STOCK MARKET BULLISH -- LONG -- CAUTION -- TURN MAY BE IMMINENT

Keybot the Quant is long but champing at the bit to go short. The internal parameters will not permit the move yet with the algo number 8 points below the signal line. Today was nutso as the odd market behavior continues. Four parameters are controlling stock market direction currently.

Banks started out happy today but rolled over due to weak insurers and reinsurers (the insurers that insure the insurers) taking the stock market down. Utilities catapult to the moon on more data center hype and billions upon billions of dollars being spent on technology that can make endless funny video shorts.

The Fed and others were jamming volatility low to help stocks recover but that task was abandoned and led to lower stocks in the afternoon. On top of all this price action, retail stocks decide to sh*t the bed at the end of the day on weak earnings numbers. The wealthy class enjoyed lavish expensive holiday gifts this season while the majority of America made cookies and exchanged tins after shopping for Christmas presents at the local thrift store; the have's and have-not's of America.

So that is the mess that is the stock market that has been on hold this week waiting for the jobs report tomorrow morning, on a Wednesday. Jackasses. With all this drama ongoing, the robot wants to flip to the short side. We shall see if the jobs numbers change the scenario.

The robot wants to flip short now and all it needs is for the SPX to drop 4 points below 6938. It is on a silver platter for the bears if they want it. The bears also need to pull UTIL below 1111.57, only 4 pennies away at 1111.61 creating bullishness in stocks. How about a shout-out to the robot for telling yinz to watch 1111.57 and price closes at 1111.61. Come on now. Who else told you that target number before it would happen? No one. Keep an eye on 1111.57 since it obviously takes on import now.

So the bears need SPX below 6938 to flip the quant short, all things staying the same as they are now, and will receive extra downside gusto if UTIL fails below 1111.57.

The bulls need XLF above 54.03, XRT above 87.53 and/or VIX below 17.22. All 3 metrics are creating the bearishness in the stock market right now. If the bulls can get at least one of the three in their camp, they will be back in business with no fears of downside. You can gauge upside strength in stocks by how many of the three turn bullish. If all three remain bearish, it is time to gird your loins because stocks will likely falter and weaken. Easy-peasy.

Keybot the Quant prints the prescheduled number for this week tomorrow morning before the opening bell. Bulls and bears are in their camps getting ready for the big battle tomorrow. A lonely harmonica plays "Shenandoah" that echoes down the hollow. Both sides know the stakes are high tomorrow and only one side can win. Such a sad song during war because men knew that some of them would die in tomorrow's battle.

2/15/26; 7:00 PM EST =
2/11/26; 9:00 AM EST =
2/10/26; 3:59 PM EST = +8; signal line is +16 but algorithm remains long
2/10/26; 1:46 PM EST = +24; signal line is +17
2/10/26; 1:07 PM EST = +8; signal line is +17 but algorithm remains long
2/10/26; 12:57 PM EST = +22; signal line is +17
2/10/26; 11:07 AM EST = +8; signal line is +16 but algorithm remains long
2/10/26; 9:51 AM EST = +24; signal line is +16
2/9/26; 3:34 PM EST = +8; signal line is +15 but algorithm remains long
2/9/26; 3:31 PM EST = +24; signal line is +14
2/9/26; 11:44 AM EST = +38; signal line is +14
2/8/26; 7:00 PM EST = +24; signal line is +12