STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the long side yesterday morning at SPX 6620. The stock market this year, however, remains a sideways choppy pile of pig slop. Stocks are moving on the Iran War news that impacts oil and other commodities.

Chips and the NYA index are running the show. SOX 7760 and NYA 21690 remain the bull/bear lines in the sand, respectively, moving slightly higher with each passing minute. Prices are above so both are in the bull camp creating yesterday's joy.

S&P futures are tanking this morning but watch the two metrics above to actually know where stocks are going. If a flush lower occurs at the opening bell of the cash session, and one or both metrics turn bearish, there is negativity ahead.

If the flush lower occurs, but both metrics remain bullish, the downside move is likely a fake-out and stocks should recover. Chips are under pressure this morning so pay attention to SOX, XSD and SMH to know what is going on. Pressure Drop by Toots and the Maytals.

On the last trade that ran for about 3 weeks, the quant program gains about three percent and the actual trading gains about two percent. For the year thus far, with Q1 (Jan, Feb, Mar) almost in the bag, the benchmark S&P 500 is down about three percent, and the quant program and actual trading generated by the quant are each down about two percent.

3/29/26; 7:00 PM EST =
3/27/26; 10:00 AM EST =
3/25/26; 9:30 AM EST = +6; signal line is -3; go long 6620 (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = -3.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = +2.7%; Keybot algo for 2026 = -2.2%)(Actual results this trade = +2.4%; Actual results for 2026 = -1.7%)
3/23/26; 9:36 AM EST = +6; signal line is -4 but algorithm remains short
3/22/26; 7:00 PM EST = -24; signal line is -5
3/20/26; 3:59 PM EST = -24; signal line is -4
3/20/26; 3:29 PM EST = -38; signal line is -3
3/20/26; 2:37 PM EST = -24; signal line is -1
3/20/26; 10:15 AM EST = -10; signal line is -1
3/19/26; 1:33 PM EST = +6; signal line is -0 but algorithm remains short
3/19/26; 1:12 PM EST = -10; signal line is -1
3/19/26; 12:43 PM EST = +6; signal line is -1 but algorithm remains short
3/19/26; 12:26 PM EST = -10; signal line is -2
3/19/26; 12:07 PM EST = +6; signal line is -2 but algorithm remains short
3/19/26; 11:25 AM EST = -10; signal line is -3
3/19/26; 11:17 AM EST = +6; signal line is -3 but algorithm remains short
3/19/26; 9:36 AM EST = -10; signal line is -4
3/17/26; 9:36 AM EST = +6; signal line is -3 but algorithm remains short
3/16/26; 11:02 AM EST = +22; signal line is -3 but algorithm remains short
3/16/26; 10:44 AM EST = +6; signal line is -4 but algorithm remains short
3/16/26; 9:48 AM EST = +22; signal line is -3 but algorithm remains short
3/16/26; 9:36 AM EST = +6; signal line is -3 but algorithm remains short
3/15/26; 7:00 PM EST = -10; signal line is -3
3/13/26; 10:00 AM EST = -10; signal line is -2
3/12/26; 2:40 PM EST = -10; signal line is -1
3/12/26; 9:47 AM EST = +6; signal line is +0 but algorithm remains short
3/12/26; 9:00 AM EST = +22; signal line is +1 but algorithm remains short
3/9/26; 3:59 PM EST = +10; signal line is +0 but algorithm remains short
3/9/26; 3:26 PM EST = -6; signal line is +0
3/8/26; 7:00 PM EST = -22; signal line is +1
3/6/26; 9:00 AM EST = -22; signal line is +2
3/5/26; 12:21 PM EST = -22; signal line is +4; go short 6805 (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = -0.7%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.0%; Keybot algo for 2026 = -4.9%)(Actual results this trade = -1.7%; Actual results for 2026 = -4.1%)