STOCK MARKET BEARISH -- SHORT -- CAUTION

Keybot the Quant flips to the short side this morning just before munchtime at SPX 6828. Retail stocks fail, banks collapse as the private equity companies twisted-up into the AI mess fall apart, and software stocks stumble since AI can probably do their job.

The bears have the ball but the algo number is only 6 points below the signal line that is not much of anything. Bears need CPER below 35.38, weaker copper, and price is only pennies away, to prove they got game. The bear claws will then begin slashing relentlessly.

The bulls need retail stocks to recover and XRT back above 87.68. This will immediately stop the stock market selling and reinforce a recovery rally. Thus, the game is retail stocks versus copper. Bears win with weaker copper but bulls will battle back with stronger retail stocks.

On the last trade that ran for about 3 days, the algo program loses about a percent and the actual trading loses a couple percent mainly due to today's stock market pullback. For the year thus far with almost 2 months in the bag, the SPX is down marginally on the year. The quant program is down about three percent and the actual trading generated by the quant is down about three percent. Everybody gets chopped up in sideways whipsaw slop. Keybot the Quant exited DIA and entered DOG.

Retail stocks and copper will tell you if the bears got game or if they will fold like a cheap suit.

3/1/26; 7:00 PM EST EOM =
2/24/26; 10:00 AM EST =
2/23/26; 11:07 AM EST = +8; signal line is +14; go short 6828 (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = -0.3%)(Keybot algo this trade = -0.8%; Keybot algo for 2026 = -3.3%)(Actual results this trade = -1.9%; Actual results for 2026 = -2.5%)
2/23/26; 9:36 AM EST = +8; signal line is +13 but algorithm remains long
2/22/26; 7:00 PM EST = +24; signal line is +13
2/20/26; 1:42 PM EST = +24; signal line is +13
2/20/26; 11:30 AM EST = +8; signal line is +14 but algorithm remains long
2/20/26; 10:00 AM EST = +24; signal line is +14
2/19/26; 3:08 PM EST = +24; signal line is +14
2/19/26; 2:36 PM EST = +8; signal line is +13 but algorithm remains long
2/19/26; 1:47 PM EST = +24; signal line is +14
2/19/26; 1:25 PM EST = +8; signal line is +13 but algorithm remains long
2/19/26; 10:12 AM EST = +24; signal line is +14
2/19/26; 9:36 AM EST = +8; signal line is +13 but algorithm remains long
2/18/26; 9:59 AM EST = +24; signal line is +14; go long 6880 (Benchmark SPX for 2026 = +0.5%)(Keybot algo this trade = +0.8%; Keybot algo for 2026 = -2.5%)(Actual results this trade = +0.6%; Actual results for 2026 = -0.6%)