Keybot the Quant flips long today at SPX 6974 after Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow forecasting six more weeks of bullishness, er snow. Retail stocks and volatility jump into the arms of the bulls this morning creating the upside joy. It looked like carnage time early this morning but the stick save was in place once again by the opening bell.
XLF 53.99 is the line in the sand and the bulls almost broke up through, but were spanked back down, so watch the banks closely for stock market direction. Also XRT 87.06 is key and price blew up through it like it was not even there. VIX 17.09 is a line in the sand and price is a 16-handle now so the bulls are happy. VIX is down to 16.19 so watch to see if it prints a 15-handle for more bull joy, or not.
Stay alert for a whipsaw since anything can happen in this choppy pig slop. The price action is a lot like last year. UTIL leaks lower that is ominous going forward but for now the party, and the band, plays on. Million Miles Away.
XLF 53.99, XRT 87.06, and VIX 17.09 tell you the stock market direction. The prescheduled number on Friday was cancelled.
On the last trade that ran for less than 2 weeks, the algo program loses a couple percent and ditto the actual trading. For the year, with one month in the bag already, the benchmark SPX is up a couple percent and the quant program and actual trading generated by the quant are each down a couple percent. Choppy slop to begin the year. Keybot the Quant exited SH and entered QQQ remaining in single ETF's for another week when the move to 2x leveraged ETF's may resume (a timer will expire). The choppy slop chews up bulls and bears alike especially those holding long or short 2x and 3x ETF's.
2/8/26;
7:00 PM EST =
2/2/26; 10:19 AM EST = +22; signal line is +15; go long 6974 (Benchmark
SPX for 2026 = +1.9%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.9%; Keybot algo for 2026 = -2.7%)(Actual
results this trade = -1.7%; Actual results for 2026 = -1.6%)
2/2/26;
10:14 AM EST = +6; signal line
is +15
2/1/26;
7:00 PM EST EOM = -8; signal
line is +15
1/30/26;
11:02 AM EST = -8; signal line
is +16
1/23/26;
10:00 AM EST = +24; signal line
is +27
1/21/26; 3:59 PM EST = +24; signal line is
+27
1/21/26; 3:20 PM EST = +10; signal line is
+28
1/21/26; 2:49 PM EST = +24; signal line is
+28
1/20/26; 9:36 AM EST = +10; signal line is
+28
1/20/26; 9:30 AM EST = +26; signal line is +29; go short 6846
(Benchmark SPX for 2026 = +0.0%)(Keybot algo this trade = -1.4%; Keybot algo
for 2026 = -0.8%)(Actual results this trade = -1.3%; Actual results for 2026 =
+0.1%)
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