST = +26; signal line is +15 but algorithm remains short
2/26/26; 11:28 AM EST = +10; signal line is +15
2/26/26; 10:55 AM EST = +26; signal line is +15 but algorithm remains short
2/26/26; 10:20 AM EST = +10; signal line is +15
2/26/26; 9:40 AM EST = +26; signal line is +15 but algorithm remains short
2/24/26; 2:13 PM EST = +10; signal line is +14
2/24/26; 1:57 PM EST = +26; signal line is +15 but algorithm remains short
2/24/26; 10:00 AM EST = +10; signal line is +14
2/23/26; 11:07 AM EST = +8; signal line is +14; go short 6828 (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = -0.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2026 = -3.3%)(Actual results this trade = -1.9%; Actual results for 2026 = -2.5%)