Thursday, February 26, 2026

STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant remains short as this year's choppy whipsaw slop continues. Tomorrow is the last trading day of February and March trading begins Monday. The bears are in charge but only with the algo number 5 points below the signal line that is nothing to write home about. You can see the choppy turmoil with the model wanting to flip long but just as quick wanting to stay in the bear camp, then back again.

The show today was retail stocks and volatility both creating stock market negativity. The bull/bear lines in the sand are the XRT 87.78 palindrome and VIX 17.35. The XRT is below 87.78 and the VIX above 17.35 creating stock market negativity. Bulls need one or both of these metrics to turn bullish if they want the ball back. If 1 of the 2 turn bullish, consider the imminent turn to be in play, and if the SPX rallies above 6947, Keybot the Quant will likely flip long.

Bears need to keep retail stocks and vol in their camp. At the same time, the bears need to pull copper lower and that would signal that the real carnage lower for equities is about to begin.

Bears need the red metal to falter while the bulls need stronger retail stocks and lower vol. All is quiet on the Iranian front. War by Edwin Starr.

3/1/26; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
2/26/26; 3:59 PM EST = +10; signal line is +15
2/26/26; 2:38 PM EST = +26; signal line is +15 but algorithm remains short
2/26/26; 11:28 AM EST = +10; signal line is +15
2/26/26; 10:55 AM EST = +26; signal line is +15 but algorithm remains short
2/26/26; 10:20 AM EST = +10; signal line is +15
2/26/26; 9:40 AM EST = +26; signal line is +15 but algorithm remains short
2/24/26; 2:13 PM EST = +10; signal line is +14

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