Tuesday, February 17, 2026

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short and the position is reinforced with Doctor Copper falling out of bed this morning onto the top of retail stocks and then both fell down the cellar steps. The bears have copper, retail stocks, banks and volatility in their camp. The bears are in charge with the algo number 25 points below the signal line.

The bears are cruising taking stocks lower and will create carnage if the chips, commodities and utilities would weaken.

The bulls need at least 2 of the following 4 lines in the sand to turn bullish if they want to flip the robot to the long side; XRT 87.58, CPER 35.18, XLF 53.50 and VIX 17.52. If none of the 4 turn bullish, there will be further Hell to pay. 1 of the 4 turning bullish will stop the downside slide in stocks. If 2 of the 4 turn bullish, consider the imminent turn to the long side back in play, and if the SPX moves above 6867, Keybot the Quant would likely flip long.

The bulls need stronger retail stocks, copper, and banks, and lower volatility. Bulls are screwed going forward unless they jam the VIX back below 17.52.

The robot prints a prescheduled number in the morning, on Ash Wednesday. Today is the Lunar New year, the new moon peaks for the month so this may be a soggy time for stocks, and Fat Tuesday. If Iran will be hit by Israel and the United States, it will likely be over the coming days under the new moon since the Allies have the superior night vision equipment and weaponry.

Another prescheduled number prints on Friday shortly after the opening bell. The stock market casino is swinging. The gamblers sit down to try their luck against Kenny, The Gambler.

2/22/26; 7:00 PM EST =
2/20/26; 10:00 AM EST =
2/18/26; 9:00 AM EST =
2/17/26; 10:12 AM EST = -8; signal line is +17
2/17/26; 9:36 AM EST = +8; signal line is +17
2/15/26; 7:00 PM EST = +24; signal line is +17 but algorithm remains short


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